Ardelyx (ARDX) Stock Overview
Ardelyx, Inc. discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat unmet medical needs in the United States and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 6/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for ARDX from our risk checks.
ARDX Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
ST
stuart_roberts
Community ContributorUS$21.53FV • 64.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
5419.8%Revenue growth p.a.
6.2k
18
0
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Ardelyx, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$6.88 |
| 52 Week High | US$8.40 |
| 52 Week Low | US$3.21 |
| Beta | 0.66 |
| 1 Month Change | 12.60% |
| 3 Month Change | -10.53% |
| 1 Year Change | 66.59% |
| 3 Year Change | 49.24% |
| 5 Year Change | 2.08% |
| Change since IPO | -51.24% |
Recent News & Updates
ARDX: Extended 2042 Patent Horizon Will Support Multiyear Revenue Roadmap
The analyst fair value estimate for Ardelyx has increased from $10.00 to $13.00, supported by recent price target revisions and analyst views that the new patent extending to November 2042 strengthens the company’s long-term profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary around Ardelyx centers on the updated patent timeline to November 2042 and how that may influence valuation assumptions.
ARDX: Extended Patent Runway And 2029 Revenue Guidance Will Support Repricing
Ardelyx's consensus analyst price target has moved higher toward $19, with the shift largely tied to stronger Ibsrela revenue guidance, extended patent protection into the 2040s, and analyst expectations reflected in updated P/E, growth, and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been revising their views higher, with a series of price target increases and rating upgrades clustering around Ardelyx's updated Ibsrela guidance and extended patent protection.
ARDX: Extended Patent Life And IBS Guidance Are Expected To Unlock Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Ardelyx has been raised from $13.50 to $16.10. Analysts point to higher Ibsrela revenue guidance, extended intellectual property protection into the 2040s, and a series of upward revisions to Street price targets as key drivers of the change.Recent updates
ARDX: Extended 2042 Patent Horizon Will Support Multiyear Revenue Roadmap
The analyst fair value estimate for Ardelyx has increased from $10.00 to $13.00, supported by recent price target revisions and analyst views that the new patent extending to November 2042 strengthens the company’s long-term profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary around Ardelyx centers on the updated patent timeline to November 2042 and how that may influence valuation assumptions.ARDX: Extended Patent Runway And 2029 Revenue Guidance Will Support Repricing
Ardelyx's consensus analyst price target has moved higher toward $19, with the shift largely tied to stronger Ibsrela revenue guidance, extended patent protection into the 2040s, and analyst expectations reflected in updated P/E, growth, and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been revising their views higher, with a series of price target increases and rating upgrades clustering around Ardelyx's updated Ibsrela guidance and extended patent protection.ARDX: Extended Patent Life And IBS Guidance Are Expected To Unlock Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Ardelyx has been raised from $13.50 to $16.10. Analysts point to higher Ibsrela revenue guidance, extended intellectual property protection into the 2040s, and a series of upward revisions to Street price targets as key drivers of the change.ARDX: Extended Patent Runway And 2029 Revenue Outlook Will Drive Bullish Repricing
Ardelyx's analyst price target has moved higher, with several firms lifting their views into a $14 to $19 range. Analysts highlight extended patent protection on key assets, updated Ibsrela revenue guidance that includes targets of $410m to $430m in FY26 and $1b by 2029, and a stronger outlook for the broader product portfolio and cash position.ARDX: Extended Patent Runway And 2029 Revenue Path Will Support Bullish Outlook
The analyst fair value estimate for Ardelyx has shifted from $16.00 to $19.00, as analysts factor in higher projected revenue, updated profitability assumptions, and extended intellectual property protection highlighted in recent research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ardelyx has leaned firmly positive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, upgrading their ratings after management updates and new patent developments.Ardelyx: Strong IBSRELA Growth, But Heavy Operational Spend Clouds Profitability
Feb 20ARDX: Multiyear Revenue Roadmap And CIC Expansion Will Drive Upside
Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for Ardelyx to $10.00 from $8.00, citing updated Street research that highlights stronger Ibsrela revenue guidance toward $410m to $430m by FY26 and a US$1b annual revenue outlook by 2029, along with pipeline progress and a solid cash position. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on Ibsrela guidance of US$410m to US$430m in FY26 and the long term US$1b annual revenue outlook for 2029, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings to reflect those inputs, as well as updates on Xphozah, the broader pipeline, and the cash position.ARDX: Faster Path To 1b Revenue Is Expected To Unlock Upside
We are raising our Ardelyx fair value estimate from $12.30 to $13.50 as analysts point to higher Ibsrela revenue expectations, a faster ramp to the company’s $1b annual revenue goal, and updated guidance that supports stronger margins and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research is broadly constructive on Ardelyx, with multiple firms lifting price targets after the latest Ibsrela revenue outlook and guidance update.Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Stock Catapults 37% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Jan 21
ARDX: Higher Revenue Guidance Is Expected To Support Long Term Upside
Narrative Update on Ardelyx The analyst price target for Ardelyx has shifted higher, with our fair value estimate moving from US$11.60 to US$12.30 as analysts factor in stronger Ibsrela revenue guidance and updated Street targets of up to US$19. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ardelyx has focused heavily on updated Ibsrela revenue guidance and how that might influence the company’s valuation and execution priorities over the next several years.ARDX: Long-Term Profitability Improvements Will Drive Stronger Bullish Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Ardelyx from 15 dollars to 16 dollars. This reflects slightly stronger expectations for long term revenue growth, improved profitability, and a modestly lower future earnings multiple despite a higher discount rate.ARDX: Upcoming Leadership Transition Will Support Long Term Earnings Upside
Analysts have modestly reiterated their confidence in Ardelyx, keeping the price target essentially unchanged at approximately 11.60 dollars per share. Minor adjustments to the discount rate and valuation inputs did not materially alter their long term earnings and growth outlook for the company.ARDX: Commercial Execution Will Drive Shares Higher Under New Leadership
Ardelyx’s analyst price target has been raised from $12 to $14, a $2 increase. Analysts cite stronger commercial execution and discounted valuation under new management as key drivers for the higher outlook.ARDX: Ongoing Commercial Execution Will Unlock Upside From Discounted Levels
Analysts have raised Ardelyx’s fair value estimate from $11.36 to $11.73, citing stronger commercial execution, increased revenue growth potential, and a more favorable profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent coverage initiations have highlighted key perspectives among market observers evaluating Ardelyx’s trajectory and valuation.Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) After Its Third-Quarter Report
Nov 02Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 26% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Oct 11There's No Escaping Ardelyx, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARDX) Muted Revenues Despite A 26% Share Price Rise
Jul 11Benign Growth For Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Underpins Stock's 28% Plummet
May 15
Omnichannel Investments And Sales Teams Will Create Future IBSRELA Demand
Strategic investments and an expanded sales team are expected to drive demand for IBSRELA, boosting revenue and market share.Ardelyx: Limited Pipeline, Rising Costs, And Uncertain Growth Ahead (Downgrade)
Feb 24There's No Escaping Ardelyx, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARDX) Muted Revenues
Feb 17Ardelyx: A Small Bet Its Latest Setback Will Be Temporary
Dec 20Ardelyx Lost The Lawsuit, But The Kidney PATIENT Act Will Save It
Nov 24Ardelyx's Medicare Setback Casts Doubt On Long-Term Viability
Nov 14Earnings Update: Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Nov 03Ardelyx, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARDX) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business
Oct 24Is Ardelyx (NASDAQ:ARDX) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Aug 25Party Time: Brokers Just Made Major Increases To Their Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Earnings Forecasts
Aug 07Ardelyx Faces Rising Challenges Despite Revenue Growth
Aug 05Earnings Beat: Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Forecasts
Aug 04Ardelyx: Increased Focus On Ibsrela Due To Xphozah's Uncertain Outlook
Jul 13Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Ardelyx, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARDX) 25% Share Price Plunge
Jul 05Ardelyx: Strong Execution, Fairly Valued
May 10Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Reported Earnings Last Week And Analysts Are Already Upgrading Their Estimates
May 04Ardelyx Stock: A Crowded Market Curbs The Enthusiasm (Rating Downgrade)
May 03Ardelyx, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARDX) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
Apr 17Ardelyx Shrugs Off 'Mixed' Q4 Earnings
Mar 13Earnings Update: Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) Just Reported Its Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Feb 24Ardelyx Q4 Preview: Recent Bull Run May Pause While Market Digests 2024 Guidance
Feb 20Ardelyx's XPHOZAH Still An Afterthought To The Pros
Jan 31Ardelyx: FDA Approval For Xphozah Grants Further Sales Enhancement
Jan 10Ardelyx, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARDX) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
Jan 04Despite Lacking Profits Ardelyx (NASDAQ:ARDX) Seems To Be On Top Of Its Debt
Dec 14Shareholder Returns
| ARDX | US Biotechs | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 15.6% | -2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1Y | 66.6% | 26.8% | 27.7% |
Return vs Industry: ARDX exceeded the US Biotechs industry which returned 26.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ARDX exceeded the US Market which returned 27.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ARDX volatility | |
|---|---|
| ARDX Average Weekly Movement | 8.9% |
| Biotechs Industry Average Movement | 10.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: ARDX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ARDX's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 489 | Mike Raab | www.ardelyx.com |
Ardelyx, Inc. discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat unmet medical needs in the United States and internationally. The company offers IBSRELA, a minimally absorbed small molecule therapy for the treatment of patients with irritable bowel syndrome with constipation; and XPHOZAH, a phosphate absorption inhibitor to reduce serum phosphorus in adults with chronic kidney disease on dialysis. Ardelyx, Inc. was formerly known as Nteryx, Inc. and changed its name to Ardelyx, Inc. in June 2008.
Ardelyx, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| ARDX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.55b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$58.06m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$427.68m |
3.9x
P/S Ratio-29.1x
P/E RatioIs ARDX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ARDX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$427.68m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$103.57m |
| Gross Profit | US$324.11m |
| Other Expenses | US$382.17m |
| Earnings | -US$58.06m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.24 |
| Gross Margin | 75.78% |
| Net Profit Margin | -13.58% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 154.3% |
How did ARDX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 05:32 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Ardelyx, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Julian Harrison | BTIG |
| Prakhar Agrawal | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |
| Yigal Nochomovitz | Citigroup Inc |