CF Stock Overview
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide.
CF Industries Holdings Competitors
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||US$85.28|
|52 Week High||US$113.49|
|52 Week Low||US$43.19|
|1 Month Change||-11.04%|
|3 Month Change||-17.02%|
|1 Year Change||65.30%|
|3 Year Change||87.35%|
|5 Year Change||186.95%|
|Change since IPO||2,532.10%|
Recent News & Updates
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Passed With Ease
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
CF Industries: From Boom To Bust - Sell Into The Rallies
This is a dedicated price action analysis of CF Industries stock. We discuss why investors need to pay attention to its ominous double top bull trap. CF stock has come under selling pressure over the past month. But, we think the stage has been set for even more selling moving ahead. Our price action analysis suggests two significant bull traps have occurred, highlighting the market's rejection of buying momentum. It also includes a potent double top bull trap. We rate CF stock as a Sell. We urge investors to consider layering out and selling more into potential short-term rallies before the market moves into the rapid liquidation phase.
Why We Like The Returns At CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Mosaic Is Good, But CF Industries Is Better
Now is a good time to consider adding agricultural stocks to hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainties. Leading stocks like Mosaic and CF Industries are attractive candidates. Profitability is near a peak level in a decade, yet valuations are in the single-digit and very reasonable. High commodity prices, record low grain and oil seed stock and the Russian/Ukraine situation all can persist longer than anticipated and create tailwinds for both. CF Industries is the stronger buy in comparison. Its higher profitability can more than compensate for its valuation premium and leads to higher total returns.
|CF||US Chemicals||US Market|
Return vs Industry: CF exceeded the US Chemicals industry which returned -12.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: CF exceeded the US Market which returned -21.2% over the past year.
|CF Average Weekly Movement||7.4%|
|Chemicals Industry Average Movement||6.9%|
|Market Average Movement||8.1%|
|10% most volatile stocks in US Market||16.9%|
|10% least volatile stocks in US Market||3.3%|
Stable Share Price: CF is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.
Volatility Over Time: CF's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products; and compound fertilizer products with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium.
CF Industries Holdings Fundamentals Summary
|CF fundamental statistics|
Is CF overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|CF income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||US$4.56b|
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2022
Next Earnings Date
Aug 01, 2022
|Earnings per share (EPS)||7.91|
|Net Profit Margin||19.73%|
How did CF perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
1.9%Current Dividend Yield
Is CF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 4/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CF?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
|What is CF's n/a Ratio?|
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
|CF PE Ratio vs Peers|
|Company||PE||Estimated Growth||Market Cap|
SQM Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile
CF CF Industries Holdings
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (15.2x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
|Current PE Ratio||10.8x|
|Fair PE Ratio||5.3x|
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CF ($85.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($115.27)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: CF's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.
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How is CF Industries Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 18 analysts?
Future Growth Score1/6
Future Growth Score 1/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: CF's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-46.5% per year).
Earnings vs Market: CF's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-46.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: CF's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: CF's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-19.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: CF's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-19.2% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: CF's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (38.7%)
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How has CF Industries Holdings performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score6/6
Past Performance Score 6/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: CF has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: CF's current net profit margins (19.7%) are higher than last year (9.5%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CF has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 36.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: CF's earnings growth over the past year (312.3%) exceeds its 5-year average (36.7% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: CF earnings growth over the past year (312.3%) exceeded the Chemicals industry 30.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: CF's Return on Equity (31.6%) is considered high.
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How is CF Industries Holdings's financial position?
Financial Health Score5/6
Financial Health Score 5/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: CF's short term assets ($3.8B) exceed its short term liabilities ($2.2B).
Long Term Liabilities: CF's short term assets ($3.8B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($4.8B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: CF's net debt to equity ratio (12.5%) is considered satisfactory.
Reducing Debt: CF's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 90.6% to 51.3% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: CF's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (106.5%).
Interest Coverage: CF's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (10.7x coverage).
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What is CF Industries Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 5/6
Cash Flow Coverage
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: CF's dividend (1.88%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.6%).
High Dividend: CF's dividend (1.88%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.25%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: CF's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: CF's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its low payout ratio (15.5%), CF's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (10.5%), CF's dividend payments are thoroughly covered by cash flows.
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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Tony Will (56 yo)
Mr. W. Anthony Will, also known as Tony, has been the Chief Executive Officer and President of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. since January 2, 2014. Mr. Will has been the Chief Executive Officer and Presiden...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Tony's total compensation ($USD11.69M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD13.34M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Tony's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.
Experienced Management: CF's management team is seasoned and experienced (5.8 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: CF's board of directors are considered experienced (5 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: CF insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
- Ticker: CF
- Exchange: NYSE
- Founded: 1946
- Industry: Fertilizers and Agricultural Chemicals
- Sector: Materials
- Implied Market Cap: US$17.790b
- Shares outstanding: 208.60m
- Website: https://www.cfindustries.com
Number of Employees
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
- 4 Parkway North
- Suite 400
- United States
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/07/04 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/07/01 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.