Griffon Valuation

Is GFF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GFF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GFF ($73.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($81.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GFF is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GFF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GFF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.7x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GFF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GFF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.5x
REZI Resideo Technologies
15.5x14.1%US$3.3b
CSWI CSW Industrials
37.6x18.7%US$3.6b
DOOR Masonite International
24.4x32.2%US$2.9b
HAYW Hayward Holdings
40.7x18.0%US$3.3b
GFF Griffon
51x44.2%US$3.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GFF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51x) compared to the peer average (29.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GFF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GFF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51x) compared to the US Building industry average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GFF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GFF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51x
Fair PE Ratio46.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GFF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GFF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$73.34
US$83.50
+13.9%
3.6%US$88.00US$80.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$71.40
US$83.50
+16.9%
3.6%US$88.00US$80.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$59.09
US$69.50
+17.6%
10.3%US$82.00US$60.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$60.95
US$67.00
+9.9%
5.7%US$72.00US$60.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$48.17
US$67.00
+39.1%
5.7%US$72.00US$60.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$40.84
US$58.17
+42.4%
6.7%US$65.00US$54.00n/a6
Oct ’24US$39.67
US$56.80
+43.2%
4.6%US$60.00US$54.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$42.72
US$55.60
+30.1%
4.0%US$60.00US$54.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$43.15
US$53.60
+24.2%
4.4%US$55.00US$49.00n/a5
Jul ’24US$40.30
US$48.60
+20.6%
13.2%US$55.00US$37.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$32.43
US$48.60
+49.9%
13.2%US$55.00US$37.00n/a5
May ’24US$28.66
US$50.25
+75.3%
4.5%US$54.00US$48.00n/a4
Apr ’24US$32.01
US$50.60
+58.1%
4.3%US$54.00US$48.00n/a5
Mar ’24US$36.27
US$50.60
+39.5%
4.3%US$54.00US$48.00US$71.405
Feb ’24US$41.02
US$49.50
+20.7%
6.0%US$54.00US$46.00US$59.094
Jan ’24US$35.79
US$47.40
+32.4%
8.8%US$54.00US$42.00US$60.955
Dec ’23US$35.49
US$47.40
+33.6%
8.8%US$54.00US$42.00US$48.175
Nov ’23US$32.31
US$46.40
+43.6%
11.0%US$54.00US$40.00US$40.845
Oct ’23US$29.52
US$46.40
+57.2%
11.0%US$54.00US$40.00US$39.675
Sep ’23US$31.78
US$46.40
+46.0%
11.0%US$54.00US$40.00US$42.725
Aug ’23US$29.54
US$46.40
+57.1%
11.0%US$54.00US$40.00US$43.155
Jul ’23US$28.73
US$44.80
+55.9%
11.5%US$54.00US$40.00US$40.305
Jun ’23US$32.37
US$44.80
+38.4%
11.5%US$54.00US$40.00US$32.435
May ’23US$18.71
US$39.20
+109.5%
9.0%US$44.00US$33.00US$28.665
Apr ’23US$20.12
US$36.60
+81.9%
11.8%US$44.00US$33.00US$32.015
Mar ’23US$22.74
US$36.60
+60.9%
11.8%US$44.00US$33.00US$36.275

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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