DexCom Valuation

Is DXCM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DXCM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DXCM ($75.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($123.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DXCM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DXCM?

Key metric: As DXCM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DXCM. This is calculated by dividing DXCM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DXCM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.2x
EarningsUS$680.80m
Market CapUS$29.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DXCM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DXCM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.8x
RMD ResMed
31.9x11.1%US$34.9b
IDXX IDEXX Laboratories
39.6x9.8%US$34.1b
STE STERIS
35.4x11.5%US$20.9b
PODD Insulet
44.4x1.8%US$18.4b
DXCM DexCom
43.2x16.8%US$29.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DXCM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.2x) compared to the peer average (37.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DXCM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MHUA Meihua International Medical Technologies
1.8xn/aUS$13.37m
PAVM PAVmed
0.7x-77.8%US$10.61m
RTSL Rapid Therapeutic Science Laboratories
0.3xn/aUS$18.99k
UTRS Minerva Surgical
n/an/aUS$8.00
No more companies available in this PE range
DXCM 43.2xIndustry Avg. 36.1xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DXCM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.2x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (36.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DXCM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DXCM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.2x
Fair PE Ratio43.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DXCM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DXCM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$75.24
US$95.31
+26.7%
12.0%US$120.00US$75.00n/a24
Nov ’25US$70.35
US$95.66
+36.0%
11.8%US$120.00US$75.00n/a24
Oct ’25US$66.00
US$95.87
+45.3%
15.7%US$130.00US$75.00n/a24
Sep ’25US$69.34
US$95.87
+38.3%
15.7%US$130.00US$75.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$70.32
US$98.34
+39.8%
20.6%US$152.15US$75.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$112.17
US$150.34
+34.0%
9.2%US$170.00US$105.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$118.77
US$150.34
+26.6%
9.2%US$170.00US$105.00n/a24
May ’25US$125.88
US$150.38
+19.5%
8.9%US$170.00US$105.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$137.94
US$148.03
+7.3%
9.1%US$170.00US$105.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$121.74
US$146.39
+20.3%
8.8%US$170.00US$105.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$122.60
US$142.29
+16.1%
10.2%US$170.00US$105.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$124.09
US$133.51
+7.6%
11.1%US$161.00US$105.00n/a22
Dec ’24US$116.62
US$125.37
+7.5%
11.4%US$155.00US$101.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$94.13
US$125.98
+33.8%
11.8%US$155.00US$101.00US$70.3522
Oct ’24US$93.30
US$142.12
+52.3%
12.2%US$160.00US$92.00US$66.0021
Sep ’24US$101.90
US$146.55
+43.8%
10.7%US$175.00US$92.00US$69.3421
Aug ’24US$122.00
US$147.09
+20.6%
10.6%US$175.00US$92.00US$70.3221
Jul ’24US$128.51
US$139.42
+8.5%
10.2%US$152.00US$92.00US$112.1720
Jun ’24US$119.58
US$138.27
+15.6%
10.0%US$150.00US$92.00US$118.7720
May ’24US$118.44
US$137.91
+16.4%
10.2%US$150.00US$92.00US$125.8820
Apr ’24US$116.18
US$130.81
+12.6%
10.4%US$150.00US$92.00US$137.9420
Mar ’24US$110.76
US$129.69
+17.1%
10.2%US$150.00US$92.00US$121.7419
Feb ’24US$107.71
US$127.00
+17.9%
11.5%US$150.00US$92.00US$122.6018
Jan ’24US$113.24
US$126.94
+12.1%
11.9%US$150.00US$92.00US$124.0917
Dec ’23US$118.03
US$121.12
+2.6%
9.4%US$140.00US$92.00US$116.6217
Nov ’23US$119.04
US$121.12
+1.7%
9.4%US$140.00US$92.00US$94.1317

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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