Stock Analysis

We Think Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

NYSE:VIPS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Vipshop Holdings

How Much Debt Does Vipshop Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Vipshop Holdings had CN¥791.2m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥1.35b, one year before. But it also has CN¥19.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥18.5b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:VIPS Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2023

How Strong Is Vipshop Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Vipshop Holdings had liabilities of CN¥24.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.92b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥19.3b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.60b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.21b.

Given Vipshop Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥62.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Vipshop Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On top of that, Vipshop Holdings grew its EBIT by 52% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vipshop Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Vipshop Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Vipshop Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Vipshop Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥18.5b. And we liked the look of last year's 52% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Vipshop Holdings's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Vipshop Holdings's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vipshop Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.