Criteo Valuation

Is CRTO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CRTO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CRTO ($34.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($84.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CRTO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CRTO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CRTO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.7x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CRTO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CRTO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average78.9x
PUBM PubMatic
122x34.5%US$1.1b
TTGT TechTarget
178.3x41.1%US$795.9m
PERI Perion Network
4.8x-39.6%US$575.7m
IPG Interpublic Group of Companies
10.4x1.1%US$11.4b
CRTO Criteo
35.6x21.0%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CRTO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the peer average (78x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CRTO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CRTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the US Media industry average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CRTO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CRTO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.6x
Fair PE Ratio22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CRTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CRTO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$34.36
US$37.29
+8.5%
17.3%US$55.00US$30.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$35.12
US$37.29
+6.2%
17.3%US$55.00US$30.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$32.75
US$36.71
+12.1%
13.8%US$47.00US$30.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$26.22
US$32.27
+23.1%
22.0%US$47.00US$22.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$25.32
US$32.57
+28.6%
22.2%US$47.00US$22.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$24.93
US$32.57
+30.7%
22.2%US$47.00US$22.00n/a14
Nov ’24US$27.99
US$40.60
+45.1%
12.9%US$54.00US$32.00n/a15
Oct ’24US$29.20
US$40.64
+39.2%
13.4%US$54.00US$32.00n/a14
Sep ’24US$29.64
US$41.50
+40.0%
19.0%US$66.00US$32.00n/a14
Aug ’24US$33.34
US$41.57
+24.7%
18.8%US$66.00US$32.00n/a14
Jul ’24US$33.74
US$41.57
+23.2%
18.8%US$66.00US$32.00n/a14
Jun ’24US$32.50
US$41.92
+29.0%
19.1%US$66.00US$32.00n/a13
May ’24US$31.06
US$42.08
+35.5%
18.7%US$66.00US$32.00n/a13
Apr ’24US$31.51
US$42.08
+33.6%
18.7%US$66.00US$32.00US$35.1213
Mar ’24US$32.97
US$42.08
+27.6%
18.7%US$66.00US$32.00US$32.7513
Feb ’24US$30.20
US$37.58
+24.4%
26.3%US$66.00US$27.00US$26.2213
Jan ’24US$26.06
US$37.89
+45.4%
26.1%US$66.00US$27.00US$25.3214
Dec ’23US$26.71
US$38.04
+42.4%
26.9%US$66.00US$27.00US$24.9313
Nov ’23US$25.48
US$38.81
+52.3%
26.2%US$66.00US$27.00US$27.9913
Oct ’23US$27.03
US$39.62
+46.6%
25.8%US$66.00US$28.00US$29.2013
Sep ’23US$27.44
US$39.62
+44.4%
25.8%US$66.00US$28.00US$29.6413
Aug ’23US$24.50
US$41.58
+69.7%
25.6%US$66.00US$28.00US$33.3412
Jul ’23US$23.85
US$44.19
+85.3%
24.7%US$66.00US$28.00US$33.7413
Jun ’23US$25.70
US$46.11
+79.4%
21.8%US$66.00US$28.00US$32.5014
May ’23US$24.78
US$48.04
+93.8%
17.0%US$66.00US$37.00US$31.0614
Apr ’23US$27.69
US$48.39
+74.8%
17.5%US$66.00US$37.00US$31.5114

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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