Is It Time To Consider Buying PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (NYSE:PAGS)?

Let's talk about the popular PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (NYSE:PAGS). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$60.93 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$46.22. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether PagSeguro Digital's current trading price of US$46.22 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at PagSeguro Digital’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for PagSeguro Digital

What is PagSeguro Digital worth?

PagSeguro Digital is currently expensive based on my price multiple model, where I look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 70.17x is currently well-above the industry average of 34.78x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since PagSeguro Digital’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from PagSeguro Digital?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for PagSeguro Digital. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in PAGS’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe PAGS should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PAGS for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for PAGS, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing PagSeguro Digital at this point in time. For example, we've found that PagSeguro Digital has 3 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

If you are no longer interested in PagSeguro Digital, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.