Stock Analysis

Royalty Pharma (NASDAQ:RPRX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NasdaqGS:RPRX
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Royalty Pharma plc (NASDAQ:RPRX) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Royalty Pharma

How Much Debt Does Royalty Pharma Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Royalty Pharma had debt of US$7.60b, up from US$7.13b in one year. On the flip side, it has US$1.80b in cash leading to net debt of about US$5.80b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:RPRX Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024

How Healthy Is Royalty Pharma's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Royalty Pharma had liabilities of US$275.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$7.63b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.80b in cash and US$773.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.33b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Royalty Pharma is worth a massive US$16.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt to EBITDA of 3.9 Royalty Pharma has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. But the high interest coverage of 7.1 suggests it can easily service that debt. Sadly, Royalty Pharma's EBIT actually dropped 8.8% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Royalty Pharma's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Royalty Pharma recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Both Royalty Pharma's net debt to EBITDA and its EBIT growth rate were discouraging. But its not so bad at covering its interest expense with its EBIT. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Royalty Pharma's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Royalty Pharma you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.