Stagwell Valuation

Is STGW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STGW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STGW ($6.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($23.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STGW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STGW?

Key metric: As STGW is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for STGW. This is calculated by dividing STGW's market cap by their current revenue.
What is STGW's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$2.71b
Market CapUS$1.80b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does STGW's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for STGW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.3x
IAS Integral Ad Science Holding
3.3x10.3%US$1.7b
MGNI Magnite
3.5x6.4%US$2.3b
TTGT TechTarget
5.4xn/aUS$1.4b
IBTA Ibotta
5x15.7%US$1.8b
STGW Stagwell
0.3x5.0%US$1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: STGW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does STGW's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

37 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.8x3.9%
STGW Stagwell
0.3x5.0%US$1.80b
PARA Paramount Global
0.2x1.4%US$7.60b
DISH DISH Network
0.2x-1.3%US$3.08b
STGW 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies37PS01.22.43.64.86+
37 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.8x14.0%
STGW Stagwell
0.3x87.3%US$1.80b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: STGW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the US Media industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STGW's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STGW PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: STGW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STGW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.82
US$8.66
+26.9%
12.5%US$10.00US$6.75n/a8
Dec ’25US$7.86
US$8.66
+10.1%
12.5%US$10.00US$6.75n/a8
Nov ’25US$6.50
US$7.88
+21.2%
13.7%US$10.00US$6.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$7.11
US$7.88
+10.8%
13.7%US$10.00US$6.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$7.19
US$7.88
+9.5%
13.7%US$10.00US$6.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$6.31
US$7.94
+25.8%
14.2%US$10.00US$6.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$6.68
US$8.00
+19.8%
12.9%US$10.00US$6.50n/a8
Jun ’25US$6.93
US$8.21
+18.5%
11.2%US$10.00US$7.00n/a7
May ’25US$6.74
US$7.43
+10.2%
12.7%US$9.00US$6.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$5.95
US$7.07
+18.8%
15.8%US$9.00US$5.50n/a7
Mar ’25US$5.45
US$7.07
+29.8%
15.8%US$9.00US$5.50n/a7
Feb ’25US$6.55
US$7.63
+16.4%
21.4%US$11.00US$5.50n/a8
Jan ’25US$6.63
US$7.63
+15.0%
21.4%US$11.00US$5.50n/a8
Dec ’24US$5.21
US$7.50
+44.0%
21.8%US$11.00US$5.50US$7.869
Nov ’24US$4.12
US$7.89
+91.5%
16.3%US$10.00US$6.00US$6.509
Oct ’24US$4.69
US$9.13
+94.6%
14.9%US$12.00US$7.00US$7.118
Sep ’24US$5.51
US$9.13
+65.6%
14.9%US$12.00US$7.00US$7.198
Aug ’24US$6.81
US$10.75
+57.9%
16.6%US$14.00US$8.00US$6.318
Jul ’24US$7.21
US$10.71
+48.6%
15.5%US$14.00US$9.00US$6.687
Jun ’24US$6.34
US$10.67
+68.2%
18.5%US$14.00US$8.00US$6.936
May ’24US$6.30
US$11.80
+87.3%
19.6%US$15.00US$8.00US$6.745
Apr ’24US$7.42
US$11.80
+59.0%
19.6%US$15.00US$8.00US$5.955
Mar ’24US$6.79
US$11.00
+62.0%
15.2%US$13.00US$9.00US$5.455
Feb ’24US$6.96
US$11.25
+61.6%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00US$6.554
Jan ’24US$6.21
US$11.25
+81.2%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00US$6.634
Dec ’23US$7.47
US$11.25
+50.6%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00US$5.214

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:17
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Stagwell Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark ZgutowiczBenchmark Company
Jeffrey Van SinderenB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Jason KreyerCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC