Stock Analysis

It's Down 25% But SecureWorks Corp. (NASDAQ:SCWX) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

NasdaqGS:SCWX
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SecureWorks Corp. (NASDAQ:SCWX) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 40% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, SecureWorks' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -4.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 31x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, SecureWorks' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for SecureWorks

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SCWX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 22nd 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SecureWorks will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For SecureWorks?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like SecureWorks' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 118%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 49% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 5.8%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that SecureWorks' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On SecureWorks' P/E

SecureWorks' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that SecureWorks currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for SecureWorks that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than SecureWorks. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.