Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ACIW) Earnings

NasdaqGS:ACIW
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.4x ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACIW) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for ACI Worldwide as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for ACI Worldwide

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ACIW Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think ACI Worldwide's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For ACI Worldwide?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as ACI Worldwide's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 42%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 56% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 47% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why ACI Worldwide is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of ACI Worldwide's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - ACI Worldwide has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than ACI Worldwide. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ACI Worldwide is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.