DLTR Stock Overview
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores.
Dollar Tree Competitors
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||US$157.13|
|52 Week High||US$177.19|
|52 Week Low||US$84.26|
|1 Month Change||-4.77%|
|3 Month Change||-0.93%|
|1 Year Change||58.11%|
|3 Year Change||42.73%|
|5 Year Change||124.83%|
|Change since IPO||13,344.59%|
Recent News & Updates
Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Shares Could Be 31% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Dollar Tree, Inc...
Dollar Tree: A Welcoming Destination During Recessions (Unlike Target)
Dollar Tree is a counter-cyclical name that has stronger appeal during recessions. Target’s recent earnings where consumers are trading down on goods suggests strength in DLTR products. Rising gas prices do serve to be a concern for certain customer demographics who are unable to visit discount retailers as often. Dollar Tree can be positioned as a macro hedge against uncertainty as a reasonable priced defensive name.
|DLTR||US Multiline Retail||US Market|
Return vs Industry: DLTR exceeded the US Multiline Retail industry which returned -13.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: DLTR exceeded the US Market which returned -18.4% over the past year.
|DLTR Average Weekly Movement||8.5%|
|Multiline Retail Industry Average Movement||9.9%|
|Market Average Movement||8.1%|
|10% most volatile stocks in US Market||16.7%|
|10% least volatile stocks in US Market||3.2%|
Stable Share Price: DLTR is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.
Volatility Over Time: DLTR's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores. It operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of $ 1.25.
Dollar Tree Fundamentals Summary
|DLTR fundamental statistics|
Is DLTR overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|DLTR income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||US$18.62b|
Last Reported Earnings
Apr 30, 2022
Next Earnings Date
|Earnings per share (EPS)||6.63|
|Net Profit Margin||5.57%|
How did DLTR perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
Is DLTR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 3/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DLTR?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
|What is DLTR's n/a Ratio?|
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does DLTR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
|DLTR PE Ratio vs Peers|
|Company||PE||Estimated Growth||Market Cap|
DG Dollar General
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings
MNSO MINISO Group Holding
DLTR Dollar Tree
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DLTR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the peer average (24.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does DLTR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DLTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average (10.7x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is DLTR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
|Current PE Ratio||23.7x|
|Fair PE Ratio||18.3x|
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DLTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of DLTR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: DLTR ($157.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($233.55)
Significantly Below Fair Value: DLTR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: DLTR is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (2.8x)
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How is Dollar Tree forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 22 analysts?
Future Growth Score2/6
Future Growth Score 2/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: DLTR's forecast earnings growth (8.5% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).
Earnings vs Market: DLTR's earnings (8.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: DLTR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: DLTR's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: DLTR's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: DLTR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (20.9%)
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How has Dollar Tree performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score3/6
Past Performance Score 3/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: DLTR has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: DLTR's current net profit margins (5.6%) are lower than last year (5.7%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: DLTR's earnings have grown by 7.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: DLTR's earnings growth over the past year (1.5%) is below its 5-year average (7.6% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: DLTR earnings growth over the past year (1.5%) exceeded the Multiline Retail industry -4.9%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: DLTR's Return on Equity (18.1%) is considered low.
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How is Dollar Tree's financial position?
Financial Health Score5/6
Financial Health Score 5/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: DLTR's short term assets ($6.3B) exceed its short term liabilities ($4.3B).
Long Term Liabilities: DLTR's short term assets ($6.3B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($9.8B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: DLTR's net debt to equity ratio (26.7%) is considered satisfactory.
Reducing Debt: DLTR's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 112% to 41.5% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: DLTR's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (41.4%).
Interest Coverage: DLTR's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (15.4x coverage).
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What is Dollar Tree current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 0/6
Future Dividend Coverage
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate DLTR's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate DLTR's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if DLTR's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if DLTR's dividend payments have been increasing.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as DLTR has not reported any payouts.
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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Mike Witynski (58 yo)
Mr. Michael A. Witynski, also known as Mike, serves as President and Chief Executive Officer at Dollar Tree, Inc. since July 2020 and serves as its Director since September 23, 2020. He served as President...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Mike's total compensation ($USD10.25M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD13.43M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Mike's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Experienced Management: DLTR's management team is seasoned and experienced (5.2 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: DLTR's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 0.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: DLTR insiders have sold more shares than they have bought in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Dollar Tree, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Dollar Tree, Inc.
- Ticker: DLTR
- Exchange: NasdaqGS
- Founded: 1986
- Industry: General Merchandise Stores
- Sector: Retail
- Implied Market Cap: US$35.284b
- Shares outstanding: 224.56m
- Website: https://www.dollartree.com
Number of Employees
- Dollar Tree, Inc.
- 500 Volvo Parkway
- United States
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/06/27 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/06/27 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.