Stock Analysis

Semantix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:STIX) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

OTCPK:STIX.F
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.6x Semantix, Inc. (NASDAQ:STIX) is a stock to potentially avoid, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.2x and even P/S lower than 1.8x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Semantix

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:STIX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 5th 2023

How Semantix Has Been Performing

Semantix certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Semantix.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Semantix?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Semantix's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 191% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 10.0% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that Semantix's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Semantix's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It comes as a surprise to see Semantix trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Semantix.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.