Autodesk Valuation

Is ADSK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADSK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADSK ($210.63) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($172.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADSK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADSK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ADSK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA37.1x
PEG Ratio3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADSK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.3x
ROP Roper Technologies
41.2x12.3%US$56.4b
WDAY Workday
48.9x13.4%US$67.5b
CDNS Cadence Design Systems
74.9x15.9%US$77.9b
SNPS Synopsys
56.3x13.8%US$79.3b
ADSK Autodesk
49.7x16.8%US$45.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADSK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.7x) compared to the peer average (55.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.7x) compared to the US Software industry average (40.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADSK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADSK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.7x
Fair PE Ratio46x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADSK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$210.63
US$287.11
+36.3%
8.7%US$320.00US$230.00n/a25
Apr ’25US$259.44
US$287.11
+10.7%
8.7%US$320.00US$230.00n/a25
Mar ’25US$264.74
US$282.85
+6.8%
10.1%US$320.00US$230.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$255.07
US$247.03
-3.2%
10.1%US$285.00US$180.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$243.48
US$237.94
-2.3%
8.6%US$285.00US$180.00n/a25
Dec ’24US$224.93
US$233.44
+3.8%
6.8%US$260.00US$180.00n/a25
Nov ’24US$198.93
US$236.28
+18.8%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00n/a25
Oct ’24US$206.91
US$236.28
+14.2%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00n/a25
Sep ’24US$220.02
US$236.92
+7.7%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00n/a24
Aug ’24US$212.45
US$231.44
+8.9%
8.8%US$265.00US$175.00n/a24
Jul ’24US$204.61
US$230.19
+12.5%
8.7%US$265.00US$175.00n/a24
Jun ’24US$203.30
US$229.75
+13.0%
8.8%US$265.00US$175.00n/a24
May ’24US$196.47
US$235.20
+19.7%
10.7%US$300.00US$175.00n/a25
Apr ’24US$208.16
US$234.20
+12.5%
11.1%US$300.00US$175.00US$259.4425
Mar ’24US$196.38
US$233.94
+19.1%
11.2%US$300.00US$175.00US$264.7425
Feb ’24US$222.19
US$230.85
+3.9%
12.2%US$325.00US$180.00US$255.0724
Jan ’24US$186.87
US$229.58
+22.9%
12.3%US$325.00US$180.00US$243.4823
Dec ’23US$206.93
US$229.81
+11.1%
12.3%US$325.00US$180.00US$224.9322
Nov ’23US$214.05
US$250.18
+16.9%
14.1%US$355.00US$180.00US$198.9322
Oct ’23US$186.80
US$250.40
+34.0%
13.9%US$355.00US$185.00US$206.9122
Sep ’23US$201.95
US$255.04
+26.3%
13.7%US$355.00US$185.00US$220.0221
Aug ’23US$218.14
US$245.60
+12.6%
15.0%US$355.00US$185.00US$212.4520
Jul ’23US$173.86
US$247.88
+42.6%
15.4%US$355.00US$185.00US$204.6118
Jun ’23US$207.38
US$255.94
+23.4%
16.8%US$360.00US$185.00US$203.3019
May ’23US$189.28
US$281.54
+48.7%
16.8%US$440.00US$210.00US$196.4720
Apr ’23US$213.04
US$289.32
+35.8%
17.8%US$440.00US$220.00US$208.1621

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.