Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI) Hampers Share Price

NYSE:SWI
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SolarWinds Corporation's (NYSE:SWI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.5x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for SolarWinds

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SWI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 26th 2023

What Does SolarWinds' Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, SolarWinds has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SolarWinds.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, SolarWinds would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.0% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 4.0% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.9% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why SolarWinds is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On SolarWinds' P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that SolarWinds maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with SolarWinds, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SolarWinds is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.