Stock Analysis

Analysts Just Shaved Their Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOT) Forecasts Dramatically

NasdaqCM:DUOT
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One thing we could say about the analysts on Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOT) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for Duos Technologies Group from its dual analysts is for revenues of US$20m in 2024 which, if met, would be a sizeable 65% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 60% to US$0.51 per share. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$25m and US$0.38 per share in losses. Ergo, there's been a clear change in sentiment, with the analysts administering a notable cut to next year's revenue estimates, while at the same time increasing their loss per share forecasts.

See our latest analysis for Duos Technologies Group

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NasdaqCM:DUOT Earnings and Revenue Growth November 22nd 2023

The consensus price target fell 16% to US$7.63, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Duos Technologies Group's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 49% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 1.5% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Duos Technologies Group is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to note from this downgrade is that the consensus increased its forecast losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at Duos Technologies Group. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for Duos Technologies Group going out as far as 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Duos Technologies Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.