Stock Analysis

Oriental Culture Holding's (NASDAQ:OCG) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

NasdaqCM:OCG
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The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Oriental Culture Holding LTD (NASDAQ:OCG) recently. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.

See our latest analysis for Oriental Culture Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqCM:OCG Earnings and Revenue History May 8th 2023

Zooming In On Oriental Culture Holding's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2022, Oriental Culture Holding had an accrual ratio of 0.22. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of US$2.0m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of US$3.24m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of US$2.0m, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Oriental Culture Holding.

Our Take On Oriental Culture Holding's Profit Performance

Oriental Culture Holding didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Oriental Culture Holding's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (2 are concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Oriental Culture Holding.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Oriental Culture Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Oriental Culture Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.