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Updated 3h ago
CRTO logo

Criteo S.A.NasdaqGS:CRTO Stock Report

Market Cap US$854.5m
Updated 3h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Yn/a
7D-1.7%
1D-0.7%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Criteo S.A.

NasdaqGS:CRTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$854.5m

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Criteo (CRTO) Stock Overview

A technology company, provides platform to connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners to drive measurable business outcomes in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. More details

CRTO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 67.7% below our estimate of its fair value

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 12.2% per year for the next 3 years

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market


CRTO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystLowTarget
8.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

AI Ad Push And Retail Media Headwinds Will Set Up A Quiet Recovery

6
0
0
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
14.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•11d ago

AI Commerce And Retail Media Channels Will Support A Stronger Long-Term Earnings Profile

8
0
1
AN
AnalystHighTarget
30.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•18d ago

AI Commerce Traffic And Retail Media Will Reshape This Underappreciated Advertising Platform

3
0
0

Top Community Narratives

CRTO logo
Criteo
30.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

Criteo at ~$17 is priced at the bear-case DCF intrinsic value following two consecutive guidance cuts, a CFO departure, and negative H1 FCF

View narrative
MR
MRT23
MRT23
Published 13 Aug
Read Narrative

Top Community Narratives

CRTO logo
Criteo
30.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

Criteo at ~$17 is priced at the bear-case DCF intrinsic value following two consecutive guidance cuts, a CFO departure, and negative H1 FCF

View narrative
MR
MRT23
MRT23
Published 13 Aug
Read Narrative

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystLowTarget
8.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

AI Ad Push And Retail Media Headwinds Will Set Up A Quiet Recovery

6
0
0
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
14.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•11d ago

AI Commerce And Retail Media Channels Will Support A Stronger Long-Term Earnings Profile

8
0
1
AN
AnalystHighTarget
30.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•18d ago

AI Commerce Traffic And Retail Media Will Reshape This Underappreciated Advertising Platform

3
0
0
View all narratives

Criteo S.A. Competitors

MNTN

Symbol: NYSE:MNTN
Market cap: US$884.9m

Nexxen International

Symbol: NasdaqGM:NEXN
Market cap: US$510.4m

Stagwell

Symbol: NasdaqGS:STGW
Market cap: US$2.1b

DoubleVerify Holdings

Symbol: NYSE:DV
Market cap: US$2.1b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Criteo
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$17.32
52 Week HighUS$22.72
52 Week LowUS$16.42
Beta0
1 Month Change-8.84%
3 Month Changen/a
1 Year Changen/a
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-23.46%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

CRTO: Future Cash Returns And Retail Media Deals Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have lowered their price target for Criteo to $20.15 from $20.69, citing slightly softer expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. What’s in the News for Criteo Criteo S.A. plans a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on December 15, 2026, in Luxembourg to address company matters that require shareholder approval.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 27

AI Commerce Traffic And Retail Media Will Reshape This Underappreciated Advertising Platform

Catalysts About Criteo Criteo provides advertising technology that uses commerce data and AI to help brands and retailers reach shoppers and measure outcomes across digital channels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 13

CRTO: Higher Discount Rate And Buybacks Will Shape Balanced Return Outlook

Analysts cut their price target on Criteo from $26 to $16 as they now apply a higher discount rate, expect lower revenue growth and slightly tighter profit margins, and use a reduced future P/E assumption in their valuation work. What's in the News for Criteo Criteo scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for December 15, 2026, at the offices of Loyens & Loeff Luxembourg Sarl in Luxembourg, according to company disclosures.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 13

AI Commerce And Retail Media Channels Will Support A Stronger Long-Term Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Criteo Criteo provides advertising technology that uses commerce data and AI decisioning to help brands and retailers reach shoppers across digital channels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 13

Criteo at ~$17 is priced at the bear-case DCF intrinsic value following two consecutive guidance cuts, a CFO departure, and negative H1 FCF

Criteo at ~$17 is priced at the bear-case DCF intrinsic value following two consecutive guidance cuts, a CFO departure, and negative H1 FCF — making it a binary bet that Performance Media stabilizes and the capex cycle ends, with meaningful upside if both occur but no margin of safety if either does not. Investment Thesis Retail Media's underlying client base grew 20% in Q2 ex-scope reductions — the core growth engine remains structurally intact and the known $75M headwind is mechanically set to anniversary in Q4 2026, which should produce a sharp reported re-acceleration The OpenAI partnership has 2,000+ brands advertising on ChatGPT across seven countries within five months of launch, representing the first concrete commercial evidence that the agentic commerce thesis is not purely aspirational At 2.2x FY2026E Adj.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

CRTO: Future Cash Returns And Retail Media Deals Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have lowered their price target for Criteo to $20.15 from $20.69, citing slightly softer expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. What’s in the News for Criteo Criteo S.A. plans a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on December 15, 2026, in Luxembourg to address company matters that require shareholder approval.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 27

AI Commerce Traffic And Retail Media Will Reshape This Underappreciated Advertising Platform

Catalysts About Criteo Criteo provides advertising technology that uses commerce data and AI to help brands and retailers reach shoppers and measure outcomes across digital channels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 13

CRTO: Higher Discount Rate And Buybacks Will Shape Balanced Return Outlook

Analysts cut their price target on Criteo from $26 to $16 as they now apply a higher discount rate, expect lower revenue growth and slightly tighter profit margins, and use a reduced future P/E assumption in their valuation work. What's in the News for Criteo Criteo scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for December 15, 2026, at the offices of Loyens & Loeff Luxembourg Sarl in Luxembourg, according to company disclosures.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 13

AI Commerce And Retail Media Channels Will Support A Stronger Long-Term Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Criteo Criteo provides advertising technology that uses commerce data and AI decisioning to help brands and retailers reach shoppers across digital channels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 13

Criteo at ~$17 is priced at the bear-case DCF intrinsic value following two consecutive guidance cuts, a CFO departure, and negative H1 FCF

Criteo at ~$17 is priced at the bear-case DCF intrinsic value following two consecutive guidance cuts, a CFO departure, and negative H1 FCF — making it a binary bet that Performance Media stabilizes and the capex cycle ends, with meaningful upside if both occur but no margin of safety if either does not. Investment Thesis Retail Media's underlying client base grew 20% in Q2 ex-scope reductions — the core growth engine remains structurally intact and the known $75M headwind is mechanically set to anniversary in Q4 2026, which should produce a sharp reported re-acceleration The OpenAI partnership has 2,000+ brands advertising on ChatGPT across seven countries within five months of launch, representing the first concrete commercial evidence that the agentic commerce thesis is not purely aspirational At 2.2x FY2026E Adj.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 10

Criteo: No Light At The End Of The Tunnel As Top Line Deteriorates (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Criteo is downgraded to a sell after a dismal Q2 and sharp guidance cut, signaling a value trap. CRTO now expects a -10% to -12% decline in contribution ex-TAC, with both Retail Media and Performance Media segments deteriorating. Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance drops to 30%, but recent trends make even this lowered target appear at risk. Despite a new partnership with OpenAI, CRTO's execution issues and client churn outweigh any AI-driven upside; I recommend avoiding the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative • Jul 30

AI Ad Push And Retail Media Headwinds Will Set Up A Quiet Recovery

Catalysts About Criteo Criteo provides commerce media and AI driven advertising solutions that connect brands, retailers and consumers across channels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

Shareholder Returns

CRTOUS MediaUS Market
7D-1.7%-0.4%-0.9%
1Yn/a-29.3%13.9%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how CRTO performed against the US Media industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how CRTO performed against the US Market.

Price Volatility

Is CRTO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CRTO volatility
CRTO Average Weekly Movement11.4%
Media Industry Average Movement9.8%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: CRTO's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: Insufficient data to determine CRTO's volatility change over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20053,649Michael Komasinskiwww.criteo.com

Criteo S.A., a technology company, provides platform to connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners to drive measurable business outcomes in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Retail Media and Performance Media. The Retail Media segment connects brands to shoppers at the digital point of sale through personalized ads that appear on retailer websites and across the open internet.

Criteo S.A. Fundamentals Summary

How do Criteo's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CRTO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$854.52m
Earnings (TTM)US$104.43m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.86b
8.1x
P/E Ratio
0.5x
P/S Ratio

Is CRTO overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CRTO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.86b
Cost of RevenueUS$864.61m
Gross ProfitUS$998.84m
Other ExpensesUS$894.41m
EarningsUS$104.43m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.13
Gross Margin53.60%
Net Profit Margin5.60%
Debt/Equity Ratio0.8%

How did CRTO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 21:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/14 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Criteo S.A. is covered by 31 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rocco StraussArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Sarah SimonBerenberg

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