Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:CHKP) P/E

NasdaqGS:CHKP
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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:CHKP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.7x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 19x and even P/E's below 11x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent earnings growth for Check Point Software Technologies has been in line with the market. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Check Point Software Technologies

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CHKP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 12th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Check Point Software Technologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Check Point Software Technologies' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.7%. EPS has also lifted 24% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.7% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it concerning that Check Point Software Technologies is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Check Point Software Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Check Point Software Technologies with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Check Point Software Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.