Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Stock Overview
Engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
HCC Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
ST
stuart_roberts
Community ContributorCA$5.07FV • 68.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
4849.4%Revenue growth p.a.
13.3k
37
1
270
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$89.85 |
| 52 Week High | US$105.35 |
| 52 Week Low | US$40.80 |
| Beta | 0.69 |
| 1 Month Change | -3.54% |
| 3 Month Change | 0.62% |
| 1 Year Change | 97.86% |
| 3 Year Change | 151.68% |
| 5 Year Change | 445.87% |
| Change since IPO | 399.17% |
Recent News & Updates
HCC: Blue Creek Ramp And Higher Production Will Support Medium Term Upside
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Warrior Met Coal slightly higher, with recent $3 to $20 target increases from several firms, tied to refreshed views on revenue growth, profitability, and the stock's future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Warrior Met Coal has centered on refreshed price targets and a rating upgrade, with bullish analysts adjusting their views around earnings power, P/E assumptions, and execution on the current business plan.Warrior Met Coal: A Top Asset In The Sector At The Worst Point Of The Cycle
Apr 14
HCC: Higher 2026 Coal Volumes And P/E Rerating Will Support Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Warrior Met Coal to $120 from $100, citing recent price target increases across the Street and updated assumptions around growth, profitability and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a series of bullish analysts revisiting their models for Warrior Met Coal, with multiple price target adjustments over a relatively short period.Recent updates
HCC: Blue Creek Ramp And Higher Production Will Support Medium Term Upside
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Warrior Met Coal slightly higher, with recent $3 to $20 target increases from several firms, tied to refreshed views on revenue growth, profitability, and the stock's future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Warrior Met Coal has centered on refreshed price targets and a rating upgrade, with bullish analysts adjusting their views around earnings power, P/E assumptions, and execution on the current business plan.Warrior Met Coal: A Top Asset In The Sector At The Worst Point Of The Cycle
Apr 14HCC: Higher 2026 Coal Volumes And P/E Rerating Will Support Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Warrior Met Coal to $120 from $100, citing recent price target increases across the Street and updated assumptions around growth, profitability and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a series of bullish analysts revisiting their models for Warrior Met Coal, with multiple price target adjustments over a relatively short period.HCC: Blue Creek Ramp And Execution Will Shape Balanced Medium Term Outlook
Narrative Update: Warrior Met Coal Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target on Warrior Met Coal by about $4 to roughly $106. This change reflects updated assumptions around valuation multiples, discount rate, and profitability, based on a series of recent target hikes across major firms.
HCC: Blue Creek Mine Ramp Up Will Likely Limit Further Share Upside
Analysts have raised their average price target for Warrior Met Coal to around $101. This reflects a series of recent upward revisions that indicate slightly stronger expected growth and profitability assumptions in their models.HCC: New Mine Completion And Higher Expectations Will Likely Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target on Warrior Met Coal by $28, supported by recent upgrades and higher targets from several firms citing updated expectations for the business and its valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Warrior Met Coal have generally come with higher price targets, but not all of the commentary has been upbeat.HCC: Future Upside Will Depend On Blue Creek Ramp And Execution
The updated analyst price target for Warrior Met Coal has increased from about $91.33 to roughly $102.17. Analysts attribute this change to revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E.HCC: Raised Expectations For New Mine Will Likely Limit Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Warrior Met Coal from US$72 to US$80, citing updated assumptions for fair value, modest adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E, as well as changes in expected revenue growth and profit margins reflected in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Warrior Met Coal has focused on how updated assumptions feed into fair value estimates, including the higher US$80 price target and changes to projected P/E multiples.HCC: Future Performance Will Rely On Blue Creek Ramp Up And Cost Discipline
Analysts have lifted their price target on Warrior Met Coal to about $91 from roughly $81, pointing to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Warrior Met Coal marked the completion of the Blue Creek Mine project in Tuscaloosa County, a longwall mine backed by roughly US$1b of company investment and described as a world class metallurgical coal asset.HCC: Higher 2025 Volume Outlook Will Support Stronger Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Warrior Met Coal from $75.00 to $100.00, citing updated assumptions related to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Warrior Met Coal issued new corporate guidance for full year 2025 production and sales volumes.HCC: Elevated Metallurgical Coal Price Dependence Will Likely Constrain Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Warrior Met Coal from $50.00 to $72.00, citing stronger projected revenue growth, improved profit margins, and the company's low-cost position in the seaborne metallurgical coal market. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has highlighted Warrior Met Coal's position as one of the lowest cost producers in the U.S. seaborne metallurgical coal market, supported by efficient underground longwall operations and strong export logistics.HCC: Future Performance Will Depend On Cost Leadership And Sales Mix Strength
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Warrior Met Coal to approximately $80.83. They cite the company's strong cost position and efficient access to seaborne metallurgical coal markets as key factors supporting the upward revision.HCC: Future Margins And Efficient Operations Will Shape Fair Valuation Outlook
Analysts have increased their price target for Warrior Met Coal to $80, up from $74. They cite improved profit margins, higher expected revenue growth, and the company's strong position as an efficient, low-cost producer in the seaborne metallurgical coal market.Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC)
Nov 12
Revenues Tell The Story For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) As Its Stock Soars 28%
Nov 09HCC: Strong Seaborne Market Presence Will Support Resilient Low-Cost Competitive Advantage
Analysts have updated their price target for Warrior Met Coal to $74.00 per share, citing the company's strong position in the seaborne metallurgical coal market and its proven ability to operate efficiently at low costs. Analyst Commentary Recent research from street analysts highlights both optimism and caution regarding Warrior Met Coal's outlook.Investors Could Be Concerned With Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital
Oct 27Blue Creek Launch Will Unlock Low-Cost Metallurgical Coal Supply
Analysts have raised their price target for Warrior Met Coal from $67.33 to $74.00, citing stronger financial metrics and continued operational efficiencies. Analyst Commentary Recent street research has highlighted both strengths and potential risks as Warrior Met Coal attracts fresh analyst attention and price target revisions.Blue Creek Launch Will Unlock Low-Cost Metallurgical Coal Supply
The average analyst price target for Warrior Met Coal has increased slightly from $65.67 to $67.33. Analysts highlight the company's strong position in the seaborne metallurgical coal market as well as its operational efficiency.Blue Creek Launch Will Unlock Low-Cost Metallurgical Coal Supply
Analysts have increased their price target for Warrior Met Coal to $65.67, citing stronger-than-expected Q2 results driven by EBITDA outperformance, improved cost management, and higher 2025 production guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets in response to Warrior Met Coal’s better-than-expected Q2 results, particularly driven by adjusted EBITDA outperformance.Blue Creek Launch Will Unlock Low-Cost Metallurgical Coal Supply
Warrior Met Coal's consensus price target has been raised to $64.00, reflecting a substantial improvement in net profit margin and a lower future P/E ratio, both indicating enhanced profitability and valuation. What's in the News Updated 2025 full-year guidance: coal production expected between 8.3 and 9.1 million short tons, with coal sales forecasted between 8.8 and 9.5 million short tons.Further Upside For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce
Jul 22Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
Jul 07Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.08
May 01Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Apr 24Be Wary Of Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) And Its Returns On Capital
Apr 03Warrior Met Coal: Low-Cost Producer With Upside
Mar 31Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)
Mar 09Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Feb 15Warrior Met Coal: Will Blue Creek Mine, A Large CAPEX Investment, Be Profitable?
Feb 13Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?
Jan 18There Is A Reason Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Undemanding
Dec 07Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Nov 19Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Worth US$60.0 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Oct 25Shareholder Returns
| HCC | US Metals and Mining | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.4% | -2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1Y | 97.9% | 89.5% | 28.7% |
Return vs Industry: HCC exceeded the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 83% over the past year.
Return vs Market: HCC exceeded the US Market which returned 27.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| HCC volatility | |
|---|---|
| HCC Average Weekly Movement | 6.6% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 11.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: HCC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: HCC's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1,485 | Walt Scheller | warriormetcoal.com |
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| HCC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$4.73b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$57.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.31b |
82.9x
P/E Ratio3.6x
P/S RatioIs HCC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| HCC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.31b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.01b |
| Gross Profit | US$301.57m |
| Other Expenses | US$244.58m |
| Earnings | US$57.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 1.08 |
| Gross Margin | 22.99% |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.35% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 7.2% |
How did HCC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.4%
Current Dividend Yield30%
Payout RatioDoes HCC pay a reliable dividends?
See HCC dividend history and benchmarks| Warrior Met Coal dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | May 01 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | May 07 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 0 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 6 days |
Does HCC pay a reliable dividends?
See HCC dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/30 06:13 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nathan Martin | Benchmark Company |
| Mark Levin | Benchmark Company |
| Katja Jancic | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |