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Dollar Tree

Nasdaq:DLTR
Snowflake Description

Limited growth with imperfect balance sheet.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
DLTR
Nasdaq
$26B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Retail
Company description

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores. The last earnings update was 18 days ago. More info.


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DLTR Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
1.5%
NasdaqGS:DLTR
1.9%
US Multiline Retail
0.3%
US Market
1 Year Returns
23.9%
NasdaqGS:DLTR
5.7%
US Multiline Retail
0.7%
US Market
DLTR Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Dollar Tree (DLTR) 1.5% 7.7% 6.7% 23.9% 16.7% 101.1%
US Multiline Retail 1.9% 9% 4.6% 5.7% 21.7% 23.2%
US Market 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 37.2% 37.4%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • DLTR outperformed the Multiline Retail industry which returned 5.7% over the past year.
  • DLTR outperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 0.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
DLTR
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market
Related Companies

Value

 Is Dollar Tree undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Dollar Tree to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Dollar Tree.

NasdaqGS:DLTR Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 26 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 7.5%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for NasdaqGS:DLTR
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6%
Multiline Retail Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.48
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.48 (1 + (1- 21%) (40.22%))
0.754
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
0.8
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (0.8 * 5.96%)
7.5%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NasdaqGS:DLTR using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Dollar Tree is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

NasdaqGS:DLTR DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 7.5%)
2019 1,251.16 Analyst x8 1,163.89
2020 913.59 Analyst x8 790.59
2021 1,202.22 Analyst x10 967.79
2022 1,242.23 Analyst x4 930.25
2023 1,349.85 Analyst x2 940.34
2024 1,448.55 Analyst x2 938.71
2025 1,525.95 Est @ 5.34% 919.90
2026 1,595.53 Est @ 4.56% 894.75
2027 1,659.52 Est @ 4.01% 865.72
2028 1,719.70 Est @ 3.63% 834.54
Present value of next 10 years cash flows $9,246.48
NasdaqGS:DLTR DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2028 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $1,719.70 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (7.5% – 2.73%)
$37,052.13
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $37,052.13 ÷ (1 + 7.5%)10
$17,980.81
NasdaqGS:DLTR Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $9,246.48 + $17,980.81
$27,227.29
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $27,227.29 / 237.58
$114.6
NasdaqGS:DLTR Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (USD) From above. $114.60
Current discount Discount to share price of $108.13
= -1 x ($108.13 - $114.60) / $114.60
5.6%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price Dollar Tree is available for.
Intrinsic value
6%
Share price is $108.13 vs Future cash flow value of $114.6
Current Discount Checks
For Dollar Tree to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • Dollar Tree's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a moderate discount (< 20%).
  • Dollar Tree's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Dollar Tree's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Dollar Tree's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:DLTR PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2019-05-04) in USD $-6.23
NasdaqGS:DLTR Share Price ** NasdaqGS (2019-06-17) in USD $108.13
United States of America Multiline Retail Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 8 Publicly-Listed Multiline Retail Companies 10.15x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,093 Publicly-Listed Companies 17.68x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Dollar Tree.

NasdaqGS:DLTR PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NasdaqGS:DLTR Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 108.13 ÷ -6.23

-17.35x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Dollar Tree is loss making, we can't compare its value to the US Multiline Retail industry average.
  • Dollar Tree is loss making, we can't compare the value of its earnings to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Dollar Tree's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:DLTR PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section -17.35x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 26 Analysts
15%per year
United States of America Multiline Retail Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 8 Publicly-Listed Multiline Retail Companies 1.78x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,125 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.52x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Unable to calculate PEG ratio for Dollar Tree, we can't assess if its growth is good value.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Dollar Tree's assets?
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:DLTR PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2019-05-04) in USD $24.23
NasdaqGS:DLTR Share Price * NasdaqGS (2019-06-17) in USD $108.13
United States of America Multiline Retail Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 12 Publicly-Listed Multiline Retail Companies 1.58x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,245 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.79x
NasdaqGS:DLTR PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NasdaqGS:DLTR Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 108.13 ÷ 24.23

4.46x

* Primary Listing of Dollar Tree.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Dollar Tree is overvalued based on assets compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Dollar Tree's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Multiline Retail industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Multiline Retail industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Dollar Tree has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is Dollar Tree expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 26 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
15%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Dollar Tree expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Dollar Tree's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Dollar Tree's earnings growth is expected to exceed the United States of America market average.
  • Dollar Tree's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:DLTR Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
NasdaqGS:DLTR Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 26 Analysts 15%
NasdaqGS:DLTR Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 26 Analysts 4.4%
United States of America Multiline Retail Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 6.5%
United States of America Multiline Retail Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 4.2%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13.8%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7.3%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:DLTR Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (1 month ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 26 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
NasdaqGS:DLTR Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2024-01-31 28,264 2,526 1,658 2
2023-01-31 26,962 2,401 1,549 2
2022-01-31 25,887 2,287 1,523 9
2021-01-31 24,770 2,131 1,423 25
2020-01-31 23,690 1,955 1,200 26
NasdaqGS:DLTR Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2019-05-04 23,078 1,993 -1,483
2019-02-02 22,823 1,766 -1,591
2018-11-03 22,979 1,969 1,756
2018-08-04 22,757 1,604 1,714
2018-05-05 22,512 1,467 1,674
2018-02-03 22,246 1,510 1,714
2017-10-28 21,520 1,611 996
2017-07-29 21,205 1,668 928
2017-04-29 20,921 1,793 864
2017-01-28 20,719 1,673 896
2016-10-29 20,449 1,487 803
2016-07-30 20,393 1,507 714

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Dollar Tree's earnings are expected to grow by 15% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
  • Dollar Tree's revenue is expected to grow by 4.4% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:DLTR Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (1 month ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 26 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Dollar Tree Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NasdaqGS:DLTR Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2024-01-31 7.06 7.51 6.61 2.00
2023-01-31 6.57 6.90 6.24 2.00
2022-01-31 6.47 7.24 5.87 5.00
2021-01-31 6.02 6.48 5.40 15.00
2020-01-31 5.04 5.32 4.77 12.00
NasdaqGS:DLTR Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2019-05-04 -6.23
2019-02-02 -6.69
2018-11-03 7.39
2018-08-04 7.22
2018-05-05 7.06
2018-02-03 7.24
2017-10-28 4.21
2017-07-29 3.93
2017-04-29 3.66
2017-01-28 3.80
2016-10-29 3.41
2016-07-30 3.04

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Dollar Tree is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess Dollar Tree's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Dollar Tree has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has Dollar Tree performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Dollar Tree's growth in the last year to its industry (Multiline Retail).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Dollar Tree does not make a profit and their year on year earnings growth rate was negative over the past 5 years.
  • Unable to compare Dollar Tree's 1-year earnings growth to the 5-year average as it is not currently profitable.
  • Unable to compare Dollar Tree's 1-year growth to the US Multiline Retail industry average as it is not currently profitable.
Earnings and Revenue History
Dollar Tree's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Dollar Tree Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NasdaqGS:DLTR Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2019-05-04 23,078.30 -1,483.40 6,638.00
2019-02-02 22,823.30 -1,590.80 6,558.30
2018-11-03 22,978.70 1,756.30 6,506.00
2018-08-04 22,756.50 1,714.40 6,462.70
2018-05-05 22,512.10 1,674.30 6,389.60
2018-02-03 22,245.50 1,714.30 6,365.90
2017-10-28 21,520.40 996.00 6,187.40
2017-07-29 21,205.40 927.70 6,124.70
2017-04-29 20,920.50 864.00 6,071.50
2017-01-28 20,719.20 896.20 5,969.10
2016-10-29 20,449.00 803.40 5,649.00
2016-07-30 20,392.70 713.70 5,636.70
2016-04-30 18,407.50 445.60 5,195.60
2016-01-30 15,498.40 282.40 4,565.40
2015-10-31 12,608.70 259.90 3,450.10
2015-08-01 9,758.60 311.00 2,775.50
2015-05-02 8,778.60 530.40 2,543.10
2015-01-31 8,602.20 599.20 2,502.10
2014-11-01 8,361.50 605.80 2,412.20
2014-08-02 8,151.00 598.20 2,376.60
2014-05-03 7,974.80 601.50 2,342.50
2014-02-01 7,840.30 596.70 2,317.20
2013-11-02 7,851.20 612.20 2,286.80
2013-08-03 7,687.00 642.20 2,246.60
2013-05-04 7,536.70 636.70 2,214.30
2013-02-02 7,394.50 619.30 2,189.60
2012-10-27 7,094.30 578.60 2,100.50
2012-07-28 6,970.40 527.70 2,080.80

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • It is difficult to establish if Dollar Tree has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%) as it is loss-making.
  • It is difficult to establish if Dollar Tree has efficiently used its assets last year compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average (Return on Assets) as it is loss-making.
  • It is difficult to establish if Dollar Tree improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed) as it is currently loss-making.
X
Past performance checks
We assess Dollar Tree's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Multiline Retail industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Dollar Tree has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is Dollar Tree's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Dollar Tree's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Dollar Tree is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Dollar Tree's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Dollar Tree's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Dollar Tree Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago.

NasdaqGS:DLTR Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2019-05-04 5,755.90 10,332.30 725.80
2019-02-02 5,642.90 4,265.30 422.10
2018-11-03 7,943.10 5,043.80 708.30
2018-08-04 7,647.50 5,041.80 647.30
2018-05-05 7,355.70 5,040.10 475.20
2018-02-03 7,182.30 5,678.00 1,097.80
2017-10-28 6,116.50 5,722.90 400.10
2017-07-29 5,860.20 5,760.90 697.30
2017-04-29 5,609.00 6,297.60 1,158.90
2017-01-28 5,389.50 6,321.80 870.40
2016-10-29 5,047.70 7,083.80 737.80
2016-07-30 4,856.90 7,301.20 1,097.20
2016-04-30 4,669.60 7,330.30 933.70
2016-01-30 4,406.90 7,346.40 740.10
2015-10-31 4,142.20 8,343.50 1,110.90
2015-08-01 4,047.00 8,348.50 1,306.50
2015-05-02 1,870.80 7,819.70 870.40
2015-01-31 1,785.00 682.70 864.10
2014-11-01 1,585.10 757.00 407.60
2014-08-02 1,448.10 757.00 467.70
2014-05-03 1,317.80 757.00 387.10
2014-02-01 1,170.70 769.80 267.70
2013-11-02 959.00 1,019.80 147.10
2013-08-03 1,825.90 269.80 413.70
2013-05-04 1,739.70 271.30 383.30
2013-02-02 1,667.30 271.30 399.90
2012-10-27 1,538.90 264.30 222.40
2012-07-28 1,523.00 264.30 379.80
  • Dollar Tree's level of debt (74.1%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (57.3% vs 74.1% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (46.7%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Dollar Tree is making a loss, therefore interest payments are not well covered by earnings.
X
Financial health checks
We assess Dollar Tree's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Dollar Tree has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is Dollar Tree's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
0%
Current annual income from Dollar Tree dividends. Estimated to be 0% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of Dollar Tree shares you are expected to receive $0 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Unable to evaluate Dollar Tree's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to evaluate Dollar Tree's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:DLTR Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 26 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Multiline Retail Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 7 Stocks 2.8%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 2011 Stocks 2.5%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.5%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.7%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

NasdaqGS:DLTR Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2024-01-31
2023-01-31
2022-01-31 0.00 4.00
2021-01-31 0.00 6.00
2020-01-31 0.00 6.00

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as Dollar Tree has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to verify if Dollar Tree's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Dollar Tree's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as Dollar Tree has not reported any payouts.
Future Payout to shareholders
  • No need to calculate the sustainability of Dollar Tree's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for United States of America.
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Dollar Tree's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Dollar Tree afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Dollar Tree has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of Dollar Tree's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Gary Philbin
COMPENSATION $9,398,842
AGE 61
TENURE AS CEO 1.8 years
CEO Bio

Mr. Gary M. Philbin has been the Chief Executive Officer, President and Director at Dollar Tree, Inc. since September 18, 2017 and served as its Enterprise President since January 2017. Mr. Philbin served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Family Dollar Stores Inc. from July 6, 2015 to January 5, 2017. Mr. Philbin served as Chief Operating Officer of Dollar Tree, Inc. from March 2007 to July 2015. He served as President and Chief Executive Officer of The Grand Union Company since February 13, 2000. He served as Senior Vice President of Stores at Dollar Tree, Inc. (alternate name, Dollar Tree Stores Inc.) from December 2001 to March 2007. Prior to joining Dollar Tree, Mr. Philbin held senior-level positions in both merchandising and operations during his thirty years in the retail grocery industry. He served as President and Chief Merchandising Officer of The Grand Union Company since joining in October 1997. From June 1996 to 1997, He served as Executive Vice President in charge of Merchandising and Operations for the Cub Food Store Division of SuperValu, Inc., Minnesota. Before joining Cub Foods, he served as Senior Vice President of Merchandising at the Waldbaum's Division, New York, of the Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company, a leading supermarket chain based in New Jersey, from July 1993 to 1996. Prior to his employment with Waldbaum's, Mr. Philbin also held various positions in Store Operations and Merchandising over his 20 year career with the Kroger Company, beginning in 1973. He served as a Director of The Grand Union Company since October 1997.

CEO Compensation
  • Gary's compensation has increased whilst company is loss making.
  • Gary's remuneration is about average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Dollar Tree management team in years:

4.9
Average Tenure
55.5
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Dollar Tree management team is about average.
Management Team

Bob Sasser

TITLE
Executive Chairman
COMPENSATION
$11M
AGE
66

Gary Philbin

TITLE
President
COMPENSATION
$9M
AGE
61
TENURE
1.8 yrs

H. Compton

TITLE
Co-Founder
COMPENSATION
$78K
AGE
75
TENURE
33.4 yrs

Kevin Wampler

TITLE
Chief Financial Officer
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
55
TENURE
10.5 yrs

Mike Witynski

TITLE
President & COO of Dollar Tree Stores Inc
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
55
TENURE
2 yrs

Duncan Mac Naughton

TITLE
President of the Family Dollar Stores Inc
COMPENSATION
$4M
AGE
56
TENURE
2.5 yrs

Katie Mallas

TITLE
Senior VP & Principal Accounting Officer
COMPENSATION
$452K
AGE
48
TENURE
11.7 yrs

Joshua Jewett

TITLE
Chief Information Officer
AGE
49
TENURE
3.3 yrs

Randy Guiler

TITLE
Vice President of Investor Relations
AGE
53
TENURE
4.9 yrs

Will Old

TITLE
Chief Legal Officer
AGE
64
TENURE
6.4 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Dollar Tree board of directors in years:

10.3
Average Tenure
67
Average Age
  • The average tenure for the Dollar Tree board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
Board of Directors

Gary Philbin

TITLE
President
COMPENSATION
$9M
AGE
61
TENURE
1.8 yrs

Tom Whiddon

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$285K
AGE
65
TENURE
15.5 yrs

Bob Sasser

TITLE
Executive Chairman
COMPENSATION
$11M
AGE
66
TENURE
1.8 yrs

Greg Bridgeford

TITLE
Lead Director
COMPENSATION
$270K
AGE
63
TENURE
0.3 yrs

Stephanie Stahl

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$302K
AGE
51
TENURE
1.4 yrs

Tom Saunders

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$310K
AGE
81
TENURE
26.4 yrs

Carl Zeithaml

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$270K
AGE
68
TENURE
11.9 yrs

Lem Lewis

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$275K
AGE
71
TENURE
11.9 yrs

Arnold Barron

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$285K
AGE
70
TENURE
11.3 yrs

Conrad Hall

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$286K
AGE
74
TENURE
9.4 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • Dollar Tree insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
14. Jun 19 Sell David Jacobs Individual 13. Jun 19 13. Jun 19 -8,672 $107.63 $-933,361
11. Jun 19 Sell Michael Witynski Individual 10. Jun 19 10. Jun 19 -6,858 $103.81 $-711,902
06. Jun 19 Sell Duncan Mac Naughton Individual 06. Jun 19 06. Jun 19 -9,157 $102.11 $-935,012
04. Jun 19 Sell Joshua Jewett Individual 03. Jun 19 03. Jun 19 -3,632 $101.67 $-369,260
22. Mar 19 Sell Robert Rudman Individual 21. Mar 19 21. Mar 19 -4,210 $101.86 $-428,834
21. Mar 19 Sell Arnold Barron Individual 19. Mar 19 19. Mar 19 -11,667 $101.61 $-1,185,461
15. Mar 19 Buy Lemuel Lewis Individual 15. Mar 19 15. Mar 19 1,000 $99.98 $99,980
13. Mar 19 Sell Joshua Jewett Individual 12. Mar 19 12. Mar 19 -3,430 $102.40 $-351,221
11. Mar 19 Sell Michael Witynski Individual 11. Mar 19 11. Mar 19 -6,380 $102.83 $-656,083
11. Mar 19 Sell David Jacobs Individual 11. Mar 19 11. Mar 19 -13,310 $102.80 $-1,368,332
11. Mar 19 Sell William Old Individual 11. Mar 19 11. Mar 19 -6,580 $102.75 $-676,111
11. Mar 19 Sell Gary Maxwell Individual 11. Mar 19 11. Mar 19 -2,900 $103.54 $-300,271
28. Sep 18 Buy Lemuel Lewis Individual 27. Sep 18 27. Sep 18 1,210 $82.75 $100,128
X
Management checks
We assess Dollar Tree's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Dollar Tree has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

Does Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR)'s Capital Return Make The Cut?

and looking to gauge the potential return on investment in Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR). … Your equity share is granted in return for the capital provided to the business to operate, and in order for an investment to be successful the business has to create earnings from the funds that make up this capital. … Therefore, looking at how efficiently Dollar Tree is able to use capital to create earnings will help us understand your potential return.

Simply Wall St -

How Did Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR) 22% ROE Fare Against The Industry?

To keep the lesson grounded in practicality, we'll use ROE to better understand Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR). … Dollar Tree has a ROE of 22%, based on the last twelve months. … Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders' Equity

Simply Wall St -

Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR): Assessing Capital Returns

and looking to gauge the potential return on investment in Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR). … Therefore, looking at how efficiently Dollar Tree is able to use capital to create earnings will help us understand your potential return. … Investors use many different metrics but the analysis below focuses on return on capital employed (ROCE).

Simply Wall St -

Are Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR) Interest Costs Too High?

the health of the financials determines whether the company continues to succeed. … This article will examine Dollar Tree’s financial liquidity and debt levels to get an idea of whether the company can deal with cyclical downturns and maintain funds to accommodate strategic spending for future growth … Note that this commentary is very high-level and solely focused on financial health, so I suggest you dig deeper yourself

Simply Wall St -

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR)

Today I will be providing a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR) as an investment opportunity. … by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. … Discounted Cash Flows (DCF).

Simply Wall St -

What Are Analysts Saying About the future of Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR)?

Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR) … growth of 7.73% annualised … but it's critical to take a step back

Simply Wall St -

Who Are Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR) Major Shareholders?

Therefore, it is beneficial for us to examine DLTR's ownership structure in more detail. … In essence, insider ownership is more about the alignment of shareholders' interests with the management. … General Public Ownership With 4.20% ownership, the general public are a relatively smaller ownership class in DLTR.

Simply Wall St -

What Investors Should Know About Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR) Financial Strength

See our latest analysis for Dollar Tree Does DLTR produce enough cash relative to debt? … With this debt repayment, DLTR currently has US$1.10B remaining in cash and short-term investments for investing into the business. … On top of this, DLTR has produced US$1.51B in operating cash flow in the last twelve months, resulting in an operating cash to total debt ratio of 26.60%, indicating that DLTR’s debt is appropriately covered by operating cash.

Simply Wall St -

Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR) Earnings Grew 91.74%, Did It Beat Long-Term Trend?

In this commentary, I will examine Dollar Tree Inc's (NASDAQ:DLTR) latest earnings update (03 February 2018) and compare these figures against its performance over the past couple of years, as well as how the rest of the multiline retail industry performed. … For Dollar Tree, its latest trailing-twelve-month earnings is US$1.71B, which compared to last year’s level, has jumped by an impressive 91.74%. … This means that whatever tailwind the industry is benefiting from, Dollar Tree is able to amplify this to its advantage.What does this mean?

Simply Wall St -

When Should You Buy Dollar Tree Inc (NASDAQ:DLTR)?

According to my valuation model, Dollar Tree seems to be fairly priced at around 7.52% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Dollar Tree today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. … Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. … If you are no longer interested in Dollar Tree, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Simply Wall St -

Company Info

Description

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores. It operates through two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of $1.00. It provides consumable merchandise, including candy and food, and health and beauty care, as well as everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise comprising toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, and other items; and seasonal goods that include Valentine’s Day, Easter, Halloween, and Christmas merchandise. This segment operates 7,001 stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, as well as 12 distribution centers in the United States and 2 in Canada; and a store support center in Chesapeake, Virginia. The Family Dollar segment operates general merchandise discount retail stores that offer consumable merchandise, which comprise food and beverages, tobacco, health and beauty aids, household chemicals, paper products, hardware and automotive supplies, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies; and home products, including housewares, home décor, and giftware, as well as domestics, such as comforters, sheets, and towels. Its stores also provides apparel and accessories merchandise comprising clothing, fashion accessories, and shoes; and seasonal and electronics merchandise that include Valentine’s Day, Easter, Halloween, and Christmas merchandise, as well as personal electronics, which comprise pre-paid cellular phones and services, stationery and school supplies, and toys. This segment operates stores under the Family Dollar brand; and 11 distribution centers, as well as a store support center in Matthews, North Carolina. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Details
Name: Dollar Tree, Inc.
DLTR
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Founded: 1986
$25,689,414,242
237,578,972
Website: http://www.dollartree.com
Address: Dollar Tree, Inc.
500 Volvo Parkway,
Chesapeake,
Virginia, 23320,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NasdaqGS DLTR Common Stock Nasdaq Global Select US USD 07. Mar 1995
DB DT3 Common Stock Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 07. Mar 1995
WBAG DLTR Common Stock Wiener Boerse AG AT EUR 07. Mar 1995
BMV DLTR * Common Stock Bolsa Mexicana de Valores MX MXN 07. Mar 1995
BOVESPA DLTR34 BDR EACH 1 REP 0.5 COM USD0.01 Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo BR BRL 17. May 2019
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
119,650
Dollar Tree employees.
Industry
General Merchandise Stores
Retail
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/06/18 00:11
End of day share price update: 2019/06/17 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/06/13
Last earnings filing: 2019/05/31
Last earnings reported: 2019/05/04
Last annual earnings reported: 2019/02/02


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.