CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:CF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$17.3b

CF Industries Holdings Management

Management criteria checks 4/4

CF Industries Holdings' CEO is Chris Bohn, appointed in Jan 2026, has a tenure of less than a year. total yearly compensation is $5.87M, comprised of 17% salary and 83% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 0.14% of the company’s shares, worth $23.30M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 2.8 years and 7.6 years respectively.

Key information

Chris Bohn

Chief executive officer

US$5.9m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage17.04%
CEO tenureless than a year
CEO ownership0.1%
Management average tenure2.8yrs
Board average tenure7.6yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 22

CF Industries: The Fertilizer Rally Is Far From Over

Summary CF Industries benefits from a structurally tight nitrogen fertilizer market, driven by geopolitical disruptions and limited new capacity until 2030. CF's North American asset base and low-cost position provide a competitive advantage as global supply remains constrained, supporting elevated pricing. With natural gas feedstock costs down 11% y/y and robust production, Q2 is poised for strong results, with EPS projected at $5.83 versus street at $5.61. I target 29% upside to $156 (7x EV/EBITDA), as CF's higher growth and margins versus peers should close the current valuation gap. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 11

CF: Tight Nitrogen Markets And DOJ Probe Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for CF Industries Holdings by about $2.90 to $120.95, reflecting updated views on nitrogen pricing, geopolitical risk to supply, and sector valuation multiples that underpin recent Street price target increases across the fertilizer group. Analyst Commentary Street research on CF Industries has leaned toward higher price targets, but the reasoning behind those moves is mixed, with different firms weighing nitrogen pricing, geopolitical risks, and medium term demand in distinct ways.
Narrative Update Apr 26

CF Industries Delivers Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Amid Tight Nitrogen Markets and Robust Cash Generation

Executive Summary Analyst: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) CF Industries Holdings, Inc. delivered a solid operating and financial performance in the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, reflecting favorable nitrogen market fundamentals, disciplined cost management, and high asset utilization.
Narrative Update Apr 22

CF: Tighter Nitrogen Markets And DOJ Probe Will Shape Future Premium

CF Industries Holdings' analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from $112.58 to $118.05, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets as analysts factor in tighter nitrogen markets, geopolitical supply risks, and refined assumptions for revenue trends, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CF Industries points to a mix of optimism on earnings power in tighter nitrogen markets and caution around geopolitical risk, fertilizer demand trends, and valuation after a strong sector move.
Narrative Update Apr 07

CF: DOJ Price Fixing Probe Will Eventually Pressure Elevated Nitrogen Premium

CF Industries' updated analyst price target has moved about $7 higher, as analysts weigh higher implied fair value, slightly lower discount rates, firmer margin expectations, and a lower assumed future P/E against mixed views on nitrogen pricing and geopolitical risk. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CF Industries shows a cluster of higher price targets, but with a split view on how durable current conditions may be and how much upside is already reflected in the share price.
New Narrative Mar 27

Low Carbon Ammonia Ambitions And Gas Spreads Will Pressure Future Earnings And Margins

Catalysts About CF Industries Holdings CF Industries Holdings produces nitrogen based fertilizers and low carbon ammonia for agricultural and industrial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Mar 23

CF: DOJ Fertilizer Probe Will Constrain Returns Despite Tight Nitrogen Markets

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for CF Industries to about $106 from roughly $98. This reflects higher price targets across the Street as they factor in firmer nitrogen pricing, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower assumed P/E multiple, despite some mixed ratings and geopolitical risks.
New Narrative Mar 13

Low Carbon Ammonia And CCS Projects Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About CF Industries Holdings CF Industries Holdings produces nitrogen based fertilizers and low carbon ammonia for agricultural and industrial customers worldwide. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Mar 08

CF: Tighter Nitrogen Markets And DOJ Probe Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their average price target for CF Industries higher to $97.74 from $95.68, reflecting updated views on tighter near term nitrogen markets, geopolitical risks that could support pricing into 2026, and emerging interest in the company's low carbon ammonia exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution on CF Industries, with several firms lifting price targets while keeping a close eye on nitrogen pricing, geopolitical risk, and the company’s execution on low carbon projects.
Narrative Update Feb 22

CF: Tight Nitrogen Markets And Low Carbon Projects Will Guide Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their blended fair value estimate for CF Industries to about $95.68 from $91.21, reflecting higher price targets around $94 to $103 and updated views on tight nitrogen markets, strong free cash flow, and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple despite mixed opinions on medium term catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CF Industries points to a mixed but generally balanced view, with several firms adjusting price targets while maintaining a cautious stance on the shares.
Narrative Update Feb 07

CF: Tight Nitrogen Outlook And Clean Energy Efforts Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for CF Industries Holdings by about $0.40 to $91.21, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by higher expected future P/E multiples and updated sector views from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CF Industries Holdings reflects a mixed but useful set of signals for you to weigh, with some analysts focusing on upside tied to nitrogen fundamentals and cash generation, and others leaning cautious around sector headwinds and valuation reset.
Analysis Article Jan 31

CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.50

The board of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.50 per share on...
Narrative Update Jan 24

CF: Tight Ammonia Markets And Clean Energy Projects Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts made a small upward adjustment to their fair value estimate for CF Industries to about $91.61 per share, reflecting slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a marginally lower future P/E expectation, even as recent price target moves across the Street remain mixed. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CF Industries presents a mix of constructive and cautious views, with price targets spread roughly between the high $70s and $100.
Narrative Update Jan 10

CF: Tight Ammonia Markets And Clean Energy Projects Will Support Returns

Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for CF Industries Holdings by about US$0.30 per share to roughly US$91.44. This reflects a mix of lower price targets tied to concerns about potential nitrogen oversupply and uneven industrial demand, partly offset by more constructive views on tight ammonia markets, shareholder returns, and the company’s clean energy buildout.
Narrative Update Dec 25

CF: Tight Nitrogen And Ammonia Markets Will Support Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for CF Industries Holdings slightly lower, trimming it by about $0.45 to reflect a modestly softer valuation backdrop. At the same time, they highlight supportive nitrogen fundamentals, tight ammonia markets, and continued free cash flow and clean energy investment as key offsets.
Narrative Update Dec 11

CF: Tight Nitrogen And Ammonia Markets Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on CF Industries Holdings to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of about $92, incorporating a mix of reduced targets from firms citing a cautious macro and commodity backdrop, and higher targets from those highlighting tight ammonia markets, strong free cash flow, and long term clean energy growth initiatives. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on CF Industries remain mixed, with a generally constructive stance on the company’s strategic positioning but tempered by concerns around the broader macro and commodity backdrop.
Narrative Update Nov 27

CF: Tight Nitrogen Markets And Clean Energy Advances Will Drive Long-Term Upside

The analyst price target for CF Industries Holdings has been adjusted slightly lower. This change reflects a modest decrease as analysts acknowledge both headwinds in profit margin expectations and ongoing support from industry fundamentals such as free cash flow generation and operational progress.
Narrative Update Nov 07

CF: Continued Share Repurchases And Low-Carbon Progress Will Support Future Gains

The consensus analyst price target for CF Industries Holdings has shifted modestly lower, dropping from approximately $93.56 to $92.94. Analysts cite a more cautious outlook on revenue growth and industry fundamentals, despite recent adjustments in sector forecasts.
Analysis Article Oct 05

CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.50

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.50 per share on the 28th of...
Analysis Article Sep 03

When Should You Buy CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF)?

Let's talk about the popular CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ). The company's shares received a lot of attention...
Analysis Article Jul 25

CF Industries Holdings' (NYSE:CF) Dividend Will Be $0.50

The board of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 29th of August...
Seeking Alpha Mar 19

CF Industries: The Cash King Of The Fertilizer Industry

Summary CF Industries, the world's largest nitrogen fertilizer producer, boasts an economic moat with low-cost operations and superior logistics, ensuring consistent shareholder value. The company's strategic focus on nitrogen-based products and disciplined capital reinvestment have led to substantial free cash flow and shareholder returns. Future growth is bolstered by ventures into blue and green ammonia, positioning CF ahead of regulatory trends and opening new market opportunities. At $76 per share, CF Industries offers a 36% margin of safety, making it a compelling buy with a 10% yield on owner earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 02

CF Industries: A Trump 2.0 Bellwether

Summary CF Industries, the largest nitrogen fertilizer producer, benefits from low U.S. natural gas prices and strategic export capabilities, positioning it well for growth. Despite risks from energy volatility and global competition, CF's unique location and Trump 2.0 policies mitigate these challenges. Strong agricultural production forecasts in the U.S., particularly for corn and soybeans, bolster CF's market position and growth prospects. Trading at an attractive multiple, CF Industries offers a relatively safe investment with significant free cash flow and long-term shareholder value growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 26

CF Industries: Setup Playing Out As Drawn Up - Here's What's Next (Technical Analysis)

Summary Our methodology helps us identify high-probability trading setups, providing guidance and potential risk versus reward on each chart we study, like CF Industries. This approach offers a structured way to analyze markets, helping investors objectively understand price movements and adjust quickly when wrong. We share these levels for CF. The current setup shows key near-term support and an alternative scenario as well. Our system ranks probabilistic market movements and provides alternative perspectives, aiming to keep investors on the right side of trades. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 19

CF Industries: Probably The Ideal Fertilizer Investment

Summary CF Industries, the world's leader in ammonia production, is well-managed and trading at an attractive price for long-term returns, earning a Buy rating. The company's robust financial health, low debt, and steady buybacks and dividends make it a compelling investment despite cyclical and commodity risks. CF's strategic positioning and ability to capitalize on global disruptions, like the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlight its resilience and growth potential. Environmental regulations and shifting agricultural trends pose risks, but CF's proactive approach and strong fundamentals support a positive long-term outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Chris Bohn's remuneration changed compared to CF Industries Holdings's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Mar 31 2026n/an/a

US$2b

Dec 31 2025US$6mUS$1m

US$1b

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

US$1b

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

US$1b

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$1b

Dec 31 2024US$5mUS$796k

US$1b

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

US$1b

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

US$1b

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

US$1b

Dec 31 2023US$4mUS$700k

US$2b

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

US$2b

Jun 30 2023n/an/a

US$2b

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

US$3b

Dec 31 2022US$4mUS$660k

US$3b

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

US$3b

Jun 30 2022n/an/a

US$3b

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

US$2b

Dec 31 2021US$3mUS$625k

US$917m

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

US$299m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

US$456m

Mar 31 2021n/an/a

US$400m

Dec 31 2020US$3mUS$625k

US$317m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

US$285m

Jun 30 2020n/an/a

US$378m

Mar 31 2020n/an/a

US$471m

Dec 31 2019US$2mUS$565k

US$493m

Compensation vs Market: Chris's total compensation ($USD5.87M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD14.74M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Chris's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


CEO

Chris Bohn (57 yo)

less than a year
Tenure
US$5,869,713
Compensation

Mr. Christopher D. Bohn, also known as Chris, is Director of The Fertilizer Institute. Mr. Christopher D. Bohn, also known as Chris, has been the Chief Executive Officer and President of CF Industries Hold...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Christopher Bohn
CEO, President & Directorless than a yearUS$5.87m0.14%
$ 23.3m
Susan Menzel
Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer2.8yrsUS$5.92m0.036%
$ 6.3m
Bert Frost
Executive Vice President & Chief Commercial Officerless than a yearUS$4.28m0.045%
$ 7.8m
Andrew Scribner
Executive VP & CFOno datano data0.0042%
$ 726.7k
Richard Hoker
VP, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer18.5yrsUS$1.17m0.033%
$ 5.7m
Julie Freigang
VP & Chief Information Officer5.6yrsno datano data
Martin Jarosick
VP of Treasury & Investor Relations9.3yrsno datano data
Michael McGrane
Senior VP10.3yrsno data0.012%
$ 2.2m
Linda Dempsey
Vice President of Public Affairs6.2yrsno data0.011%
$ 2.0m
Trevor Williams
Senior Vice President of Manufacturing and Distributionless than a yearno data0.0027%
$ 469.5k
Darla Rivera
Director of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Erik Mayer
VP of Clean Energy & Business Developmentless than a yearno data0.0041%
$ 712.8k
2.8yrs
Average Tenure
57yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: CF's management team is considered experienced (2.8 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Christopher Bohn
CEO, President & Director2.3yrsUS$5.87m0.14%
$ 23.3m
John Eaves
Independent Director8.8yrsUS$314.14k0.018%
$ 3.1m
Robert Arzbaecher
Independent Director20.8yrsUS$301.02k0.037%
$ 6.4m
Deborah DeHaas
Independent Director5yrsUS$313.52k0.0080%
$ 1.4m
Michael Toelle
Independent Director8.8yrsUS$309.77k0.018%
$ 3.1m
Theresa Wagler
Independent Director11.6yrsUS$302.27k0.024%
$ 4.1m
Anne Noonan
Independent Chairman10.9yrsUS$301.02k0.023%
$ 3.9m
Javed Ahmed
Independent Director7.4yrsUS$296.64k0.015%
$ 2.6m
Susan Ellerbusch
Independent Director2.6yrsUS$309.77k0.0048%
$ 823.3k
Celso White
Independent Director7.6yrsUS$296.64k0.015%
$ 2.6m
Jesus Yris
Independent Director4.8yrsUS$296.64k0.0081%
$ 1.4m
7.6yrs
Average Tenure
62yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: CF's board of directors are considered experienced (7.6 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/31 22:03
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is covered by 44 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
null nullArgus Research Company
Benjamin TheurerBarclays