Dollar Tree Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Dollar Tree is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 45.8% and 3.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 46.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.6% in 3 years.
Key information
45.8%
Earnings growth rate
46.2%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Retailing earnings growth | 9.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.1% |
| Future return on equity | 14.6% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 Nov 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Dollar Tree: Limited Value As Temu Competition And Import Inflation Destroys Moat
Nov 19Dollar Tree Has Become Too Cheap To Ignore
Nov 06Slowing Rates Of Return At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Nov 05
Is There An Opportunity With Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) 43% Undervaluation?
Oct 18Dollar Tree: Waiting For A Family Dollar Strategic Decision
Oct 16Dollar Tree: Finding Value In Dollar Store Dumpsters
Sep 23Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) 34% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues
Sep 05Dollar Tree Gets Crushed, Attracting The Sharks
Sep 04Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR)
Jul 17Dollar Tree: Stay Calm And Remain Long On This Strong Operator
Jul 17Why We're Not Concerned About Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price
Jun 26Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Price Target After Its Latest Report
Jun 08Discount Retailer Dollar Tree Could Benefit By Continued High Inflation
Jun 03Estimating The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)
May 27What Does Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price Indicate?
Apr 01Dollar Tree Stores: Should Have No Problem Meeting FY26 Target
Mar 28Dollar Tree Stock: Let It Fall, Then Do Some Buying
Mar 13There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Dollar Tree's (NASDAQ:DLTR) Returns On Capital
Mar 07Dollar Tree: Rising Bullishness On Expanding Customer Base
Feb 26Is Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Trading At A 33% Discount?
Feb 08Dollar Tree: Mixed Consumer Spending Outlook
Jan 27Is Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Trading At A 45% Discount?
Sep 25Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
Aug 14Estimating The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)
Jun 27Return Trends At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Aren't Appealing
May 10A Look At The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)
Mar 29Should You Be Adding Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) To Your Watchlist Today?
Mar 16Dollar Tree's (NASDAQ:DLTR) Returns Have Hit A Wall
Jan 30A Look At The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)
Dec 21Do Dollar Tree's (NASDAQ:DLTR) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Dec 07Returns On Capital At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Have Stalled
Oct 26The Reasons We Are Still Sellers Of Dollar Tree
Sep 21Is Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Trading At A 50% Discount?
Sep 15Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2027 | 33,181 | 1,420 | 925 | 2,766 | 16 |
| 1/31/2026 | 31,834 | 1,291 | 683 | 2,469 | 24 |
| 1/31/2025 | 30,707 | 1,142 | 448 | 2,219 | 25 |
| 8/3/2024 | 30,966 | -1,065 | 465 | 2,763 | N/A |
| 5/4/2024 | 30,913 | -997 | 405 | 2,628 | N/A |
| 2/3/2024 | 30,604 | -998 | 583 | 2,685 | N/A |
| 10/28/2023 | 29,685 | 1,164 | 665 | 2,310 | N/A |
| 7/29/2023 | 29,310 | 1,219 | 523 | 2,018 | N/A |
| 4/29/2023 | 28,753 | 1,378 | 483 | 1,828 | N/A |
| 1/28/2023 | 28,332 | 1,615 | 366 | 1,615 | N/A |
| 10/29/2022 | 27,692 | 1,617 | -45 | 1,147 | N/A |
| 7/30/2022 | 27,169 | 1,567 | 119 | 1,216 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 26,744 | 1,490 | 364 | 1,414 | N/A |
| 1/29/2022 | 26,321 | 1,328 | 410 | 1,432 | N/A |
| 10/30/2021 | 26,009 | 1,377 | 1,060 | 2,001 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 25,768 | 1,490 | 1,131 | 2,015 | N/A |
| 5/1/2021 | 25,702 | 1,469 | 1,426 | 2,314 | N/A |
| 1/30/2021 | 25,509 | 1,342 | 1,818 | 2,716 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 25,057 | 962 | 1,630 | 2,589 | N/A |
| 8/1/2020 | 24,626 | 888 | 1,462 | 2,463 | N/A |
| 5/2/2020 | 24,089 | 807 | 1,153 | 2,215 | N/A |
| 2/1/2020 | 23,611 | 827 | 835 | 1,870 | N/A |
| 11/2/2019 | 23,501 | -1,603 | 753 | 1,730 | N/A |
| 8/3/2019 | 23,293 | -1,577 | 916 | 1,841 | N/A |
| 5/4/2019 | 23,078 | -1,483 | 1,147 | 1,993 | N/A |
| 2/2/2019 | 22,823 | -1,591 | 949 | 1,766 | N/A |
| 11/3/2018 | 22,979 | 1,756 | 1,163 | 1,969 | N/A |
| 8/4/2018 | 22,757 | 1,714 | 849 | 1,604 | N/A |
| 5/5/2018 | 22,512 | 1,674 | N/A | 1,467 | N/A |
| 2/3/2018 | 22,246 | 1,714 | N/A | 1,510 | N/A |
| 10/28/2017 | 21,520 | 996 | N/A | 1,611 | N/A |
| 7/29/2017 | 21,205 | 928 | N/A | 1,668 | N/A |
| 4/29/2017 | 20,921 | 864 | N/A | 1,793 | N/A |
| 1/28/2017 | 20,719 | 896 | N/A | 1,673 | N/A |
| 10/29/2016 | 20,449 | 803 | N/A | 1,487 | N/A |
| 7/30/2016 | 20,393 | 714 | N/A | 1,507 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 18,408 | 446 | N/A | 963 | N/A |
| 1/30/2016 | 15,498 | 282 | N/A | 803 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 12,609 | 260 | N/A | 509 | N/A |
| 8/1/2015 | 9,759 | 311 | N/A | 537 | N/A |
| 5/2/2015 | 8,779 | 530 | N/A | 879 | N/A |
| 1/31/2015 | 8,602 | 599 | N/A | 943 | N/A |
| 11/1/2014 | 8,362 | 606 | N/A | 816 | N/A |
| 8/2/2014 | 8,151 | 598 | N/A | 859 | N/A |
| 5/3/2014 | 7,975 | 602 | N/A | 863 | N/A |
| 2/1/2014 | 7,840 | 597 | N/A | 794 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: DLTR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: DLTR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: DLTR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: DLTR's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: DLTR's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: DLTR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.6%).