Stock Analysis

Is XBiotech (NASDAQ:XBIT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

NasdaqGS:XBIT
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that XBiotech Inc. (NASDAQ:XBIT) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for XBiotech

How Much Debt Does XBiotech Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 XBiotech had US$10.0m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But it also has US$201.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$191.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:XBIT Debt to Equity History May 13th 2024

How Healthy Is XBiotech's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that XBiotech had liabilities of US$16.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.69m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$201.0m and US$945.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast US$183.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that XBiotech's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that XBiotech has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is XBiotech's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since XBiotech doesn't have significant operating revenue, shareholders may be hoping it comes up with a great new product, before it runs out of money.

So How Risky Is XBiotech?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months XBiotech lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$22m of cash and made a loss of US$31m. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of US$191.0m. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with XBiotech (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.