Stock Analysis

ZeroFox Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZFOX) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

NasdaqGM:ZFOX
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ZeroFox Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZFOX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.5x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for ZeroFox Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:ZFOX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 28th 2023

How ZeroFox Holdings Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for ZeroFox Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ZeroFox Holdings.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, ZeroFox Holdings would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 157%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.4% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why ZeroFox Holdings' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On ZeroFox Holdings' P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that ZeroFox Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for ZeroFox Holdings that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ZeroFox Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.