Autodesk
Autodesk, Inc. operates as a design software and services company worldwide. The last earnings update was 20 days ago. More info.
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ADSK Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
1 Year Returns
ADSK Shareholder Return
| 7 Day | 30 Day | 90 Day | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autodesk (ADSK) | 0.6% | -3.8% | 23.5% | 13.8% | 169.3% | 217% |
| US Software | 2.4% | 5.5% | 19.8% | 25.6% | 110.4% | 139.4% |
| US Market | 1.2% | 2.1% | 14.6% | 3% | 39% | 43.5% |
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
- ADSK underperformed the Software industry which returned 25.6% over the past year.
- ADSK outperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 3% over the past year.
Value
Is Autodesk undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?
Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is
available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale
at half price, they could be considered
undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current
share
price of
Autodesk
to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Autodesk.
| Data Point | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Valuation Model | 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | Average of 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See below |
| Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) | See below | 9.5% |
| Perpetual Growth Rate | 10-Year US Government Bond Rate | 2.7% |
An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.
| Data Point | Calculation/ Source | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-Free Rate | 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate | 2.7% |
| Equity Risk Premium | S&P Global | 6% |
| Software Unlevered Beta | Simply Wall St/ S&P Global | 1.14 |
| Re-levered Beta | = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 1.141 (1 + (1- 21%) (6.18%)) |
1.132 |
| Levered Beta | Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0 (practical range for a stable firm) |
1.13 |
| Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity |
= Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (1.132 * 5.96%) |
9.47% |
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NasdaqGS:ADSK using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Autodesk is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
| Levered FCF (USD, Millions) | Source |
Present Value Discounted (@ 9.47%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 214.81 | Analyst x7 | 196.22 |
| 2020 | 1,354.45 | Analyst x14 | 1,130.16 |
| 2021 | 1,721.10 | Analyst x13 | 1,311.80 |
| 2022 | 2,122.12 | Analyst x6 | 1,477.48 |
| 2023 | 2,397.60 | Analyst x5 | 1,524.81 |
| 2024 | 2,639.10 | Analyst x1 | 1,533.15 |
| 2025 | 2,837.99 | Est @ 7.54% | 1,506.00 |
| 2026 | 3,010.94 | Est @ 6.09% | 1,459.51 |
| 2027 | 3,164.05 | Est @ 5.09% | 1,400.99 |
| 2028 | 3,302.59 | Est @ 4.38% | 1,335.78 |
| Present value of next 10 years cash flows | $12,875.90 | ||
| Calculation | Result | |
|---|---|---|
| Terminal Value |
= FCF2028
× (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $3,302.59 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (9.47% – 2.73%) |
$50,305.72 |
| Present Value of Terminal Value |
= Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $50,305.72 ÷ (1 + 9.47%)10 |
$20,346.84 |
| Calculation | Result | |
|---|---|---|
| Total Equity Value |
= Present value of next 10 years cash flows +
Terminal Value
= $12,875.90 + $20,346.84 |
$33,222.74 |
| Equity Value per Share (USD) |
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $33,222.74 / 219.01 |
$151.7 |
| Calculation | Result | |
|---|---|---|
| Value per share (USD) | From above. | $151.70 |
| Current discount | Discount to share price of
$154.31
= -1 x ($154.31 - $151.70) / $151.70 |
-1.7% |
Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .
- The current share price of Autodesk is above its future cash flow value.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Autodesk's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are
Autodesk's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
| Data Point | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share * | Company Filings (2019-01-31) in USD | $-0.37 |
| NasdaqGS:ADSK Share Price ** | NasdaqGS (2019-03-20) in USD | $154.31 |
| United States of America Software Industry PE Ratio | Median Figure of 84 Publicly-Listed Software Companies | 53.03x |
| United States of America Market PE Ratio | Median Figure of 3,058 Publicly-Listed Companies | 17.69x |
* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.
** Primary Listing of Autodesk.
| Calculation | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|
| PE Ratio | = NasdaqGS:ADSK Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD) = 154.31 ÷ -0.37 |
-418.05x |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
- Autodesk is loss making, we can't compare its value to the US Software industry average.
- Autodesk is loss making, we can't compare the value of its earnings to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does
Autodesk's expected growth come at a high price?
| Data Point | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PE Ratio | See PE Ratio Section | -418.05x |
| Net Income Annual Growth Rate | See Future Growth Section. Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 21 Analysts |
55.7%per year |
| United States of America Software Industry PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 66 Publicly-Listed Software Companies | 3.6x |
| United States of America Market PEG Ratio | Median Figure of 2,103 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.48x |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
- Unable to calculate PEG ratio for Autodesk, we can't assess if its growth is good value.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on
Autodesk's
assets?
| Data Point | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Book Value per Share | Company Filings (2019-01-31) in USD | $-0.96 |
| NasdaqGS:ADSK Share Price * | NasdaqGS (2019-03-20) in USD | $154.31 |
| United States of America Software Industry PB Ratio | Median Figure of 220 Publicly-Listed Software Companies | 5.84x |
| United States of America Market PB Ratio | Median Figure of 5,156 Publicly-Listed Companies | 1.89x |
| Calculation | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|
| PB Ratio | = NasdaqGS:ADSK Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD) = 154.31 ÷ -0.96 |
-160.38x |
* Primary Listing of Autodesk.
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
- Autodesk has negative assets, we can't compare the value of its assets to the US Software industry average.
Value checks
We assess Autodesk's value by looking at:- Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
- Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Software industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
- Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
- Is the PB ratio less than the Software industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check) Autodesk has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.
Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.
Future Performance
How is Autodesk expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 21 analysts?
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
growth
and how much profit it is expected to make.Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
- Autodesk's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
- Autodesk's earnings growth is expected to exceed the United States of America market average.
- Autodesk's revenue growth is expected to exceed the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
| Data Point | Source | Value (per year) |
|---|---|---|
| NasdaqGS:ADSK Future Earnings Growth Rate | Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 21 Analysts | 55.7% |
| NasdaqGS:ADSK Future Revenue Growth Rate | Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 21 Analysts | 18% |
| United States of America Software Industry Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 16.1% |
| United States of America Software Industry Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 10.9% |
| United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 14.3% |
| United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate | Market Cap Weighted Average | 7.1% |
*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.
Analysts growth expectations
| Data Point | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Past Financials | Company Filings (1 month ago) | See Below |
| Future Estimates | Average of up to 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
| Date (Data in USD Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-31 | 7,352 | 2 | ||
| 2023-01-31 | 5,685 | 2,421 | 1,344 | 6 |
| 2022-01-31 | 4,820 | 2,195 | 1,186 | 9 |
| 2021-01-31 | 3,984 | 1,756 | 726 | 21 |
| 2020-01-31 | 3,291 | 1,424 | 303 | 20 |
| Date (Data in USD Millions) | Revenue | Cash Flow | Net Income * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-31 | 2,570 | 377 | -81 |
| 2018-10-31 | 2,386 | 145 | -319 |
| 2018-07-31 | 2,241 | 55 | -415 |
| 2018-04-30 | 2,131 | -61 | -520 |
| 2018-01-31 | 2,057 | 1 | -567 |
| 2017-10-31 | 1,982 | -63 | -567 |
| 2017-07-31 | 1,956 | -4 | -590 |
| 2017-04-30 | 2,005 | 51 | -544 |
| 2017-01-31 | 2,031 | 170 | -582 |
| 2016-10-31 | 2,201 | 324 | -446 |
| 2016-07-31 | 2,311 | 397 | -347 |
| 2016-04-30 | 2,370 | 492 | -517 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
| Data Point | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Past Financials | Company Filings (1 month ago) | See Below |
| Future Estimates | Average of up to 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
All data from Autodesk Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
| Date (Data in USD Millions) | EPS * | EPS High Estimate | EPS Low Estimate | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-31 | ||||
| 2023-01-31 | 6.11 | 6.11 | 6.11 | 1.00 |
| 2022-01-31 | 5.47 | 5.88 | 5.05 | 2.00 |
| 2021-01-31 | 3.18 | 3.93 | 2.60 | 10.00 |
| 2020-01-31 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.13 | 7.00 |
| Date (Data in USD Millions) | EPS * |
|---|---|
| 2019-01-31 | -0.37 |
| 2018-10-31 | -1.46 |
| 2018-07-31 | -1.90 |
| 2018-04-30 | -2.37 |
| 2018-01-31 | -2.58 |
| 2017-10-31 | -2.58 |
| 2017-07-31 | -2.67 |
| 2017-04-30 | -2.46 |
| 2017-01-31 | -2.61 |
| 2016-10-31 | -1.99 |
| 2016-07-31 | -1.55 |
| 2016-04-30 | -2.30 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Future performance checks
We assess Autodesk's future performance by looking at:- Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
- Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
- Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
- Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
- Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
- Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Autodesk has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.
Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.
Past Performance
How has Autodesk performed over the past 5 years?
The past performance of a company can be measured by how much
growth
it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets
it has available.
Past earnings growth
Past Earnings growth analysis
- Autodesk does not make a profit and their year on year earnings growth rate was negative over the past 5 years.
- Unable to compare Autodesk's 1-year earnings growth to the 5-year average as it is not currently profitable.
- Unable to compare Autodesk's 1-year growth to the US Software industry average as it is not currently profitable.
Earnings and Revenue History
All data from Autodesk Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
| Date (Data in USD Millions) | Revenue | Net Income * | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-31 | 2,569.80 | -80.80 | 1,507.90 | 725.00 |
| 2018-10-31 | 2,386.30 | -319.00 | 1,484.40 | 716.80 |
| 2018-07-31 | 2,240.70 | -415.10 | 1,440.70 | 727.60 |
| 2018-04-30 | 2,130.80 | -519.70 | 1,397.40 | 740.60 |
| 2018-01-31 | 2,056.60 | -566.90 | 1,371.10 | 755.50 |
| 2017-10-31 | 1,981.60 | -566.80 | 1,347.00 | 760.30 |
| 2017-07-31 | 1,955.90 | -589.80 | 1,331.10 | 761.10 |
| 2017-04-30 | 2,004.80 | -544.00 | 1,317.80 | 760.30 |
| 2017-01-31 | 2,031.00 | -582.10 | 1,310.30 | 766.10 |
| 2016-10-31 | 2,200.50 | -445.90 | 1,303.20 | 783.60 |
| 2016-07-31 | 2,310.70 | -346.90 | 1,295.40 | 788.90 |
| 2016-04-30 | 2,369.50 | -517.30 | 1,294.60 | 789.00 |
| 2016-01-31 | 2,504.10 | -330.50 | 1,308.90 | 790.00 |
| 2015-10-31 | 2,520.40 | -281.80 | 1,318.60 | 777.00 |
| 2015-07-31 | 2,538.60 | -227.30 | 1,325.00 | 763.00 |
| 2015-04-30 | 2,566.20 | 72.60 | 1,323.20 | 749.20 |
| 2015-01-31 | 2,512.20 | 81.80 | 1,281.30 | 725.20 |
| 2014-10-31 | 2,434.20 | 124.20 | 1,206.30 | 696.10 |
| 2014-07-31 | 2,371.40 | 171.10 | 1,141.50 | 661.20 |
| 2014-04-30 | 2,296.00 | 201.50 | 1,072.00 | 630.80 |
| 2014-01-31 | 2,273.90 | 228.80 | 1,054.40 | 611.10 |
| 2013-10-31 | 2,294.20 | 249.40 | 1,072.80 | 598.10 |
| 2013-07-31 | 2,287.00 | 221.20 | 1,079.60 | 602.10 |
| 2013-04-30 | 2,294.00 | 224.10 | 1,111.10 | 598.10 |
| 2013-01-31 | 2,312.20 | 247.40 | 1,081.80 | 600.00 |
| 2012-10-31 | 2,297.70 | 244.90 | 1,113.80 | 600.10 |
| 2012-07-31 | 2,298.30 | 288.30 | 1,105.40 | 588.30 |
| 2012-04-30 | 2,275.90 | 294.90 | 1,090.30 | 582.60 |
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is
done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available
funds,
assets
and
capital.
- It is difficult to establish if Autodesk has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%) due to its liabilities exceeding its assets.
- It is difficult to establish if Autodesk has efficiently used its assets last year compared to the US Software industry average (Return on Assets) as it is loss-making.
- It is difficult to establish if Autodesk improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed) as it is currently loss-making.
Past performance checks
We assess Autodesk's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:- Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
- Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Software industry? (1 check)
- Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
- Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
- Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
- Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
Autodesk has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.
Health
How is Autodesk's financial health and their level of debt?
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
(assets)
and owe
(liabilities).The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Autodesk's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
- Autodesk's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
- Autodesk's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
Assets
Liabilities and shares
- Low level of unsold assets.
- Autodesk has negative shareholder equity (liabilities exceed assets) therefore debt is not covered by short term assets.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
bad,
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
All data from Autodesk Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago.
| Date (Data in USD Millions) | Total Equity | Total Debt | Cash & Short Term Investments |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-31 | -210.90 | 2,087.70 | 953.60 |
| 2018-10-31 | -338.30 | 1,587.80 | 1,078.20 |
| 2018-07-31 | -241.60 | 1,587.20 | 1,169.80 |
| 2018-04-30 | -128.60 | 1,586.60 | 1,292.90 |
| 2018-01-31 | -256.00 | 1,586.00 | 1,323.20 |
| 2017-10-31 | 107.30 | 1,585.40 | 1,453.90 |
| 2017-07-31 | 315.50 | 1,584.90 | 1,707.70 |
| 2017-04-30 | 508.10 | 1,491.50 | 1,811.30 |
| 2017-01-31 | 733.60 | 1,490.70 | 1,899.90 |
| 2016-10-31 | 1,060.60 | 1,489.90 | 1,968.90 |
| 2016-07-31 | 1,331.70 | 1,489.20 | 2,064.90 |
| 2016-04-30 | 1,435.90 | 1,488.40 | 2,267.30 |
| 2016-01-31 | 1,619.60 | 1,487.70 | 2,250.90 |
| 2015-10-31 | 1,733.10 | 1,486.90 | 2,284.30 |
| 2015-07-31 | 1,902.10 | 1,486.20 | 2,389.90 |
| 2015-04-30 | 2,224.40 | 747.40 | 1,830.90 |
| 2015-01-31 | 2,219.20 | 743.10 | 2,026.40 |
| 2014-10-31 | 2,268.50 | 747.00 | 1,901.40 |
| 2014-07-31 | 2,283.40 | 746.80 | 1,906.40 |
| 2014-04-30 | 2,288.70 | 746.60 | 2,119.70 |
| 2014-01-31 | 2,261.50 | 746.40 | 2,267.10 |
| 2013-10-31 | 2,161.90 | 746.20 | 2,060.50 |
| 2013-07-31 | 2,051.10 | 746.00 | 1,997.90 |
| 2013-04-30 | 2,084.50 | 745.80 | 2,087.90 |
| 2013-01-31 | 2,043.20 | 745.60 | 1,954.30 |
| 2012-10-31 | 2,017.90 | 110.00 | 1,329.10 |
| 2012-07-31 | 2,051.30 | 0.00 | 1,430.70 |
| 2012-04-30 | 2,045.30 | 0.00 | 1,512.00 |
- Autodesk has negative shareholder equity (liabilities exceed assets), this is a more serious situation compared with a high debt level.
- Irrelevant to check if Autodesk's debt level has increased considering it has negative shareholder equity.
CASH RUNWAY ANALYSIS
For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.
- Whilst loss making Autodesk has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains the current positive free cash flow level.
- Whilst loss making Autodesk has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, due to free cash flow being positive and growing by 60.2% per year.
Financial health checks
We assess Autodesk's financial health by checking for:- Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
- Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
- Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
- Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
- Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
- Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check) Autodesk has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.
- Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
- Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.
Dividends
What is Autodesk's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a
bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
If you bought
$2,000 of
Autodesk
shares you are expected to receive
$0
in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
- Unable to evaluate Autodesk's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.
- Unable to evaluate Autodesk's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not
wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate
to count toward your assessment of the stock.We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
| Data Point | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Past Annualized Dividend Yield | S&P Global Market Data | See Below |
| Past Dividends per Share | Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments | See Below |
| Future Dividends per Share Estimates | Average of up to 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) | See Below |
| United States of America Software Industry Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 24 Stocks | 1.5% |
| United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield | Market Cap Weighted Average of 2004 Stocks | 2.5% |
| United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield | 10th Percentile | 0.8% |
| United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield | 25th Percentile | 1.4% |
| United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield | 75th Percentile | 3.6% |
Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.
Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.
| Date (Data in $) | Dividend per Share (annual) | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-31 | ||
| 2023-01-31 | ||
| 2022-01-31 | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| 2021-01-31 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| 2020-01-31 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >
- Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as Autodesk has not reported any payouts.
- Unable to verify if Autodesk's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Autodesk's dividend by checking for:- Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
- Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
- Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
- Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
- If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
- How sustainable is the dividend, can Autodesk afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks) Autodesk has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.
Management
CEO
| COMPENSATION | $12,345,706 |
| AGE | 53 |
| TENURE AS CEO | 1.8 years |
CEO Bio
Dr. Andrew Anagnost has been Chief Executive Officer and President at Autodesk, Inc. since June 19, 2017. Dr. Anagnost served as Senior Vice President of Industry Strategy & Marketing at Autodesk Limited. Dr. Anagnost served as Senior Vice President of Business Strategy and Marketing at Autodesk, Inc. since March 2012 and served as its Chief Marketing Officer and Interim Co-Chief Executive Officer from February 8, 2017 to June 19, 2017. He was responsible for overall marketing direction and resources including the Autodesk's vertical and cross-industry strategy and marketing, business model transformation and evolution. He has more than 20 years of product, business and marketing experience that he has to leadership of Industry Strategy and Marketing (ISM) for Autodesk. Prior to this role, Dr. Anagnost served as Vice President of Product Suites, Web Services & Subscription (SWSS) organization where he drove strategy and business development for the Design Suite Family and the Subscription offering. He was responsible for defining the business model that is helping to transform Autodesk from a desktop software provider to a hybrid desktop and online solutions provider. Dr. Anagnost began his career at Autodesk as Partners Program Manager in 1997. During the six years that followed, Dr. Anagnost served as Director of New Business Development and Director of Product Management. He served as Senior Director of Marketing at Autodesk, Inc. since 2003 and promoted to Senior Director of CAD, CAE and ETO products. In 2007, he was named Vice President of CAD/CAE products for the manufacturing division. Prior to joining Autodesk, He was employed at Lockheed Aeronautical Systems Company as a composite structures engineer and later worked as a propulsion installation engineer. After leaving Lockheed, he completed a Doctorate degree at Stanford University and spent several years under contract with NASA and as a NRC post-doctoral fellow. After his fellowship, Dr. Anagnost held positions in sales, marketing and product management for the ventured funded simulation vendor EXA Corporation. He has been a Director at Autodesk, Inc. since June 19, 2017. Dr. Anagnost holds a BS in Mechanical Engineering from the California State University and holds both an MS in Engineering Science and a PhD in Aeronautical Engineering and Computer Science from Stanford University.
CEO Compensation
- Andrew's compensation has increased whilst company is loss making.
- Andrew's remuneration is about average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the Autodesk management team in years:
- The average tenure for the Autodesk management team is less than 2 years, this suggests a new team.
Management Team
Andrew Anagnost
President
$12M
53
1.8 yrs
Richard Herren
Principal Accounting Officer
$5M
56
4.3 yrs
Pascal Di Fronzo
Senior VP of Corporate Affairs
$3M
53
2.3 yrs
Steve Blum
Senior Vice President of Worldwide Field Operations
$4M
52
1.5 yrs
John Walker
Dan Drake
Greg Lutz
Moonhie Chin
Senior Vice President of Global Customer Support & Operations
60
Scott Borduin
Chief Technology Officer
1.2 yrs
David Gennarelli
Head of Investor Relations
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the Autodesk board of directors in years:
- The average tenure for the Autodesk board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.
Board of Directors
Stacy Smith
Non-Executive Chairman
$325K
55
0.8 yrs
Andrew Anagnost
President
$12M
53
1.8 yrs
Crawford Beveridge
Director
$390K
72
26.2 yrs
Mary McDowell
Director
$345K
52
9.2 yrs
Betsy Rafael
Director
$350K
56
5.5 yrs
Lorrie Norrington
Director
$325K
58
8 yrs
Reid French
Director
$255K
46
1.7 yrs
Karen Blasing
Director
62
1 yrs
Steve Milligan
Director
55
0.3 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Transactions
| Announced | Type | Name | Entity | Role | Start | End | Shares | Max Price ($) | Value ($) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15. Jun 18 | Sell | Karen Blasing | Individual | 14. Jun 18 | 14. Jun 18 | -350 | $138.14 | $-48,349 | ||
Management checks
We assess Autodesk's management by checking for:- Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
- Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
- Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
- Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check) Autodesk has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.
Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .
Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.
News
Simply Wall St News
Is Autodesk's 198% Share Price Increase Well Justified?
But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. … It's also good to see the share price up 11% over the last quarter. … That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleIs It Time To Consider Buying Autodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK)?
As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock? … However, what if the stock is still a bargain … Let’s take a look at Autodesk’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleIs Autodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK) Worth US$134 Based On Intrinsic Value?
by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. … discounted cash flows (DCF). … Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model
Simply Wall St - – Full articleShould You Buy Autodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK)?
received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NasdaqGS over the last few months, increasing to $141.26 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $122.75. … A question to answer is whether Autodesk's current trading price of $127.62 reflective of the actual value of the? … Let’s take a look at Autodesk’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change
Simply Wall St - – Full articleAutodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK) Investors Are Paying Above The Intrinsic Value
Today, I will calculate the stock's intrinsic value. … by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to today's value. … Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model
Simply Wall St - – Full articleAutodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK) Is Expected To Breakeven
I’ve put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for ADSK, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate. … View our latest analysis for Autodesk According to the industry analysts covering ADSK, breakeven is near. … NasdaqGS:ADSK Past Future Earnings Jun 7th 18 I’m not going to go through company-specific developments for ADSK given that this is a high-level summary, though, take into account that typically a high forecast growth rate is not unusual for a company that is currently undergoing an investment period.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleWhat Can We Expect for Autodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK) Moving Forward?
Tech analysts are forecasting for the entire software tech industry, a positive double-digit growth of 19.90% in the upcoming year , and an enormous growth of 63.73% over the next couple of years. … In the past year, the industry delivered growth in the teens, though still underperforming the wider US stock market. … If Autodesk has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be the time to enter into the stock, if you like its growth prospects and are not highly concentrated in the tech industry.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleWho Are The Major Shareholders In Autodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK)?
Check out our latest analysis for Autodesk NasdaqGS:ADSK Ownership_summary May 18th 18 Institutional Ownership In ADSK's case, institutional ownership stands at 97.01%, significant enough to cause considerable price moves in the case of large institutional transactions, especially when there is a low level of public shares available on the market to trade. … This size of ownership, while considerably small for a public company, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders. … Next Steps: ADSK's considerably high level of institutional ownership calls for further analysis into its margin of safety.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleShould You Have Autodesk Inc's (NASDAQ:ADSK) In Your Portfolio?
A widely-used metric to measure a stock's market risk is beta, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. … Therefore, investors can expect a low beta associated with the size of ADSK, but a higher beta given the nature of the industry it operates in. … However, this is the opposite to what ADSK’s actual beta value suggests, which is higher stock volatility relative to the market.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleAutodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK) Investors Are Paying Above The Intrinsic Value
Today I will be providing a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Autodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK) as an investment opportunity by taking the foreast future cash flows of the company and discounting them back to today's value. … 5-year cash flow estimate 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Levered FCF ($, Millions) $-143.63 $356.85 $1,297.85 $1,625.33 $1,994.38 Source Analyst x12 Analyst x11 Analyst x15 Analyst x6 Analyst x4 Present Value Discounted @ 9.74% $-130.89 $296.31 $982.03 $1,120.67 $1,253.07 Present Value of 5-year Cash Flow (PVCF)= $3,521 After calculating the present value of future cash flows in the intial 5-year period we need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all the future cash flows beyond the first stage. … Terminal Value (TV) = FCF2022 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = $1,994 × (1 + 2.5%) ÷ (9.7% – 2.5%) = $28,109 Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV) = TV / (1 + r)5 = $28,109 / ( 1 + 9.7%)5 = $17,661 The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the cash flows, which in this case is $21,182.
Simply Wall St - – Full articleCompany Info
Description
Autodesk, Inc. operates as a design software and services company worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD, a professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization software; and AutoCAD LT, a professional drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; and AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects. It also provides Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; Revit software for building information modeling; and Inventor tool for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation. In addition, the company offers BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; Shotgun, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry; and Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool. It licenses or sells its products to customers in the architecture, engineering, and construction; manufacturing; and digital media, consumer, and entertainment industries directly, as well as through distributors and resellers. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California.
Details
| Name: | Autodesk, Inc. |
| ADSK | |
| Exchange: | NasdaqGS |
| Founded: | 1982 |
| $33,795,253,483 | |
| 219,008,836 | |
| Website: | http://www.autodesk.com |
| Address: |
Autodesk, Inc. 111 McInnis Parkway, San Rafael, California, 94903, United States |
Listings
| Exchange Symbol | Ticker Symbol | Security | Exchange | Country | Currency | Listed on | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NasdaqGS | ADSK | Common Stock | Nasdaq Global Select | US | USD | 28. Jun 1985 | |
| DB | AUD | Common Stock | Deutsche Boerse AG | DE | EUR | 28. Jun 1985 | |
| LSE | 0HJF | Common Stock | London Stock Exchange | GB | USD | 28. Jun 1985 | |
| WBAG | ADSK | Common Stock | Wiener Boerse AG | AT | EUR | 28. Jun 1985 | |
| BMV | ADSK * | Common Stock | Bolsa Mexicana de Valores | MX | MXN | 28. Jun 1985 |
Number of employees
Current staff
Industry
| Application Software | |
| Software |
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Area | Date (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis updated: | 2019/03/20 23:32 |
| End of day share price update: | 2019/03/20 00:00 |
| Last estimates confirmation: | 2019/03/07 |
| Last earnings filing: | 2019/02/28 |
| Last earnings reported: | 2019/01/31 |
| Last annual earnings reported: | 2019/01/31 |
All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
