Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping ON24, Inc.'s (NYSE:ONTF) Muted Revenues

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NYSE:ONTF

ON24, Inc.'s (NYSE:ONTF) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.7x and even P/S above 12x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for ON24

NYSE:ONTF Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 24th 2025

How Has ON24 Performed Recently?

ON24 could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think ON24's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is ON24's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, ON24 would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 26% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 5.9% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 18%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that ON24 is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that ON24 maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for ON24 you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.