NYSE:MOS

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Undervalued with imperfect balance sheet.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Mosaic's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: MOS is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: MOS's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

1.1%

MOS

-1.8%

US Chemicals

-4.6%

US Market


1 Year Return

72.6%

MOS

36.4%

US Chemicals

38.5%

US Market

Return vs Industry: MOS exceeded the US Chemicals industry which returned 36.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MOS exceeded the US Market which returned 38.9% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

MOSIndustryMarket
7 Day1.1%-1.8%-4.6%
30 Day10.2%2.4%0.6%
90 Day29.6%3.0%1.9%
1 Year74.7%72.6%39.4%36.4%41.5%38.5%
3 Year12.4%9.9%32.3%12.0%56.7%46.7%
5 Year7.4%-0.7%93.2%54.5%123.5%98.6%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Mosaic's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Mosaic undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

38.2%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: MOS ($29.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($47.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: MOS is good value based on its PE Ratio (16.7x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (27.2x).

PE vs Market: MOS is good value based on its PE Ratio (16.7x) compared to the US market (21.2x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: MOS's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: MOS is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.2x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (2.7x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Mosaic forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 18 analysts?

-0.2%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MOS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

Earnings vs Market: MOS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MOS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MOS's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MOS's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MOS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.2%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Mosaic performed over the past 5 years?

-55.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: MOS has a large one-off loss of $108.3M impacting its December 31 2020 financial results.

Growing Profit Margin: MOS became profitable in the past.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: MOS's earnings have declined by 55% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: MOS has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: MOS has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Chemicals industry (-2.8%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: MOS's Return on Equity (6.8%) is considered low.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Mosaic's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: MOS's short term assets ($3.5B) exceed its short term liabilities ($3.1B).

Long Term Liabilities: MOS's short term assets ($3.5B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($6.9B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: MOS's debt to equity ratio (43.4%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: MOS's debt to equity ratio has increased from 40.1% to 43.4% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: MOS's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (37.4%).

Interest Coverage: MOS's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (3x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Mosaic current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

0.68%

Current Dividend Yield


Upcoming Dividend Payment


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: MOS's dividend (0.68%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.35%).

High Dividend: MOS's dividend (0.68%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.72%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: MOS is not paying a notable dividend for the US market, therefore no need to check if payments are stable.

Growing Dividend: MOS is not paying a notable dividend for the US market, therefore no need to check if payments are increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: MOS is not paying a notable dividend for the US market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of MOS's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.7yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Joc O’Rourke (59 yo)

5.5yrs

Tenure

US$9,767,104

Compensation

Mr. James C. O’Rourke, also known as Joc, P.Eng., serves as Chairman of Canpotex Limited. He has been the Chief Executive Officer and President at The Mosaic Company since August 5, 2015. Mr. O’Rourke serv...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Joc's total compensation ($USD9.77M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD10.48M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Joc's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
James O’Rourke
CEO, President & Director5.5yrsUS$9.77m0.049%
$ 5.7m
Clint Freeland
Senior VP & CFO2.67yrsUS$2.53m0.0011%
$ 130.7k
Richard McLellan
Senior Vice President of Commercial13.83yrsUS$5.06m0.027%
$ 3.2m
Corrine Ricard
Senior Vice President of Mosaic Fertilizantes4yrsUS$4.20m0.010%
$ 1.2m
Walter Precourt
Senior Vice President of Strategy & Growth8.75yrsUS$2.24m0.0091%
$ 1.1m
Laura Gagnon
Vice President of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Mark Isaacson
Senior VP6.5yrsno data0.0058%
$ 679.1k
Benjamin Pratt
Senior Vice President of Government & Public Affairs7.33yrsno data0.0018%
$ 213.5k
Jenny Wang
Vice President of Global Strategic Marketing0.33yrno datano data
Christopher Lewis
Senior Vice President of Human Resources1.67yrsno datano data
Karen Swager
Senior Vice President of Supply Chain2.08yrsno data0.0077%
$ 900.8k
Bruce Bodine
Senior Vice President of North America4.67yrsno data0.0057%
$ 668.6k

4.7yrs

Average Tenure

57yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: MOS's management team is considered experienced (4.7 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
James O’Rourke
CEO, President & Director5.5yrsUS$9.77m0.049%
$ 5.7m
Nancy Cooper
Independent Director9.33yrsUS$274.35k0.0060%
$ 705.9k
Gregory Ebel
Independent Chairman of the Board2.75yrsUS$449.36k0.015%
$ 1.7m
Cheryl Beebe
Independent Director1.75yrsUS$209.64k0.0063%
$ 729.3k
Kelvin Westbrook
Independent Director4.5yrsUS$260.40k0.0031%
$ 358.2k
Oscar De Bernardes Neto
Independent Director2.75yrsUS$244.99k0.0013%
$ 154.0k
Timothy Gitzel
Independent Director7.33yrsUS$269.35k0.0082%
$ 952.1k
Steven Seibert
Independent Director16.33yrsUS$254.35k0.0072%
$ 844.8k
Luciano Pires
Director3.08yrsno data0.0032%
$ 369.9k
David Seaton
Independent Director1.42yrsUS$180.42k0.0055%
$ 637.1k
Denise Johnson
Independent Director6.75yrsUS$254.35k0.0054%
$ 631.3k
Emery Koenig
Independent Director10.33yrsUS$264.35k0.0099%
$ 1.2m

5.1yrs

Average Tenure

61.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: MOS's board of directors are considered experienced (5.1 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

The Mosaic Company's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: The Mosaic Company
  • Ticker: MOS
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 2004
  • Industry: Fertilizers and Agricultural Chemicals
  • Sector: Materials
  • Market Cap: US$11.668b
  • Shares outstanding: 379.09m
  • Website: https://www.mosaicco.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • The Mosaic Company
  • 101 East Kennedy Boulevard
  • Suite 2500
  • Tampa
  • Florida
  • 33602
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
MOSNYSE (New York Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockUSUSDJan 1988
02MDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJan 1988
02MXTRA (XETRA Trading Platform)YesCommon StockDEEURJan 1988
MOS *BMV (Bolsa Mexicana de Valores)YesCommon StockMXMXNJan 1988
0K3BLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockGBUSDJan 1988
MOSC34BOVESPA (Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo)BDR EACH 2 REP 1 COMBRBRLJul 2015

Biography

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosph...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/02/26 23:12
End of Day Share Price2021/02/26 00:00
Earnings2020/12/31
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.