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CF Industries Holdings NYSE:CF Stock Report

Last Price

US$84.75

Market Cap

US$14.8b

7D

-0.3%

1Y

6.6%

Updated

27 Dec, 2024

Data

Company Financials +

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:CF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.8b

CF Stock Overview

Engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. More details

CF fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends5/6

Rewards

Trading at 42.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Pays a reliable dividend of 2.36%

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 5.7% per year for the next 3 years

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months


My Notes

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Community Narratives

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WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts

Investments In Green Ammonia Will Pressure Future Margins Amid Regulatory Uncertainties

Key Takeaways Investments in green ammonia and carbon capture projects could initially stress capital expenditure, impacting future margins before revenue contributions materialize. Dependency on global nitrogen demand and regulatory approvals introduces uncertainties that could affect revenue growth and future earnings.
View narrative
US$88.99
FV
4.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
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2users have followed this narrative
2 days ago author updated this narrative

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Competitors

Mosaic

NYSE:MOS

US$7.6b

FMC

NYSE:FMC

US$6.1b

ICL Group

NYSE:ICL

US$6.2b

Corteva

NYSE:CTVA

US$39.5b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for CF Industries Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$84.75
52 Week HighUS$94.46
52 Week LowUS$69.13
Beta0.97
1 Month Change-4.41%
3 Month Change-1.04%
1 Year Change6.60%
3 Year Change19.74%
5 Year Change83.92%
Change since IPO2,515.74%

Recent News & Updates

Little Excitement Around CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Earnings

Nov 27
Little Excitement Around CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Earnings

CF Industries: Setup Playing Out As Drawn Up - Here's What's Next (Technical Analysis)

Nov 26

Recent updates

Little Excitement Around CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Earnings

Nov 27
Little Excitement Around CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Earnings

CF Industries: Setup Playing Out As Drawn Up - Here's What's Next (Technical Analysis)

Nov 26

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Shares Could Be 27% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 25
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Shares Could Be 27% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

CF Industries: Probably The Ideal Fertilizer Investment

Oct 19

Does CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Oct 09
Does CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

At US$80.41, Is CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Worth Looking At Closely?

Aug 25
At US$80.41, Is CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Worth Looking At Closely?

CF Industries Is Key Ammonia Company

Aug 05

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Earnings Yet

Jul 15
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Earnings Yet

CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jun 27
CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

CF Industries: High-Quality Company But Lacks Catalysts

Jun 26

What Is CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Share Price Doing?

Apr 22
What Is CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CF) Share Price Doing?

Benign Growth For CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Underpins Its Share Price

Apr 04
Benign Growth For CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Underpins Its Share Price

Here's Why CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Feb 21
Here's Why CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

CF Industries: Better Pricing Is The Missing Puzzle Piece For Elevated Returns

Feb 15

CF Industries Holdings' (NYSE:CF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 05
CF Industries Holdings' (NYSE:CF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

An Intrinsic Calculation For CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Suggests It's 27% Undervalued

Jan 23
An Intrinsic Calculation For CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) Suggests It's 27% Undervalued

Why CF Industries Is Poised To Move Much Higher

Nov 27

CF Industries Q3 Earnings: Is The Fertilizer Market Bottoming?

Nov 06

CF Industries Q3 Preview: Ignore The FMC Weakness

Oct 25

CF Industries: Severely Undervalued ESG Play May Yield Hidden Alpha

Sep 24

CF Industries: The Bumpy Road To All-Time Highs

Aug 16

CF Industries Adds Clean Ammonia Growth Prospects

Jul 19

CF Industries: Downside Seems Limited And Rewards Plenty

Jul 05

CF Industries: Fertilizer Prices Are Sliding, But The Shortage May Return With Vengeance

Jun 05

CF Industries Remains Significantly Undervalued

Feb 21

Shareholder Returns

CFUS ChemicalsUS Market
7D-0.3%1.2%2.8%
1Y6.6%-3.5%24.6%

Return vs Industry: CF exceeded the US Chemicals industry which returned -3.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CF underperformed the US Market which returned 24.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CF's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CF volatility
CF Average Weekly Movement3.4%
Chemicals Industry Average Movement5.3%
Market Average Movement6.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: CF has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CF's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19462,700Tony Willwww.cfindustries.com

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company’s principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do CF Industries Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CF fundamental statistics
Market capUS$14.81b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.16b
Revenue (TTM)US$5.98b

12.7x

P/E Ratio

2.5x

P/S Ratio

Is CF overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CF income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$5.98b
Cost of RevenueUS$3.95b
Gross ProfitUS$2.03b
Other ExpensesUS$869.00m
EarningsUS$1.16b

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)6.69
Gross Margin33.98%
Net Profit Margin19.46%
Debt/Equity Ratio38.4%

How did CF perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.4%

Current Dividend Yield

30%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 22:34
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is covered by 51 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
null nullArgus Research Company
Colin IsaacAtlantic Equities LLP