Stock Analysis

3 Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At Discounts Of Up To 42.8%

As the U.S. stock market navigates through a period of mixed performance with major indices setting new records despite challenges like a government shutdown, investors are keenly observing opportunities that may be undervalued amidst these fluctuations. In such an environment, identifying stocks that are trading at significant discounts can offer potential value, especially when considering broader economic factors and sector-specific developments.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Udemy (UDMY)$6.76$13.4349.7%
SLM (SLM)$27.55$53.6548.6%
Perfect (PERF)$1.88$3.6348.2%
Investar Holding (ISTR)$22.83$45.2949.6%
Hess Midstream (HESM)$34.41$66.7848.5%
HCI Group (HCI)$193.48$376.1348.6%
First Commonwealth Financial (FCF)$16.81$32.9749%
First Busey (BUSE)$23.17$45.3048.8%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)$456.35$884.8148.4%
AGNC Investment (AGNC)$10.06$19.3648%

Click here to see the full list of 201 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's review some notable picks from our screened stocks.

Caris Life Sciences (CAI)

Overview: Caris Life Sciences, Inc. is an artificial intelligence TechBio company that offers molecular profiling services both in the United States and internationally, with a market cap of $8.94 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its biotechnology segment, which amounts to $533.85 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.4%

Caris Life Sciences appears undervalued based on cash flows, trading at US$31.78, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$49.21. Recent inclusion in multiple Russell indexes highlights increased market recognition. The company forecasts robust revenue growth between US$675 million and US$685 million for 2025, driven by innovative products like MI Cancer Seek and Caris Assure. Expected annual profit growth is high, with earnings projected to grow 80.16% annually, underscoring strong future potential amidst expanding clinical applications in precision oncology.

CAI Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
CAI Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

DexCom (DXCM)

Overview: DexCom, Inc. is a medical device company specializing in the design, development, and commercialization of continuous glucose monitoring systems globally, with a market cap of $26.29 billion.

Operations: DexCom generates revenue primarily from its continuous glucose monitoring systems, with the Patient Monitoring Equipment segment accounting for $4.30 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 42.8%

DexCom trades at US$67.05, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$117.25, suggesting undervaluation based on cash flows. The company forecasts revenue growth of 14-15% for 2025, with earnings expected to grow significantly at 22.9% annually, surpassing the broader market's growth rate. Recent executive changes include Jacob S. Leach as interim CEO due to Kevin R. Sayer's medical leave, while DexCom continues to innovate in glucose monitoring technology and expand product features globally.

DXCM Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
DXCM Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Griffon (GFF)

Overview: Griffon Corporation, with a market cap of approximately $3.62 billion, operates through its subsidiaries to offer consumer and professional as well as home and building products across the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and other international markets.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from two main segments: Home and Building Products, contributing $1.57 billion, and Consumer and Professional Products, contributing $946.97 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.6%

Griffon Corporation trades at US$77.83, below its estimated fair value of US$115.46, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent goodwill impairments of US$243.61 million and a lowered revenue forecast to US$2.5 billion for 2025, Griffon's earnings are expected to grow significantly by 67.4% annually over the next three years, outpacing the market's growth rate. The company recently completed a substantial share buyback program worth US$581.55 million since 2016.

GFF Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
GFF Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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