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Warrior Met Coal NYSE:HCC Stock Report

Last Price

US$56.06

Market Cap

US$2.9b

7D

4.2%

1Y

-18.5%

Updated

20 Jan, 2025

Data

Company Financials +

Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

NYSE:HCC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

HCC Stock Overview

Engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking metallurgical coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. More details

HCC fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 57.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 30.2%

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 2.9% per year for the next 3 years

High level of non-cash earnings

Unstable dividend track record


My Notes

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WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts

Blue Creek Project Will Begin Premium Coal Production In Q2 2026

Key Takeaways The Blue Creek project is poised to boost production capacity and revenue, potentially improving operational efficiency and profitability. Strategic sales management and demand growth in key regions could drive higher revenue and enhanced margins in the future.
View narrative
US$75.00
FV
25.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
4.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
1users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
3users have followed this narrative
12 days ago author updated this narrative

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Competitors

Alpha Metallurgical Resources

NYSE:AMR

US$2.5b

Ternium

NYSE:TX

US$5.7b

Worthington Steel

NYSE:WS

US$1.5b

Commercial Metals

NYSE:CMC

US$5.8b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Warrior Met Coal
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$56.06
52 Week HighUS$75.53
52 Week LowUS$49.97
Beta1.1
1 Month Change2.06%
3 Month Change-8.38%
1 Year Change-18.51%
3 Year Change112.59%
5 Year Change186.46%
Change since IPO211.44%

Recent News & Updates

Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

Jan 18
Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

There Is A Reason Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Undemanding

Dec 07
There Is A Reason Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Undemanding

Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Nov 19
Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Recent updates

Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

Jan 18
Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

There Is A Reason Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Undemanding

Dec 07
There Is A Reason Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Undemanding

Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Nov 19
Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Worth US$60.0 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Oct 25
Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Worth US$60.0 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Does Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Oct 09
Does Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warrior Met Coal: Blue Creek Should Substantially Boost Earnings And Cash Flows

Aug 28

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Aug 18
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.08

Aug 02
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.08

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Earnings Yet

Jul 29
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Earnings Yet

Warrior Met Coal: Un-Caving A Pure Met Coal Play

Jun 12

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Jun 05
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Warrior Met Coal: Not A Buy, But One For The Watchlist

Jun 03

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

May 21
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

Apr 17
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

Returns On Capital At Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Paint A Concerning Picture

Apr 15
Returns On Capital At Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Paint A Concerning Picture

Buy The Dip In Warrior Met Coal

Mar 23

David Trainer Likes Energy, JPMorgan Over S&P; Uber, Tesla + Nvidia Too Expensive

Feb 28

Why Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Feb 21
Why Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Just Released Its Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Feb 17
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Just Released Its Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.08

Feb 15
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.08

Benign Growth For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Underpins Its Share Price

Feb 12
Benign Growth For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Underpins Its Share Price

Warrior Met Coal: A Cheap Coal Mining Company With Excellent Growth Prospects

Jan 18

Warrior Met Coal: Still Attractive After Its 200% Run

Jan 09

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Jan 07
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) A Risky Investment?

Dec 20
Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) A Risky Investment?

Warrior Met Coal: Expected Production Increase Makes It Look Undervalued

Nov 29

A Look At The Fair Value Of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Nov 07
A Look At The Fair Value Of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC)

Oct 02
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC)

Warrior Met Coal: Shining Bright Amidst The Coal Dust

Sep 21

Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 11
Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

Warrior Met Coal: Coal Is Still Sticking Around For Some Time

Aug 16

Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.07

Aug 03
Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.07

Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Trading At A 50% Discount?

Aug 01
Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Trading At A 50% Discount?

Why Warrior Met Coal Is Still A Buy

Jul 05

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Might Become A Compounding Machine

Jun 21
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Might Become A Compounding Machine

Warrior Met Coal: A Potential Growth Stock

Jun 08

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Passed With Ease

Jun 01
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Passed With Ease

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Could Easily Take On More Debt

May 14
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Here's What Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Mar 09
Here's What Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Warrior Met Coal: Historic CapEx Set To Sustain Major Growth Milestones Achieved In 2022

Feb 26

Here's Why We Think Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Feb 18
Here's Why We Think Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Shareholder Returns

HCCUS Metals and MiningUS Market
7D4.2%4.5%3.2%
1Y-18.5%10.9%24.2%

Return vs Industry: HCC underperformed the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 10.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: HCC underperformed the US Market which returned 24.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is HCC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
HCC volatility
HCC Average Weekly Movement5.9%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement8.2%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market18.9%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: HCC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: HCC's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20151,143Walt Schellerwarriormetcoal.com

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking metallurgical coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. It also sells natural gas, which is extracted as a byproduct from coal production.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Warrior Met Coal's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
HCC fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.93b
Earnings (TTM)US$378.34m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.59b

7.8x

P/E Ratio

1.8x

P/S Ratio

Is HCC overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
HCC income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.59b
Cost of RevenueUS$999.47m
Gross ProfitUS$593.29m
Other ExpensesUS$214.94m
EarningsUS$378.34m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)7.23
Gross Margin37.25%
Net Profit Margin23.75%
Debt/Equity Ratio7.4%

How did HCC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.5%

Current Dividend Yield

4%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 09:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan MartinBenchmark Company
Mark LevinBenchmark Company
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research