Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Put American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE:AMH) On Your Watchlist?

NYSE:AMH
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Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE:AMH), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, but time is often a friend of the profitable company, especially if it is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for American Homes 4 Rent

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American Homes 4 Rent's Improving Profits

In the last three years American Homes 4 Rent's earnings per share took off like a rocket; fast, and from a low base. So the actual rate of growth doesn't tell us much. As a result, I'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. It's good to see that American Homes 4 Rent's EPS have grown from US$0.28 to US$0.34 over twelve months. That's a 22% gain; respectable growth in the broader scheme of things.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). While we note American Homes 4 Rent's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 11% to US$1.3b. That's a real positive.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:AMH Earnings and Revenue History March 7th 2022

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of American Homes 4 Rent's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are American Homes 4 Rent Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$16b company like American Homes 4 Rent. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Indeed, they have a glittering mountain of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$1.1b. I would find that kind of skin in the game quite encouraging, if I owned shares, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience my success, or failure, with the stock.

It means a lot to see insiders invested in the business, but I find myself wondering if remuneration policies are shareholder friendly. A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. I discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like American Homes 4 Rent, with market caps over US$8.0b, is about US$12m.

The CEO of American Homes 4 Rent only received US$3.3m in total compensation for the year ending . That's clearly well below average, so at a glance, that arrangement seems generous to shareholders, and points to a modest remuneration culture. While the level of CEO compensation isn't a huge factor in my view of the company, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Does American Homes 4 Rent Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

One positive for American Homes 4 Rent is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. The fact that EPS is growing is a genuine positive for American Homes 4 Rent, but the pretty picture gets better than that. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for American Homes 4 Rent (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

Although American Homes 4 Rent certainly looks good to me, I would like it more if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, too, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.