NYSE:MOS

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Fair value with moderate growth potential.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Mosaic's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: MOS's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-2.1%

MOS

-4.6%

US Chemicals

-4.1%

US Market


1 Year Return

-11.4%

MOS

2.7%

US Chemicals

12.0%

US Market

Return vs Industry: MOS underperformed the US Chemicals industry which returned 2.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MOS underperformed the US Market which returned 12% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

MOSIndustryMarket
7 Day-2.1%-4.6%-4.1%
30 Day0.2%-0.5%-0.2%
90 Day35.9%3.0%2.8%
1 Year-10.3%-11.4%5.1%2.7%14.6%12.0%
3 Year-16.4%-18.2%10.1%-10.2%35.8%26.8%
5 Year-38.1%-43.7%55.0%19.3%75.2%55.6%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Mosaic's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Mosaic undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: MOS ($18.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($81.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: MOS is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Chemicals industry average.

PE vs Market: MOS is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MOS's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: MOS is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.8x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (1.9x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Mosaic forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 19 analysts?

48.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MOS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: MOS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MOS's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MOS's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MOS's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MOS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3.3%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Mosaic performed over the past 5 years?

-68.8%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: MOS is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: MOS is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: MOS is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 68.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare MOS's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: MOS is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Chemicals industry (-19.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: MOS has a negative Return on Equity (-13.26%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Mosaic's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: MOS's short term assets ($4.1B) exceed its short term liabilities ($3.1B).

Long Term Liabilities: MOS's short term assets ($4.1B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($7.2B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: MOS's debt to equity ratio (60%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: MOS's debt to equity ratio has increased from 37.9% to 60% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: MOS's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (34%).

Interest Coverage: MOS is unprofitable, therefore interest payments are not well covered by earnings.


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Mosaic current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

1.09%

Current Dividend Yield


Upcoming Dividend Payment


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: MOS's dividend (1.09%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.69%).

High Dividend: MOS's dividend (1.09%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.78%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: MOS's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: MOS's dividend payments have not increased over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: MOS is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: MOS's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be thoroughly covered by earnings (13.7% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.8yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Joc O’Rourke (59 yo)

5.17yrs

Tenure

US$9,767,104

Compensation

Mr. James C. O’Rourke, also known as Joc, P.Eng., serves as Chairman of Canpotex Limited. He has been the Chief Executive Officer and President at The Mosaic Company since August 5, 2015. Mr. O’Rourke serv ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Joc's total compensation ($USD9.77M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD7.41M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Joc's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
James O’Rourke
CEO, President & Director5.17yrsUS$9.77m0.049%
$ 3.4m
Clint Freeland
Senior VP & CFO2.33yrsUS$2.53m0.0011%
$ 77.7k
Richard McLellan
Senior Vice President of Commercial13.5yrsUS$5.06m0.027%
$ 1.9m
Corrine Ricard
Senior Vice President of Mosaic Fertilizantes3.58yrsUS$4.20m0.010%
$ 725.0k
Walter Precourt
Senior Vice President of Strategy & Growth8.42yrsUS$2.24m0.0091%
$ 632.7k
Laura Gagnon
Vice President of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Mark Isaacson
Senior VP6.17yrsno data0.0058%
$ 403.8k
Benjamin Pratt
Senior Vice President of Government & Public Affairs7yrsno data0.0018%
$ 127.0k
Jenny Wang
Vice President of Global Strategic Marketingno datano datano data
Christopher Lewis
Senior Vice President of Human Resources1.33yrsno datano data
Karen Swager
Senior Vice President of Supply Chain1.75yrsno data0.0077%
$ 535.6k
Bruce Bodine
Senior Vice President of North America4.33yrsno data0.0057%
$ 396.8k

4.8yrs

Average Tenure

57.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: MOS's management team is considered experienced (4.8 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
James O’Rourke
CEO, President & Director5.17yrsUS$9.77m0.049%
$ 3.4m
Nancy Cooper
Independent Director9yrsUS$274.35k0.0060%
$ 419.7k
Gregory Ebel
Independent Chairman of the Board2.42yrsUS$449.36k0.015%
$ 1.0m
Cheryl Beebe
Independent Director1.42yrsUS$209.64k0.0063%
$ 433.6k
Kelvin Westbrook
Independent Director4.17yrsUS$260.40k0.0031%
$ 213.0k
Oscar De Bernardes Neto
Independent Director2.42yrsUS$244.99k0.0013%
$ 91.6k
Timothy Gitzel
Independent Director7yrsUS$269.35k0.0082%
$ 566.1k
Steven Seibert
Independent Director16yrsUS$254.35k0.0072%
$ 502.3k
Luciano Pires
Director2.75yrsno data0.0032%
$ 219.9k
David Seaton
Independent Director1.08yrsUS$180.42k0.0055%
$ 378.8k
Denise Johnson
Independent Director6.42yrsUS$254.35k0.0054%
$ 375.3k
Emery Koenig
Independent Director10yrsUS$264.35k0.0099%
$ 688.9k

4.8yrs

Average Tenure

61.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: MOS's board of directors are considered experienced (4.8 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

The Mosaic Company's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: The Mosaic Company
  • Ticker: MOS
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 2004
  • Industry: Fertilizers and Agricultural Chemicals
  • Sector: Materials
  • Market Cap: US$6.937b
  • Shares outstanding: 379.09m
  • Website: https://www.mosaicco.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • The Mosaic Company
  • 101 East Kennedy Boulevard
  • Suite 2500
  • Tampa
  • Florida
  • 33602
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
MOSNYSE (New York Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockUSUSDJan 1988
02MDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJan 1988
02MXTRA (XETRA Trading Platform)YesCommon StockDEEURJan 1988
MOS *BMV (Bolsa Mexicana de Valores)YesCommon StockMXMXNJan 1988
0K3BLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockGBUSDJan 1988
MOSC34BOVESPA (Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo)BDR REPR 1/2 COM SHS USD0.01BRBRLJul 2015

Biography

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosph ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/10/30 03:35
End of Day Share Price2020/10/29 00:00
Earnings2020/06/30
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.