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Dropbox, Inc.NasdaqGS:DBX Stock Report

Market Cap US$5.8b
Share Price
US$24.29
US$25.5
4.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-15.8%
7D1.6%
Portfolio Value
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Dropbox, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DBX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.8b

DBX Community Fair Values

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Community Contributor
US$6.85FV 67.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
73.0%Revenue growth p.a.
3.1k
7
0
70
1mo ago

Dropbox, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Dropbox
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$24.29
52 Week HighUS$32.40
52 Week LowUS$21.70
Beta0.62
1 Month Change6.91%
3 Month Change-4.67%
1 Year Change-15.78%
3 Year Change23.80%
5 Year Change-0.98%
Change since IPO-14.71%

Recent News & Updates

DBX: Future Earnings Will Depend On Core Resilience And Ongoing Buybacks

Analysts have trimmed Dropbox's implied price target to about $25.50, reflecting a modest adjustment to valuation assumptions as Street research cites mixed recent results, slower growth trends into 2026, and the need for clearer traction from newer products such as Dash. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a more cautious stance, with several firms lowering price targets and adjusting ratings as they reassess growth, execution on new products like Dash, and how much investors are willing to pay for the story.

DBX: Future Earnings Profile Will Rely On Core Stability And Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Dropbox to a range centered around $25 to $27. This reflects ongoing concerns about growth challenges, mixed recent results, and the need for clearer traction from products like Dash before considering a more constructive stance.

DBX: Execution And Buybacks Will Shape Future Earnings Multiple Constraints

For Dropbox, the analyst price target in this framework increases from $20.00 to $21.00 as analysts factor in recent target cuts from Citi, UBS, RBC Capital, and JPMorgan, along with updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a cautious tone, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and one downgrade in coverage.

Recent updates

DBX: Future Earnings Will Depend On Core Resilience And Ongoing Buybacks

Analysts have trimmed Dropbox's implied price target to about $25.50, reflecting a modest adjustment to valuation assumptions as Street research cites mixed recent results, slower growth trends into 2026, and the need for clearer traction from newer products such as Dash. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a more cautious stance, with several firms lowering price targets and adjusting ratings as they reassess growth, execution on new products like Dash, and how much investors are willing to pay for the story.

DBX: Future Earnings Profile Will Rely On Core Stability And Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Dropbox to a range centered around $25 to $27. This reflects ongoing concerns about growth challenges, mixed recent results, and the need for clearer traction from products like Dash before considering a more constructive stance.

DBX: Execution And Buybacks Will Shape Future Earnings Multiple Constraints

For Dropbox, the analyst price target in this framework increases from $20.00 to $21.00 as analysts factor in recent target cuts from Citi, UBS, RBC Capital, and JPMorgan, along with updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a cautious tone, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and one downgrade in coverage.

DBX: Future Earnings Profile Will Depend On Core Stability And New Product Execution

Our updated narrative trims the analyst price target for Dropbox from $28.57 to $25.50, reflecting a series of recent target cuts from $30 to $27, $27 to $23, $35 to $30, and $29 to $25 as analysts point to ongoing growth challenges, mixed results, and limited evidence of traction from newer products like Dash. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on Dropbox, with several firms trimming their price targets and emphasizing execution on growth initiatives and new products like Dash as key swing factors for valuation.

DBX: Buybacks And AI Investment Will Support Higher Future Pricing

The analyst price target for Dropbox has been reduced from $35 to $30 as analysts factor in mixed recent results, ongoing growth challenges, and questions around the pace of adoption and monetization for new products like Dash. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a cautious stance overall, but there are still some constructive signals for investors who are focused on execution and valuation.

Dropbox: Rich FCF That Can't Be Sustained As Users Leave

Feb 20

DBX: Execution And Competitive Pressures Will Constrain Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts kept their $20.00 fair value estimate for Dropbox steady while slightly adjusting assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, margins and future P/E to reflect updated views on the risk profile and earnings power, without changing the overall valuation anchor. Analyst Commentary While the fair value estimate for Dropbox remains unchanged at $20.00, some elements of Street research highlight risks that readers should keep in mind when thinking about valuation and execution.

DBX: Q3 Margin Strength And Guidance Shifts Will Shape Fair Value Outlook

Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for Dropbox higher to $28.57 from $28.13, reflecting updated assumptions around a slightly higher discount rate, a modest decline in expected revenue growth, a marginally stronger profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple in light of recent research that includes RBC Capital's price target move to $38 after what it called decent Q3 results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox has focused on how the latest quarterly results line up against expectations and what that might mean for valuation.

DBX: Q3 Outperformance And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Pricing

Analysts raised their fair value estimate for Dropbox to US$35 from US$32, citing the recent price target increase from US$35 to US$38 at RBC Capital and research that highlights stronger than expected Q3 revenue, billings, and operating margins, despite slightly softer annual recurring revenue. Analyst Commentary For Dropbox, bullish analysts are pointing to the recent price target increase to US$38 as a sign of confidence in how the company is executing against expectations.

DBX: Rising Execution Risks Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Multiple

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Dropbox from $23.00 to $20.00 per share, reflecting a higher assumed discount rate, while also acknowledging slightly better long term margin prospects and a lower future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary While recent earnings have demonstrated resilient profitability and solid execution, bearish analysts continue to flag a disconnect between Dropbox's share price and its long term fundamental outlook.

Why We Think Shareholders May Be Considering Bumping Up Dropbox, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DBX) CEO Compensation

May 08
Why We Think Shareholders May Be Considering Bumping Up Dropbox, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DBX) CEO Compensation

Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX)

May 06
Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX)

Dropbox: Losing Customers, Market Share, And Revenue

Mar 21

Dropbox: I Expect Further Downside

Feb 26

Dropbox: Low Growth, Fair Valuation And Competition Risks

Feb 18

Dropbox: Terminal Value Component Remains An Enduring Question Mark

Jan 29

Dropbox: Redundant With No Credible Pivots

Dec 27

Dropbox: This Situation Is A Falling Knife

Nov 12

Dropbox: Business Has A Poor Competitive Position

Oct 03

Dropbox: A Buyout Might Save This From The Stall Warning (Technical Analysis)

Sep 02
User avatar

Expanding Into AI With Dash Could Spur Growth Amidst Team Segment Struggles And Margin Pressures

Enhanced features like AI-enabled Dash and FSS encryption aim to boost revenue by attracting new users and retaining existing ones.

After Earnings Beat, Dropbox Growth Is Worth Keeping An Eye On

Aug 12

Dropbox: The Growth Engine Has Sputtered (Rating Downgrade)

Jun 06

Dropbox: Attractive Forward Returns With Upside

May 07

Dropbox: Revenue Growth May Come Under Pressure (Rating Downgrade)

Apr 02

Shareholder Returns

DBXUS SoftwareUS Market
7D1.6%-2.6%0.6%
1Y-15.8%-9.8%28.7%

Return vs Industry: DBX underperformed the US Software industry which returned -6.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: DBX underperformed the US Market which returned 27.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is DBX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
DBX volatility
DBX Average Weekly Movement4.2%
Software Industry Average Movement10.1%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.3%

Stable Share Price: DBX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: DBX's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20072,113Drew Houstonwww.dropbox.com

Dropbox, Inc. provides a content collaboration platform in the United States and internationally. The company’s platform enables individuals, families, teams, and organizations to collaborate for free through its website or app, or through a paid subscription plan for premium features. Its platform consists of various elements, such as unified home for content, global sharing network, and product experiences and integrations.

Dropbox, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Dropbox's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
DBX fundamental statistics
Market capUS$5.80b
Earnings (TTM)US$508.40m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.52b
11.4x
P/E Ratio
2.3x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
DBX income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.52b
Cost of RevenueUS$500.40m
Gross ProfitUS$2.02b
Other ExpensesUS$1.51b
EarningsUS$508.40m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

May 07, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)2.13
Gross Margin80.15%
Net Profit Margin20.17%
Debt/Equity Ratio-157.7%

How did DBX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 04:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dropbox, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Edward MagiBerenberg
Zane ChraneBernstein
Matthew BullockBofA Global Research