Stock Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) earnings have declined over three years, contributing to shareholders 55% loss

NYSE:BABA
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Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. Long term Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 55% drop in the share price over that period. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 25% in the last year. But it's up 6.3% in the last week.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

View our latest analysis for Alibaba Group Holding

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Alibaba Group Holding's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 42% each year. In comparison the 23% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. With a P/E ratio of 46.83, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:BABA Earnings Per Share Growth March 28th 2023

This free interactive report on Alibaba Group Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 14% in the twelve months, Alibaba Group Holding shareholders did even worse, losing 25%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Alibaba Group Holding better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Alibaba Group Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: Alibaba Group Holding may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:BABA

Alibaba Group Holding

Through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.