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Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR)?
While Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Forestar Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
Check out our latest analysis for Forestar Group
What's The Opportunity In Forestar Group?
Great news for investors – Forestar Group is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Forestar Group’s ratio of 9.83x is below its peer average of 31.45x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Real Estate industry. However, given that Forestar Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will Forestar Group generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 20% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Forestar Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Since FOR is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With an optimistic profit outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as financial health to consider, which could explain the current price multiple.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on FOR for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its prosperous future profit outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy FOR. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed investment decision.
It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for Forestar Group from their most recent forecasts. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.
If you are no longer interested in Forestar Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:FOR
Forestar Group
Operates as a residential lot development company in the United States.
Good value with limited growth.
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