Stock Analysis

Is IGM Biosciences (NASDAQ:IGMS) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

NasdaqGS:IGMS
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So should IGM Biosciences (NASDAQ:IGMS) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for IGM Biosciences

How Long Is IGM Biosciences' Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When IGM Biosciences last reported its December 2023 balance sheet in March 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$338m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$205m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 20 months from December 2023. Importantly, analysts think that IGM Biosciences will reach cashflow breakeven in 5 years. That means unless the company reduces its cash burn quickly, it may well look to raise more cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:IGMS Debt to Equity History April 28th 2024

How Well Is IGM Biosciences Growing?

One thing for shareholders to keep front in mind is that IGM Biosciences increased its cash burn by 1,174% in the last twelve months. While that isa little concerning at a glance, the company has a track record of recent growth, evidenced by the impressive 99% growth in revenue, over the very same year. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can IGM Biosciences Raise More Cash Easily?

Even though it seems like IGM Biosciences is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

IGM Biosciences has a market capitalisation of US$554m and burnt through US$205m last year, which is 37% of the company's market value. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

So, Should We Worry About IGM Biosciences' Cash Burn?

On this analysis of IGM Biosciences' cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven. Even though we don't think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we've done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 5 warning signs for IGM Biosciences you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

Of course IGM Biosciences may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.