Stock Analysis

Nutanix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NTNX) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

NasdaqGS:NTNX
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.6x Nutanix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTNX) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 1.6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Nutanix

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:NTNX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024

How Has Nutanix Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Nutanix has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nutanix will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nutanix?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nutanix would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 55% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Nutanix's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Nutanix's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Analysts are forecasting Nutanix's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nutanix (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nutanix is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.