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Shareholders in Synchronoss Technologies (NASDAQ:SNCR) have lost 82%, as stock drops 10% this past week
Some stocks are best avoided. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Anyone who held Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNCR) for five years would be nursing their metaphorical wounds since the share price dropped 82% in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 47% in the last 90 days. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.
With the stock having lost 10% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
Synchronoss Technologies isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
Over half a decade Synchronoss Technologies reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 16% for each year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. So it's not altogether surprising to see the share price down 13% per year in the same time period. We don't think this is a particularly promising picture. Ironically, that behavior could create an opportunity for the contrarian investor - but only if there are good reasons to predict a brighter future.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
A Different Perspective
Synchronoss Technologies shareholders are down 17% for the year, but the market itself is up 11%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 13% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Synchronoss Technologies better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Synchronoss Technologies , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:SNCR
Synchronoss Technologies
Provides white label cloud software and services in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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Trending Discussion
Looks interesting, I am jumping into the finances now. Your 15% margin seems high for a conservative model, can't just ignore the years they need to invest. You didnt seem to mention that they had to dilute the sharebase by issuing ~40mil shares. raising ~8 mil. should be enough if mouse does OK. If not they will need to raise more to suvive. Losing 20m a year, 14m after there 6m cutbacks. Am I reading it right that they have no debt. have they any history of raising debt? First look it is too dependant on the mouse and GoT games. they do well stock will 2-3x, poorly and it will drop. I am not sure I agree with your work for hire backstop. Unlikely meta horizons will continue with the same size contract going forward. say 10% margins and 15x multiple on 30m. that is 45m, which with the new sharecount is 10c. It is a backstop but maybe not that strong. Mouse fails and devs could start jumping ship and outside contracts could dry up. Hmm on top of all that AI could be disrupting the work for hire model. I think I have mostly talked myself out of it. Although Mouse looks good and does seem like the type of game that could go viral on twitch for a few months. If it does you will likly get a great return 5x plus. crap maybe I am talking myself back in.
