Geron (GERN) Stock Overview
A commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for GERN from our risk checks.
GERN Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
ST
stuart_roberts
Community ContributorUS$21.53FV • 64.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
5419.8%Revenue growth p.a.
6.2k
18
0
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Geron Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$1.58 |
| 52 Week High | US$2.01 |
| 52 Week Low | US$1.04 |
| Beta | 0.67 |
| 1 Month Change | -4.82% |
| 3 Month Change | 2.60% |
| 1 Year Change | 14.49% |
| 3 Year Change | -42.75% |
| 5 Year Change | 18.80% |
| Change since IPO | -79.61% |
Recent News & Updates
GERN: Refined Risk And Earnings Assumptions Will Support Upside Through 2026
Analysts have trimmed their Geron price target by $1, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. These changes keep fair value at $5.00 while slightly adjusting the risk and earnings profile behind that target.GERN: Future Myeloid Franchise And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for Geron by $1, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that modestly adjust their valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Even with the trimmed 12 month target, bullish analysts still frame the recent move as a tweak to their model rather than a shift in their overall view on Geron.Recent updates
GERN: Refined Risk And Earnings Assumptions Will Support Upside Through 2026
Analysts have trimmed their Geron price target by $1, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. These changes keep fair value at $5.00 while slightly adjusting the risk and earnings profile behind that target.GERN: Future Myeloid Franchise And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for Geron by $1, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that modestly adjust their valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Even with the trimmed 12 month target, bullish analysts still frame the recent move as a tweak to their model rather than a shift in their overall view on Geron.GERN: Future Myeloid Franchise And 2026 Revenue Guidance Will Support Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on Geron by $1 to $5, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that remain consistent with their broader valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are treating the revised US$5 price target as a confirmation of their existing constructive view rather than a reversal.Geron: Minimal Sales Growth But A Potential Run-Up Ahead
Mar 19
GERN: Future Profit Upside Will Be Supported By Conservative Forecast Reset
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Geron by $1, reflecting slightly more conservative assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, while maintaining the same fair value estimate and making only a modest adjustment to the discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a slightly more cautious stance on Geron, with a trimmed price target tied to updated assumptions on growth, margins, and the P/E used in models.GERN: Future Profit Expansion Will Be Driven By Margin Improvement Potential
Geron's updated narrative reflects a modestly higher analyst fair value estimate of about $3.40, with analysts pointing to a slightly lower discount rate, lower projected revenue growth, a higher profit margin, and a reduced future P/E assumption following recent Street research that included a $1 trim to the TD Cowen price target. Analyst Commentary Analysts are updating their views following the recent Street research that trimmed a key price target by US$1, which fed into the modest reset of the fair value estimate to about US$3.40.GERN: Future Myeloid Franchise And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Geron by US$1. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that slightly reshape their risk and return expectations for the stock.Geron Corporation's (NASDAQ:GERN) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
Feb 03
GERN: Future Myeloid Franchise Progress Will Drive Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Geron to US$5.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. These revisions are broadly consistent with prior estimates but modestly refined in their models.GERN: Future Myeloid Indications Will Drive Upside Despite Safety Trade Offs
Analysts have reaffirmed their price target on Geron at US$5.00, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News New data from the 67th American Society of Hematology 2025 Annual Meeting in Orlando highlighted interim results from an investigator-sponsored Phase 2 study of imetelstat in patients with advanced myelodysplastic neoplasms or acute myeloid leukemia who had limited options after hypomethylating agent therapy (Key Developments).GERN: Future Myeloid Malignancy Indications Will Drive Upside Despite Safety Risks
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Geron to align with a slightly lower discount rate and incremental improvements in projected revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples, lifting their fair value estimate to about 5.00 dollars per share. What's in the News New data from the 67th American Society of Hematology 2025 Annual Meeting highlighted interim Phase 2 results for imetelstat in advanced myelodysplastic neoplasms and acute myeloid leukemia patients who failed or could not tolerate hypomethylating agents, reinforcing Geron’s focus on high unmet-need myeloid malignancies (Key Developments).Geron (NASDAQ:GERN) Is Using Debt Safely
Dec 15GERN: Expanded Blood Cancer Indications Will Drive Upside Despite Safety Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Geron from approximately 6.00 dollars to 5.00 dollars, citing a higher perceived risk profile and more conservative expectations for revenue growth and profitability. What's in the News New data from the 67th American Society of Hematology 2025 Annual Meeting highlighted Geron’s completion of the Part 1 dose escalation phase, establishing 8.9 mg/kg IV every 4 weeks as the recommended imetelstat dose with ruxolitinib in combination studies (Key Developments) Interim results from an investigator sponsored Phase 2 trial showed imetelstat activity in patients with advanced myelodysplastic neoplasms or acute myeloid leukemia who had failed or could not tolerate hypomethylating agent therapy (Key Developments) RYTELO, Geron’s telomerase inhibitor, is now the first and only drug of its class approved by both the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the European Commission for certain lower risk MDS patients with transfusion dependent anemia (Key Developments) Clinical trial safety data reported high rates of serious hematologic adverse events, including new or worsening Grade 3 or 4 thrombocytopenia in 65 percent of RYTELO treated MDS patients and Grade 3 or 4 neutrophil abnormalities in 72 percent, which underscores a complex benefit risk profile (Key Developments) Geron continues a pivotal Phase 3 IMpactMF trial in JAK inhibitor relapsed or refractory myelofibrosis and other studies in myeloid malignancies, while cautioning about regulatory, manufacturing, commercial execution, and post marketing commitment risks that could affect timelines and approvals (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate, reduced from approximately 6.0 dollars to 5.0 dollars, representing a moderate downward revision in long term valuation.GERN: Future Profit Expansion Will Drive Bullish Share Price Outlook
Analysts have lowered their price target for Geron from $3.43 to $3.33. They cite more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins as the reason for this adjustment.GERN: Stronger Profit Margins Will Drive Share Price Momentum Ahead
Narrative Update: Geron Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have revised Geron's fair value estimate downward from $3.63 to $3.43. This change reflects updated assessments of revenue growth, profit margin, and forecasted price-to-earnings ratios.Geron Corporation's (NASDAQ:GERN) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry
Nov 04Aging Population Trends Will Expand Hematology Market Opportunity
Consensus analyst price targets for Geron remain unchanged at $3.62, as underwhelming initial sales and modest near-term expectations for Rytelo, coupled with concerns about commercial execution, weigh on sentiment and lead to sharply divergent outlooks such as Goldman Sachs' $1 target. Analyst Commentary Initial commercial launch of Rytelo has underperformed expectations.Here's Why Geron (NASDAQ:GERN) Can Manage Its Debt Despite Losing Money
Aug 07Geron Corporation's (NASDAQ:GERN) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Jun 13Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Geron Corporation (NASDAQ:GERN) After Its Latest Results
May 10
EU Approval And US Initiatives Will Expand Future Markets
European expansion with RYTELO's approval and launch could significantly boost revenue through international growth and increased market reach.Is Geron (NASDAQ:GERN) A Risky Investment?
Apr 17Geron Corp.: A Compelling Potential Buying Opportunity Thanks To Bearish Comments
Mar 31Geron Corp: How Concerned Should We Be About Rytelo Sales?
Mar 17Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Geron Corporation (NASDAQ:GERN) Shares Dive 45%
Mar 12We're Hopeful That Geron (NASDAQ:GERN) Will Use Its Cash Wisely
Feb 27Geron: Rytelo's Market Share Concerns Justified As 3L Dominates Early Sales
Feb 26Geron Corporation: Lackluster Share Price Performance Despite Reasonable Drug Launch
Feb 03Geron: A Post Earnings And Funding Announcement Assessment
Nov 07Is Geron (NASDAQ:GERN) Using Too Much Debt?
Oct 28Geron's Rytelo Gains Traction Despite Competitive Pressures (Rating Upgrade)
Aug 12Geron: Probabilistic And Modest Estimate Of Pricing For A Likely Acquisition
Jul 31Does Geron (NASDAQ:GERN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Jul 12Geron: Innovative Rytelo Enters A Challenging MDS Market
Jun 08Why We Think Geron Corporation's (NASDAQ:GERN) CEO Compensation Is Not Excessive At All
May 03Shareholder Returns
| GERN | US Biotechs | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 5.3% | -2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1Y | 14.5% | 26.8% | 27.7% |
Return vs Industry: GERN underperformed the US Biotechs industry which returned 26.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GERN underperformed the US Market which returned 27.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GERN volatility | |
|---|---|
| GERN Average Weekly Movement | 10.5% |
| Biotechs Industry Average Movement | 10.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: GERN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: GERN's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 258 | Harout Semerjian | www.geron.com |
Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. The company’s product pipeline includes RYTELO, a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment of adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia; IMerge which is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes; IMpactMF that is in Phase 3 for the treatment of relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis; Impress which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat higher risk myelodysplastic syndromes and acute myeloid leukemia (AML); IMproveMF which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of frontline myelofibrosis; and IMAGINE which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of relapsed/refractory AML. Geron Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.
Geron Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| GERN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.01b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$83.50m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$183.88m |
5.5x
P/S Ratio-12.1x
P/E RatioIs GERN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GERN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$183.88m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$4.75m |
| Gross Profit | US$179.14m |
| Other Expenses | US$262.64m |
| Earnings | -US$83.50m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 06, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.13 |
| Gross Margin | 97.42% |
| Net Profit Margin | -45.41% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 52.9% |
How did GERN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/03 01:02 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Geron Corporation is covered by 18 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Douglas Buchanan | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |
| Thomas Shrader | BTIG |
| Charles Duncan | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |