Stock Analysis

MIND C.T.I. Ltd's (NASDAQ:MNDO) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

NasdaqGM:MNDO
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Most readers would already be aware that MIND C.T.I's (NASDAQ:MNDO) stock increased significantly by 14% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study MIND C.T.I's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for MIND C.T.I

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for MIND C.T.I is:

26% = US$5.1m ÷ US$20m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.26 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

MIND C.T.I's Earnings Growth And 26% ROE

First thing first, we like that MIND C.T.I has an impressive ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 12% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Given the circumstances, we can't help but wonder why MIND C.T.I saw little to no growth in the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that's limiting the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that MIND C.T.I's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 27% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGM:MNDO Past Earnings Growth October 21st 2020

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about MIND C.T.I's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is MIND C.T.I Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 98% (implying that the company keeps only 2.0% of its income) of its business to reinvest into its business), most of MIND C.T.I's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the absence of growth in earnings.

Moreover, MIND C.T.I has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by MIND C.T.I can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of return, its low earnings retention is probably what's hampering its earnings growth. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into MIND C.T.I's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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