Stock Analysis

Milestone Payment and AI Initiatives Could Be a Game Changer for Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX)

  • Recursion Pharmaceuticals recently received a US$12.5 million milestone payment from Rallybio following progress on REV102, its ENPP1 inhibitor for the rare disease hypophosphatasia.
  • This comes as the company strengthens its artificial intelligence-driven drug discovery platform with new initiatives, including the Boltz-2 model launched in partnership with MIT and a merger with Exscientia.
  • We'll explore how the milestone payment, alongside enhanced AI capabilities, could influence Recursion Pharmaceuticals' ongoing investment narrative.

Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals Investment Narrative Recap

Backing Recursion Pharmaceuticals means believing that rapid advances in AI-driven drug discovery can translate into new therapies and long-term value. The recent US$12.5 million milestone payment from Rallybio recognizes progress in the rare disease pipeline but is unlikely to materially speed up the company's transition to internally driven revenue or ease its largest near-term risks, such as cash burn and heavy reliance on partnership payments.

Of recent announcements, the launch of Boltz-2 in partnership with MIT stands out, as it further bolsters Recursion's core capability in AI-enabled drug design. While the milestone highlights the importance of pharma collaborations, ongoing improvements in proprietary technology could become critical for reducing Recursion's dependence on unpredictable external payments and for supporting future R&D efficiency.

Yet, investors should also recognize that unlike milestone payments, the company's continued cash outflows remain a pressing concern...

Read the full narrative on Recursion Pharmaceuticals (it's free!)

Recursion Pharmaceuticals' narrative projects $220.9 million revenue and $35.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 50.7% yearly revenue growth and a $684.6 million earnings increase from current earnings of -$649.1 million.

Uncover how Recursion Pharmaceuticals' forecasts yield a $6.47 fair value, a 32% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

RXRX Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
RXRX Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Three members of the Simply Wall St Community valued Recursion between US$1.92 and US$6.47 per share, reflecting broad differences in outlook. With cash burn and external funding still vital to day-to-day operations, your conclusions may look quite different depending on which risk or catalyst you focus on.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Recursion Pharmaceuticals - why the stock might be worth as much as 32% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Recursion Pharmaceuticals Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

Searching For A Fresh Perspective?

Every day counts. These free picks are already gaining attention. See them before the crowd does:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NasdaqGS:RXRX

Recursion Pharmaceuticals

Operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the decoding biology and chemistry by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to industrialize drug discovery in the United States.

Excellent balance sheet with low risk.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4035.0% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8151.3% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
AVGO logo
oscargarcia on Broadcom ·

A tech powerhouse quietly powering the world’s AI infrastructure.

Fair Value:US$48025.0% undervalued
15 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AB
AbraxasAether
AJBU logo
AbraxasAether on Keppel DC REIT ·

Keppel DC REIT (SGX: AJBU) is a resilient gem in the data center space.

Fair Value:S$2.613.5% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8688.3% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.1% undervalued
965 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

US
FND logo
User on Floor & Decor Holdings ·

Let’s see.

0
|
0
NV
NVX
MOD logo
NVX on Modine Manufacturing ·

<b></b>

0
|
0