Stock Analysis

Is Synopsys (NASDAQ:SNPS) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:SNPS
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Synopsys, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNPS) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Synopsys

How Much Debt Does Synopsys Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Synopsys had US$22.0m of debt in July 2022, down from US$107.2m, one year before. But it also has US$1.53b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$1.51b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:SNPS Debt to Equity History October 8th 2022

A Look At Synopsys' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Synopsys had liabilities of US$2.55b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.13b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.53b and US$963.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.18b.

Of course, Synopsys has a titanic market capitalization of US$46.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Synopsys boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Synopsys has boosted its EBIT by 54%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Synopsys can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Synopsys has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Synopsys actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Synopsys's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$1.51b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$1.6b, being 143% of its EBIT. So we don't think Synopsys's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Synopsys that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Synopsys is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.