Autodesk, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ADSK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$63.9b

Autodesk Valuation

Is ADSK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADSK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADSK ($297.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($288.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADSK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADSK?

Key metric: As ADSK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADSK. This is calculated by dividing ADSK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADSK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio58.6x
EarningsUS$1.09b
Market CapUS$63.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADSK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average57.2x
ROP Roper Technologies
38.1x10.7%US$56.2b
SNPS Synopsys
52.2x13.0%US$75.9b
WDAY Workday
43x10.6%US$70.8b
FICO Fair Isaac
95.6x18.6%US$49.6b
ADSK Autodesk
58.6x14.3%US$63.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.6x) compared to the peer average (57.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YXT YXT.COM Group Holding
2.3xn/aUS$156.80m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
2xn/aUS$28.38m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.7xn/aUS$18.00m
ULY Urgent.ly
0.07x-13.0%US$6.48m
ADSK 58.6xIndustry Avg. 40.7xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.6x) compared to the US Software industry average (40.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADSK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADSK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio58.6x
Fair PE Ratio44.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADSK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$297.53
US$327.01
+9.9%
9.1%US$380.00US$275.00n/a29
Dec ’25US$291.90
US$319.38
+9.4%
10.0%US$375.00US$245.00n/a27
Nov ’25US$286.57
US$296.85
+3.6%
8.4%US$340.00US$245.00n/a26
Oct ’25US$267.47
US$292.52
+9.4%
7.6%US$325.00US$245.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$258.40
US$287.41
+11.2%
9.3%US$325.00US$225.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$241.78
US$270.56
+11.9%
8.9%US$310.00US$225.00n/a23
Jul ’25US$245.83
US$269.69
+9.7%
9.1%US$310.00US$225.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$201.60
US$278.74
+38.3%
8.1%US$310.00US$230.00n/a24
May ’25US$210.71
US$287.11
+36.3%
8.7%US$320.00US$230.00n/a25
Apr ’25US$259.44
US$287.11
+10.7%
8.7%US$320.00US$230.00n/a25
Mar ’25US$264.74
US$282.85
+6.8%
10.1%US$320.00US$230.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$255.07
US$247.03
-3.2%
10.1%US$285.00US$180.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$243.48
US$237.94
-2.3%
8.6%US$285.00US$180.00n/a25
Dec ’24US$224.93
US$233.44
+3.8%
6.8%US$260.00US$180.00US$291.9025
Nov ’24US$198.93
US$236.28
+18.8%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00US$286.5725
Oct ’24US$206.91
US$236.28
+14.2%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00US$267.4725
Sep ’24US$220.02
US$236.92
+7.7%
9.0%US$270.00US$178.00US$258.4024
Aug ’24US$212.45
US$231.44
+8.9%
8.8%US$265.00US$175.00US$241.7824
Jul ’24US$204.61
US$230.19
+12.5%
8.7%US$265.00US$175.00US$245.8324
Jun ’24US$203.30
US$229.75
+13.0%
8.8%US$265.00US$175.00US$201.6024
May ’24US$196.47
US$235.20
+19.7%
10.7%US$300.00US$175.00US$210.7125
Apr ’24US$208.16
US$234.20
+12.5%
11.1%US$300.00US$175.00US$259.4425
Mar ’24US$196.38
US$233.94
+19.1%
11.2%US$300.00US$175.00US$264.7425
Feb ’24US$222.19
US$230.85
+3.9%
12.2%US$325.00US$180.00US$255.0724
Jan ’24US$186.87
US$229.58
+22.9%
12.3%US$325.00US$180.00US$243.4823
Dec ’23US$206.93
US$229.81
+11.1%
12.3%US$325.00US$180.00US$224.9322

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 22:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Autodesk, Inc. is covered by 63 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Louis Edmond LardenoisArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company
Joseph VruwinkBaird