Autodesk, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ADSK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$65.6b

Autodesk Valuation

Is ADSK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADSK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADSK ($305.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($243.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADSK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADSK?

Key metric: As ADSK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADSK. This is calculated by dividing ADSK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADSK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio62.1x
EarningsUS$1.06b
Market CapUS$65.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADSK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average68x
ROP Roper Technologies
40.1x10.7%US$58.8b
FICO Fair Isaac
108.5x18.8%US$55.6b
WDAY Workday
44.5x13.4%US$68.6b
CDNS Cadence Design Systems
79.1x16.4%US$82.2b
ADSK Autodesk
62.1x15.7%US$65.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADSK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.1x) compared to the peer average (68x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AISP Airship AI Holdings
4.8x-27.8%US$74.21m
GRRR Gorilla Technology Group
2x-67.4%US$45.52m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
2.1xn/aUS$35.53m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.8xn/aUS$19.19m
ADSK 62.1xIndustry Avg. 41.0xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.1x) compared to the US Software industry average (41x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADSK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADSK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio62.1x
Fair PE Ratio45.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADSK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$305.20
US$304.47
-0.2%
9.6%US$355.00US$245.00n/a26
Nov ’25US$286.57
US$296.85
+3.6%
8.4%US$340.00US$245.00n/a26
Oct ’25US$267.47
US$292.52
+9.4%
7.6%US$325.00US$245.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$258.40
US$287.41
+11.2%
9.3%US$325.00US$225.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$241.78
US$270.56
+11.9%
8.9%US$310.00US$225.00n/a23
Jul ’25US$245.83
US$269.69
+9.7%
9.1%US$310.00US$225.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$201.60
US$278.74
+38.3%
8.1%US$310.00US$230.00n/a24
May ’25US$210.71
US$287.11
+36.3%
8.7%US$320.00US$230.00n/a25
Apr ’25US$259.44
US$287.11
+10.7%
8.7%US$320.00US$230.00n/a25
Mar ’25US$264.74
US$282.85
+6.8%
10.1%US$320.00US$230.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$255.07
US$247.03
-3.2%
10.1%US$285.00US$180.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$243.48
US$237.94
-2.3%
8.6%US$285.00US$180.00n/a25
Dec ’24US$224.93
US$233.44
+3.8%
6.8%US$260.00US$180.00n/a25
Nov ’24US$198.93
US$236.28
+18.8%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00US$286.5725
Oct ’24US$206.91
US$236.28
+14.2%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00US$267.4725
Sep ’24US$220.02
US$236.92
+7.7%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00US$258.4024
Aug ’24US$212.45
US$231.44
+8.9%
8.8%US$265.00US$175.00US$241.7824
Jul ’24US$204.61
US$230.19
+12.5%
8.7%US$265.00US$175.00US$245.8324
Jun ’24US$203.30
US$229.75
+13.0%
8.8%US$265.00US$175.00US$201.6024
May ’24US$196.47
US$235.20
+19.7%
10.7%US$300.00US$175.00US$210.7125
Apr ’24US$208.16
US$234.20
+12.5%
11.1%US$300.00US$175.00US$259.4425
Mar ’24US$196.38
US$233.94
+19.1%
11.2%US$300.00US$175.00US$264.7425
Feb ’24US$222.19
US$230.85
+3.9%
12.2%US$325.00US$180.00US$255.0724
Jan ’24US$186.87
US$229.58
+22.9%
12.3%US$325.00US$180.00US$243.4823
Dec ’23US$206.93
US$229.81
+11.1%
12.3%US$325.00US$180.00US$224.9322
Nov ’23US$214.05
US$250.18
+16.9%
14.1%US$355.00US$180.00US$198.9322

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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