Stock Analysis

ATI's (NYSE:ATI) earnings growth rate lags the 45% CAGR delivered to shareholders

NYSE:ATI
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It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the ATI Inc. (NYSE:ATI) share price down 19% in the last month. But over five years returns have been remarkably great. In fact, during that period, the share price climbed 537%. Impressive! So it might be that some shareholders are taking profits after good performance. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price. It really delights us to see such great share price performance for investors.

Although ATI has shed US$961m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

See our latest analysis for ATI

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over half a decade, ATI managed to grow its earnings per share at 5.2% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 45% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:ATI Earnings Per Share Growth March 11th 2025

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on ATI's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

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A Different Perspective

ATI provided a TSR of 3.3% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 45% a year, over half a decade) look better. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that ATI is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like ATI better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.