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Mosaic

NYSE:MOS
Snowflake Description

Mediocre balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
MOS
NYSE
$10B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Materials
Company description

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The last earnings update was 38 days ago. More info.


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MOS Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
1%
NYSE:MOS
0.8%
US Chemicals
0.2%
US Market
1 Year Returns
5.4%
NYSE:MOS
-6.8%
US Chemicals
6.3%
US Market
MOS Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Mosaic (MOS) 1% -4.3% -15.9% 5.4% -5.2% -45.2%
US Chemicals 0.8% -2.4% 0.4% -6.8% 20.6% 16.3%
US Market 0.2% 2.1% 8.5% 6.3% 37.9% 45.7%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • MOS outperformed the Chemicals industry which returned -6.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
MOS
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

MOS Value

 Is Mosaic undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Mosaic to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Mosaic.

NYSE:MOS Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 18 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 9.7%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for NYSE:MOS
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6%
Chemicals Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.93
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.927 (1 + (1- 21%) (43.37%))
1.164
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
1.16
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (1.164 * 5.96%)
9.67%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NYSE:MOS using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Mosaic is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

NYSE:MOS DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 9.67%)
2019 730.11 Analyst x9 665.76
2020 906.33 Analyst x9 753.61
2021 983.00 Analyst x5 745.32
2022 1,364.50 Analyst x2 943.39
2023 1,376.00 Analyst x1 867.49
2024 1,395.36 Est @ 1.41% 802.16
2025 1,420.53 Est @ 1.8% 744.66
2026 1,450.10 Est @ 2.08% 693.16
2027 1,483.11 Est @ 2.28% 646.45
2028 1,518.88 Est @ 2.41% 603.70
Present value of next 10 years cash flows $7,465.70
NYSE:MOS DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2028 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $1,518.88 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (9.67% – 2.73%)
$22,497.51
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $22,497.51 ÷ (1 + 9.67%)10
$8,941.87
NYSE:MOS Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $7,465.70 + $8,941.87
$16,407.56
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $16,407.56 / 385.79
$42.53
NYSE:MOS Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (USD) From above. $42.53
Current discount Discount to share price of $27.07
= -1 x ($27.07 - $42.53) / $42.53
36.4%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price Mosaic is available for.
Intrinsic value
36%
Share price is $27.07 vs Future cash flow value of $42.53
Current Discount Checks
For Mosaic to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • Mosaic's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
  • Mosaic's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Mosaic's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Mosaic's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
NYSE:MOS PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2018-12-31) in USD $1.22
NYSE:MOS Share Price ** NYSE (2019-04-18) in USD $27.07
United States of America Chemicals Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 66 Publicly-Listed Chemicals Companies 19.07x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,081 Publicly-Listed Companies 18.15x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Mosaic.

NYSE:MOS PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NYSE:MOS Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 27.07 ÷ 1.22

22.16x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Mosaic is overvalued based on earnings compared to the US Chemicals industry average.
  • Mosaic is overvalued based on earnings compared to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Mosaic's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
NYSE:MOS PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 22.16x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 18 Analysts
21%per year
United States of America Chemicals Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 46 Publicly-Listed Chemicals Companies 1.56x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,109 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.57x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

NYSE:MOS PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 22.16x ÷ 21%

1.06x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Mosaic is poor value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Mosaic's assets?
Raw Data
NYSE:MOS PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2018-12-31) in USD $26.97
NYSE:MOS Share Price * NYSE (2019-04-18) in USD $27.07
United States of America Chemicals Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 91 Publicly-Listed Chemicals Companies 2.29x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,178 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.91x
NYSE:MOS PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NYSE:MOS Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 27.07 ÷ 26.97

1x

* Primary Listing of Mosaic.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Mosaic is good value based on assets compared to the US Chemicals industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Mosaic's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Chemicals industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Chemicals industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Mosaic has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

MOS Future Performance

 How is Mosaic expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 18 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
21%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Mosaic expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Mosaic's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Mosaic's earnings growth is expected to exceed the United States of America market average.
  • Mosaic's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
NYSE:MOS Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
NYSE:MOS Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 18 Analysts 21%
NYSE:MOS Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 18 Analysts 3.3%
United States of America Chemicals Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 12.2%
United States of America Chemicals Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 2.2%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13.3%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
NYSE:MOS Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 18 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
NYSE:MOS Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31 11,685 1
2022-12-31 10,977 2,187 1,241 3
2021-12-31 10,551 2,032 1,131 9
2020-12-31 10,398 1,989 1,053 17
2019-12-31 10,071 1,917 865 18
NYSE:MOS Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2018-12-31 9,587 1,410 470
2018-09-30 9,159 1,671 -73
2018-06-30 8,215 1,283 -93
2018-03-31 7,765 719 -64
2017-12-31 7,409 936 -107
2017-09-30 7,180 847 336
2017-06-30 7,147 800 148
2017-03-31 7,067 1,140 40
2016-12-31 7,163 1,260 298
2016-09-30 7,464 1,225 441
2016-06-30 7,617 1,325 562
2016-03-31 8,430 1,345 962

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Mosaic's earnings are expected to grow significantly at over 20% yearly.
  • Mosaic's revenue is expected to grow by 3.3% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
NYSE:MOS Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 18 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Mosaic Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:MOS Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31
2022-12-31 3.51 3.63 3.38 2.00
2021-12-31 3.05 3.43 2.51 5.00
2020-12-31 2.78 3.38 2.26 11.00
2019-12-31 2.28 2.61 1.85 11.00
NYSE:MOS Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2018-12-31 1.22
2018-09-30 -0.20
2018-06-30 -0.25
2018-03-31 -0.18
2017-12-31 -0.31
2017-09-30 0.96
2017-06-30 0.42
2017-03-31 0.11
2016-12-31 0.85
2016-09-30 1.26
2016-06-30 1.60
2016-03-31 2.71

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Mosaic is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess Mosaic's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Mosaic has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

MOS Past Performance

  How has Mosaic performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Mosaic's growth in the last year to its industry (Chemicals).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Mosaic's year on year earnings growth rate was negative over the past 5 years and the most recent earnings are below average.
  • Mosaic has become profitable in the last year making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to the 5-year average.
  • Mosaic has become profitable in the last year making it difficult to compare the US Chemicals industry average.
Earnings and Revenue History
Mosaic's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Mosaic Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:MOS Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2018-12-31 9,587.30 470.00 341.10
2018-09-30 9,158.70 -73.40 308.50
2018-06-30 8,215.40 -93.40 296.10
2018-03-31 7,765.00 -64.00 288.00
2017-12-31 7,409.40 -107.20 301.30
2017-09-30 7,179.60 335.80 292.80
2017-06-30 7,147.00 147.50 293.60
2017-03-31 7,066.90 40.10 295.30
2016-12-31 7,162.80 297.80 304.20
2016-09-30 7,463.90 440.90 313.50
2016-06-30 7,617.20 561.70 323.10
2016-03-31 8,430.20 962.40 339.60
2015-12-31 8,895.30 1,000.40 350.20
2015-09-30 9,110.70 1,203.00 356.00
2015-06-30 9,255.90 1,245.20 332.80
2015-03-31 9,208.70 1,096.00 350.80
2014-12-31 9,055.80 1,006.30 350.40
2014-09-30 8,007.42 290.70 321.49
2014-06-30 7,665.42 212.90 362.59
2014-03-31 7,843.92 401.30 371.19
2013-12-31 8,170.12 576.00 363.09
2013-05-31 9,974.10 1,888.70 427.30
2013-02-28 10,102.40 1,910.10 422.00
2012-12-31 10,044.00 1,852.10 424.30
2012-11-30 10,051.30 1,838.80 422.90
2012-08-31 10,529.60 1,833.60 420.70
2012-05-31 11,107.80 1,930.20 410.10

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Mosaic has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).
  • Mosaic used its assets less efficiently than the US Chemicals industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Mosaic's use of capital deteriorated last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess Mosaic's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Chemicals industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Mosaic has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

MOS Health

 How is Mosaic's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Mosaic's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Mosaic is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Mosaic's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Mosaic's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is not covered by short term assets, assets are 0.9x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Mosaic Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago.

NYSE:MOS Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-12-31 10,604.70 4,529.00 847.70
2018-09-30 10,653.30 4,610.00 1,029.90
2018-06-30 10,415.70 5,017.90 1,035.30
2018-03-31 10,679.70 5,145.70 659.40
2017-12-31 9,639.10 5,227.70 2,153.50
2017-09-30 10,155.50 3,915.10 685.70
2017-06-30 9,794.60 3,907.50 660.60
2017-03-31 9,660.50 3,951.60 675.30
2016-12-31 9,622.50 3,818.20 673.10
2016-09-30 9,874.30 3,876.70 653.50
2016-06-30 9,994.20 3,868.90 1,059.30
2016-03-31 10,031.00 3,857.80 1,057.70
2015-12-31 9,565.00 3,836.70 1,276.30
2015-09-30 9,627.00 3,798.30 1,284.90
2015-06-30 10,151.80 3,845.90 2,209.90
2015-03-31 10,206.70 3,826.60 2,517.40
2014-12-31 10,720.60 3,832.50 2,374.60
2014-09-30 10,962.50 3,815.60 2,970.60
2014-06-30 11,264.60 3,026.20 2,367.00
2014-03-31 10,851.10 3,050.80 2,490.70
2013-12-31 11,320.60 3,031.90 5,293.10
2013-05-31 13,442.90 1,079.20 3,697.10
2013-02-28 13,143.60 1,072.60 3,322.70
2012-12-31 13,083.20 1,061.30 3,405.30
2012-11-30 13,100.80 1,032.50 3,420.70
2012-08-31 12,579.80 1,029.10 3,594.80
2012-05-31 11,999.40 1,053.00 3,811.00
  • Mosaic's level of debt (42.7%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (26.8% vs 42.7% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (31.1%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 6.3x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess Mosaic's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Mosaic has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

MOS Dividends

 What is Mosaic's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
0.37%
Current annual income from Mosaic dividends. Estimated to be 0.8% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of Mosaic shares you are expected to receive $7 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Mosaic's pays a lower dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (1.4%).
  • Mosaic's dividend is below the markets top 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (3.62%).
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
NYSE:MOS Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 18 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Chemicals Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 55 Stocks 2.5%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 2009 Stocks 2.4%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.4%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.6%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

NYSE:MOS Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31
2022-12-31 0.23 2.00
2021-12-31 0.23 9.00
2020-12-31 0.22 14.00
2019-12-31 0.20 14.00
NYSE:MOS Past Annualized Dividends Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per share (annual) Avg. Yield (%)
2018-12-20 0.100 0.337
2018-10-18 0.100 0.301
2018-08-23 0.100 0.314
2018-05-10 0.100 0.348
2017-12-14 0.100 0.385
2017-10-31 0.100 0.428
2017-08-17 0.600 2.890
2017-05-18 0.600 2.636
2016-12-15 1.100 3.803
2016-10-13 1.100 4.151
2016-08-25 1.100 4.231
2016-05-19 1.100 4.059
2015-12-17 1.100 4.178
2015-10-15 1.100 3.410
2015-08-13 1.100 3.002
2015-05-14 1.100 2.444
2014-12-18 1.000 2.115
2014-10-17 1.000 2.245
2014-08-14 1.000 2.210
2014-05-15 1.000 2.066
2014-02-20 1.000 2.047
2014-02-18 1.000 2.087
2014-02-11 1.000 2.090
2013-10-04 1.000 2.153
2013-07-18 1.000 2.253
2013-04-11 1.000 1.709
2012-12-13 1.000 1.688
2012-10-04 1.000 1.881
2012-07-17 1.000 1.717
2012-02-27 0.500 0.958
2011-12-08 0.200 0.372
2011-10-12 0.200 0.364
2011-07-22 0.200 0.314
2011-04-14 0.200 0.291
2010-12-09 0.200 0.257
2010-10-08 0.200 0.290
2010-07-23 0.200 0.359
2010-04-16 0.200 0.438
2009-12-11 0.200 0.337
2009-10-08 0.200 0.381
2009-07-22 0.200 0.390
2009-04-27 0.200 0.421
2009-04-21 0.200 0.511

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Mosaic is not paying a notable dividend for United States of America, therefore no need to check if the payments are stable.
  • Mosaic is not paying a notable dividend for United States of America, therefore no need to check if the payments are increasing.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Mosaic's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • No need to calculate the sustainability of Mosaic's dividends as it is not paying a notable one for United States of America.
Future Payout to shareholders
  • No need to calculate the sustainability of Mosaic's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for United States of America.
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Mosaic's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Mosaic afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Mosaic has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

MOS Management

 What is the CEO of Mosaic's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Joc O’Rourke
COMPENSATION $10,526,054
AGE 57
TENURE AS CEO 3.7 years
CEO Bio

Mr. James C. O'Rourke, also known as Joc, P.Eng., has been the Chief Executive Officer and President at The Mosaic Company since August 5, 2015. Mr. O'Rourke served as Chief Operating Officer at The Mosaic Company from August 13, 2012 to August 5, 2015 and as its Executive Vice President of Operations from January 5, 2009 to August 5, 2015. He is responsible for Mosaic's global mining and chemical processing operations. He has over 25 years of experience in operating global mining operations and has spearheaded a variety of large scale expansion projects. He serves as Director at Copper Mountain Mining Corporation since April 20, 2006. He served as a Senior Executive of Mosaic Co. since January 2009. Mr. O’Rourke served as an Executive General Manager of Australia and Managing Director of Placer Dome Asia Pacific Ltd., the second largest gold producer in Australia, from December 2004, where he was responsible for the Australia Business Unit consisting of five gold and copper mines; and General Manager Western Australia Operations for Iluka Resources Ltd., the world’s largest zircon and second largest titanium producer, from September 2003, where he was responsible for six mining and concentrating operations and two mineral separation/synthetic rutile refineries. He had previously held various management, engineering and other roles in the mining industry in Canada and Australia since 1984. He served as the President of Barrick Gold's Australia Pacific Business Unit since 2006. He was responsible for the Australia Pacific Business Unit consisting of gold and copper mines in Australia and Papua New Guinea. Prior to this role, he held various operational positions in the global gold, copper, mining and nickel industries. He has been Director of The Mosaic Company since May 2015. He has been an Independent Director of The Toro Company since August 28, 2012. He earned an Executive MBA from the Institute European d'Administration aux Affaires, Fontainebleau and received a Bachelor of Science degree in mining and engineering from the University of British Columbia, Vancouver.

CEO Compensation
  • Joc's compensation has increased in line with Mosaic recently becoming profitable.
  • Joc's remuneration is about average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Mosaic management team in years:

3.7
Average Tenure
56
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Mosaic management team is about average.
Management Team

Joc O’Rourke

TITLE
CEO, President & Director
COMPENSATION
$11M
AGE
57
TENURE
3.7 yrs

Clint Freeland

TITLE
Senior VP & CFO
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
50
TENURE
0.8 yrs

Richard McLellan

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Mosaic Fertilizantes
COMPENSATION
$4M
AGE
61
TENURE
12 yrs

Corrine Ricard

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Commercial
COMPENSATION
$2M
AGE
55
TENURE
2.2 yrs

Walt Precourt

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Strategy & Growth
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
54
TENURE
6.9 yrs

Tony Brausen

TITLE
Senior Advisor
COMPENSATION
$4M
AGE
59
TENURE
0.8 yrs

Laura Gagnon

TITLE
Vice President of Investor Relations
AGE
57

Mark Isaacson

TITLE
Senior VP. General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
AGE
56
TENURE
4.7 yrs

Ben Pratt

TITLE
Vice President of Corporate Public Affairs
TENURE
5.5 yrs

Karen Swager

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Potash
AGE
47
TENURE
0.3 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Mosaic board of directors in years:

8
Average Tenure
62
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Mosaic board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Greg Ebel

TITLE
Chairman of the Board
COMPENSATION
$389K
AGE
54
TENURE
0.9 yrs

Joc O’Rourke

TITLE
CEO, President & Director
COMPENSATION
$11M
AGE
57
TENURE
3.9 yrs

Emery Koenig

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$234K
AGE
62
TENURE
8.5 yrs

Nancy Cooper

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$254K
AGE
64
TENURE
7.5 yrs

Tim Gitzel

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$234K
AGE
55
TENURE
5.5 yrs

Kelvin Westbrook

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$225K
AGE
62
TENURE
2.7 yrs

Steven Seibert

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$244K
AGE
63
TENURE
14.5 yrs

William Monahan

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$249K
AGE
70
TENURE
14.5 yrs

Robert Lumpkins

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$268K
AGE
74
TENURE
15.3 yrs

David Seaton

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$234K
AGE
56
TENURE
10 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
20. Aug 18 Buy Ernesto Pousada Individual 16. Aug 18 16. Aug 18 2,000 $29.68 $59,360
14. May 18 Buy Robert Lumpkins Individual 02. May 18 02. May 18 4,655 $27.14 $126,337
X
Management checks
We assess Mosaic's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Mosaic has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

MOS News

Simply Wall St News

What does The Mosaic Company's (NYSE:MOS) Balance Sheet Tell Us About Its Future?

There are a number of reasons that attract investors towards large-cap companies such as The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), with a market cap of US$10b. … This article will examine Mosaic’s financial liquidity and debt levels to get an idea of whether the company can deal with cyclical downturns and maintain funds to accommodate strategic spending for future growth. … Note that this information is centred entirely on financial health and is a high-level overview, so I encourage you to look further

Simply Wall St -

Imagine Owning Mosaic And Wondering If The 32% Share Price Slide Is Justified

At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), since the last five years saw the share price fall 32%. … In the last half decade Mosaic saw its share price fall as its EPS declined. … At present it's hard to make valid comparisons between EPS and the share price.

Simply Wall St -

What Kind Of Shareholders Own The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS)?

Insiders often own a large chunk of younger, smaller, companies while huge companies tend to have institutions as shareholders. … We also tend to see lower insider ownership in companies that were previously publicly owned. … Mosaic is a pretty big company.

Simply Wall St -

Our Take On The Mosaic Company's (NYSE:MOS) CEO Salary

In 2015 Joc O’Rourke was appointed CEO of The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS). … This analysis aims first to contrast CEO compensation with other large companies. … How Does Joc O’Rourke's Compensation Compare With Similar Sized Companies?

Simply Wall St -

Did The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) Insiders Buy Up More Shares?

So shareholders might well want to know whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS). … But logic dictates you should pay some attention to whether insiders are buying or selling shares. … In any event it's generally a positive if insiders are buying shares at around the current price.

Simply Wall St -

What Should Investors Know About The Mosaic Company's (NYSE:MOS) Return On Capital?

and looking to gauge the potential return on investment in The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS). … You need to pay attention to this because your return on investment is linked to dividends and internal investments to improve the business, which can only occur if the company is expected to produce adequate earnings with the capital that has been provided. … Thus, to understand how your money can grow by investing in Mosaic, you need to look at what the company returns to owners for the use of their capital, which can be done in many ways but today we will use return on capital employed (ROCE)

Simply Wall St -

How Many The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) Shares Do Institutions Own?

Institutions often own shares in more established companies, while it's not unusual to see insiders own a fair bit of smaller companies. … Companies that used to be publicly owned tend to have lower insider ownership. … Our analysis of the ownership of the company, below, shows that.

Simply Wall St -

Is The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) A Financially Sound Company?

the key to their continued success lies in its financial health. … Let’s take a look at Mosaic’s leverage and assess its financial strength to get an idea of their ability to fund strategic acquisitions and grow through cyclical pressures. … Remember this is a very top-level look that focuses exclusively on financial health, so I recommend a deeper analysis

Simply Wall St -

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS)

by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. … Discounted Cash Flows (DCF). … If you want to learn more about discounted cash flow, the basis for my calcs can be read in detail in the Simply Wall St analysis model

Simply Wall St -

Does The Mosaic Company's (NYSE:MOS) CEO Pay Matter?

Leading The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) as the CEO, Joc O’Rourke took the company to a valuation of US$11.36b. … Recognizing whether CEO incentives are aligned with shareholders is a crucial part of investing. … This is because, if incentives are aligned, more value is created for shareholders which directly impacts your returns as an investor.

Simply Wall St -

MOS Company Info

Description

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and International Distribution. It owns and operates mines, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients primarily under the Biofos and Nexfos brand names. The company also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the de-icing and as a water softener regenerant, as well as fluorosilicic acid for water fluoridation. In addition, it provides nitrogen-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and other ancillary services; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts. The Mosaic Company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Plymouth, Minnesota.

Details
Name: The Mosaic Company
MOS
Exchange: NYSE
Founded: 2004
$10,443,229,943
385,786,108
Website: http://www.mosaicco.com
Address: The Mosaic Company
Atria Corporate Center,
Suite E490,
Plymouth,
Minnesota, 55441,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NYSE MOS Common Stock New York Stock Exchange US USD 26. Jan 1988
DB 02M Common Stock Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 26. Jan 1988
LSE 0K3B Common Stock London Stock Exchange GB USD 26. Jan 1988
BMV MOS * Common Stock Bolsa Mexicana de Valores MX MXN 26. Jan 1988
BOVESPA MOSC34 BDR REPR 1/2 COM SHS USD0.01 Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo BR BRL 27. Jul 2015
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
12,900
Mosaic employees.
Industry
Fertilizers and Agricultural Chemicals
Materials
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/04/20 00:16
End of day share price update: 2019/04/18 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/04/17
Last earnings filing: 2019/03/13
Last earnings reported: 2018/12/31
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.