Stock Analysis

The total return for Manhattan Associates (NASDAQ:MANH) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last five years

NasdaqGS:MANH
Source: Shutterstock

It certainly might concern Manhattan Associates, Inc. (NASDAQ:MANH) shareholders to see the share price down 41% in just 30 days. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. We think most investors would be happy with the 159% return, over that period. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend.

While the stock has fallen 5.8% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Manhattan Associates

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Manhattan Associates achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 22% per year. This EPS growth is remarkably close to the 21% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:MANH Earnings Per Share Growth February 28th 2025

We know that Manhattan Associates has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Manhattan Associates will grow revenue in the future.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Manhattan Associates had a tough year, with a total loss of 31%, against a market gain of about 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 21% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Manhattan Associates that you should be aware of.

But note: Manhattan Associates may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:MANH

Manhattan Associates

Develops, sells, deploys, services, and maintains software solutions to manage supply chains, inventory, and omni-channel operations.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.