Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For DocuSign, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DOCU) Shares

NasdaqGS:DOCU
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 4.4x in the Software industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about DocuSign, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DOCU) P/S ratio of 4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for DocuSign

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:DOCU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 15th 2024

What Does DocuSign's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for DocuSign as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on DocuSign will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

DocuSign's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.7%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 59% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 6.5% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that DocuSign's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From DocuSign's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that DocuSign's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for DocuSign that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.