Stock Analysis

At US$206, Is Repligen Corporation (NASDAQ:RGEN) Worth Looking At Closely?

NasdaqGS:RGEN
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Repligen Corporation (NASDAQ:RGEN). The company's stock saw a significant share price rise of 43% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Repligen’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Repligen

What's The Opportunity In Repligen?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 9.73% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Repligen today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $187.47, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Repligen’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Repligen?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:RGEN Earnings and Revenue Growth February 13th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -8.4% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Repligen. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? RGEN seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on RGEN for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on RGEN should the price fluctuate below its true value.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Repligen, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.