Stock Analysis

Vertex, Inc. (NASDAQ:VERX) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

NasdaqGM:VERX
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Vertex, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VERX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.1x and even P/S below 1.9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Vertex

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:VERX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2023

What Does Vertex's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent revenue growth for Vertex has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to improve, justifying the currently elevated P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Vertex's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Vertex?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Vertex's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 15% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 52% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Vertex's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Vertex's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Vertex currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Vertex.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vertex is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.