We Think La Jolla Pharmaceutical's (NASDAQ:LJPC) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 10, 2021
NasdaqCM:LJPC
Source: Shutterstock

The subdued stock price reaction suggests that La Jolla Pharmaceutical Company's (NASDAQ:LJPC) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.

Check out our latest analysis for La Jolla Pharmaceutical

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqCM:LJPC Earnings and Revenue History November 11th 2021

Examining Cashflow Against La Jolla Pharmaceutical's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

La Jolla Pharmaceutical has an accrual ratio of -0.47 for the year to September 2021. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$18m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$12.4m. Given that La Jolla Pharmaceutical had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of US$18m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On La Jolla Pharmaceutical's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, La Jolla Pharmaceutical produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think La Jolla Pharmaceutical's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about La Jolla Pharmaceutical as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for La Jolla Pharmaceutical you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of La Jolla Pharmaceutical's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Discounted cash flow calculation for every stock

Simply Wall St does a detailed discounted cash flow calculation every 6 hours for every stock on the market, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any company just search here. It’s FREE.

Make Confident Investment Decisions

Simply Wall St's Editorial Team provides unbiased, factual reporting on global stocks using in-depth fundamental analysis.
Find out more about our editorial guidelines and team.