Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:CF
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is CF Industries Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, CF Industries Holdings had US$2.97b of debt, at March 2025, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$1.41b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.57b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CF Debt to Equity History May 30th 2025

How Strong Is CF Industries Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CF Industries Holdings had liabilities of US$939.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$5.07b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.41b and US$582.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.02b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because CF Industries Holdings is worth a massive US$14.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

View our latest analysis for CF Industries Holdings

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

CF Industries Holdings's net debt is only 0.56 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 172 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that CF Industries Holdings has increased its EBIT by 8.1% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CF Industries Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, CF Industries Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 78% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

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Our View

The good news is that CF Industries Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, CF Industries Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with CF Industries Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:CF

CF Industries Holdings

Engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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