Stock Analysis

Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.07

NYSE:HCC
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The board of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.07 on the 14th of August, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 2.7%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Warrior Met Coal

Warrior Met Coal's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. However, prior to this announcement, Warrior Met Coal's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

EPS is set to fall by 63.5% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 44%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

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NYSE:HCC Historic Dividend August 3rd 2023

Warrior Met Coal Is Still Building Its Track Record

It is great to see that Warrior Met Coal has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.20 in 2017 to the most recent total annual payment of $1.16. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 34% a year over that time. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Warrior Met Coal has impressed us by growing EPS at 5.6% per year over the past five years. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Warrior Met Coal's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

In Summary

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The payment isn't stellar, but it could make a decent addition to a dividend portfolio.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Warrior Met Coal (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.