Stock Analysis

Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s (NYSE:IPI) latest 13% decline adds to one-year losses, institutional investors may consider drastic measures

NYSE:IPI
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Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Intrepid Potash's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • The top 7 shareholders own 51% of the company
  • Past performance of a company along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. With 55% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And institutional investors saw their holdings value drop by 13% last week. The recent loss, which adds to a one-year loss of 12% for stockholders, may not sit well with this group of investors. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell Intrepid Potash which might hurt individual investors.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Intrepid Potash, beginning with the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Intrepid Potash

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:IPI Ownership Breakdown December 20th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Intrepid Potash?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

We can see that Intrepid Potash does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Intrepid Potash's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:IPI Earnings and Revenue Growth December 20th 2024

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. Hedge funds don't have many shares in Intrepid Potash. Intrepid Production Corporation is currently the company's largest shareholder with 12% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 9.8% and 6.8% of the stock. Additionally, the company's CEO Kevin Crutchfield directly holds 0.5% of the total shares outstanding.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 7 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. While there is some analyst coverage, the company is probably not widely covered. So it could gain more attention, down the track.

Insider Ownership Of Intrepid Potash

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Intrepid Potash, Inc.. In their own names, insiders own US$15m worth of stock in the US$282m company. This shows at least some alignment. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 17% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Intrepid Potash. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Company Ownership

It seems that Private Companies own 22%, of the Intrepid Potash stock. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Intrepid Potash (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.