Stock Analysis

Capital Allocation Trends At IMAX (NYSE:IMAX) Aren't Ideal

NYSE:IMAX
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To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. Having said that, after a brief look, IMAX (NYSE:IMAX) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for IMAX, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.028 = US$20m ÷ (US$802m - US$106m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

Therefore, IMAX has an ROCE of 2.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Entertainment industry average of 5.3%.

Our analysis indicates that IMAX is potentially overvalued!

roce
NYSE:IMAX Return on Capital Employed October 17th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for IMAX compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

The Trend Of ROCE

There is reason to be cautious about IMAX, given the returns are trending downwards. About five years ago, returns on capital were 5.6%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect IMAX to turn into a multi-bagger.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, it's unfortunate that IMAX is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 37% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

If you're still interested in IMAX it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.

While IMAX may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.